Energy

Warren Buffett flaunts his green investment thumb

17 Jul 2023

Berkshire Hathaway is paying $3.3 bln for control of a liquefied natural gas facility. The conglomerate’s utilities now account for about half the conglomerate’s capex. Regulated returns help, but the Oracle’s funding devoted to energy transition should be a sign to laggards.

European gas security rests on a fragile balance

14 Jul 2023

Mindful of last summer’s mad price rally, EU states have lots of the fossil fuel in storage. This, plus higher Chinese purchases, may keep European contracts below Asian ones. But that may prompt US cargoes of liquefied gas to head East, lifting European gas prices again.

BP’s German wind option risks multiple blowbacks

13 Jul 2023

The UK oil major and TotalEnergies have won Berlin’s $14 bln auction to boost green power, helping all three hit wind capacity targets. But the winners only have to pay 10% of the cost in the short term. Given the high prices offered, the risk is the projects don’t get built.

How to crack the climate free rider problem

10 Jul 2023

One reason countries fiddle while the world burns is that they bear the costs of action while everyone benefits. Creating a “climate club” would incentivise nations to pull their weight. But a lot of geopolitical stars first need to align, says Hugo Dixon.

Capital Calls: Diverse workforces

5 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: The court’s ruling against affirmative action could make future workforces more homogeneous. That’s a bitter pill for the US Federal Reserve, which has pushed for a more inclusive labor market.

El Nino will brew up potent new economic storm

4 Jul 2023

The Pacific Ocean phenomenon is back. Resultant floods, heatwaves, water scarcity and fires will damage crops and infrastructure, may cost trillions, and augur inflation and rate hikes. Worse, climate change makes such events stronger and more frequent, embedding supply shocks.

Peak oil is another reason to shun OPEC club

26 Jun 2023

The oil-producing organization wants Guyana to join, but the tiny South American nation prefers to pump while it can. Cartels are difficult to maintain at the best of times because members can cheat. When future demand is finite, there’s even less incentive to cooperate.

Elliott asks too much too soon at NRG

23 Jun 2023

The activist wants the CEO of the $8 bln utility to go, in its second campaign against the company. Both sides see the need for cost cuts, returning capital and refreshing the board. Elliott’s worries about acquisitions are reasonable too. But it’s not yet time for heads to roll.

Capital Calls: Canada is calling Meta’s bluff

23 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Facebook owner plans to pull news on its platforms in Canada after the country passed a bill that requires internet giants pay publishers. If Australia is any guide, Meta will eventually cave.  

Eni’s bet on gas comes at an acceptable price

23 Jun 2023

The Italian group and Var Energi, in which it holds a 63% stake, are buying Neptune Energy for $4.9 bln. The seller’s private equity owners once hoped for an IPO at twice that level. Bulking up in fossil fuels carries risks, but Eni’s price at least creates some sort of buffer.

Green alliance crisis is more than just a US drama

19 Jun 2023

Most insurers have quit their industry’s UN-backed climate body. Sector specifics and fear of US lawsuits partly explain why, but so do European governments focusing on energy security rather than net-zero targets. The same dynamic may affect banks and fund managers.

Capital Calls: Oil M&A, Bud backlash, L&G’s CEO

15 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: Two oil-well servicers find a way to make decline more palatable, while brewer Anheuser-Busch discovers that money doesn’t always buy friends in politics. In the UK, insurer L&G picks a new CEO to try and address its Brexit discount.

Shell makes risky pitch for the middle ground

14 Jun 2023

The $195 bln group’s new CEO Wael Sawan boosted shareholder payouts and refrained from new oil output cuts. His bet is that Shell can echo US peers by lingering in oil, while placing its green bets on less tricky low-carbon areas than European rivals. It’s not certain to work.

Saudi oil cuts collide with investor scepticism

8 Jun 2023

The Gulf state is slashing oil production in July and convinced OPEC+ to extend cuts to the end of 2024. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how these restrictions may still not be enough to convince investors to stop worrying about recession.

Saudi’s oil lollipop reflects its sticky situation

5 Jun 2023

The kingdom has secured OPEC+ consent to extend output cuts into 2024, and will also lop another 1 mln barrels off its own daily production. But if traders bought OPEC’s demand forecasts, oil prices should be higher anyway. Saudi may also struggle to slash output any further.

Biden’s America goes from oil guzzler to gusher

1 Jun 2023

The commodity’s main benchmark is including prices of oil from Texas, a reflection of a shift. Even as American demand stagnates, U.S.-based producers pump and export more. The president wants the country to be green. He can’t control the private industry that supports the world.

IPO pops are iffy adverts for Gulf capital markets

1 Jun 2023

ADNOC L&S, like other floats by the UAE energy giant, surged on its first day of trading. Yet the 50% rise looks contrived. Abu Dhabi’s listings boom is narrow, and mostly involves state-linked firms. Its dreams of being a go-to destination for global capital are remote.

EU will go easy on Indian resale of Russian fuel

23 May 2023

Fuelled by imports from Moscow, oil products sales to Europe from refiners including Reliance and Nayara have nearly doubled to $15 bln. The trend shows anti-Russian sanctions are not watertight. Yet, risks of an energy inflation revival make a European Union ban a tough call.

Russia sanctions become a high return investment

19 May 2023

As older penalties lose their bite, Western powers are preparing a new round of measures to tighten the screws on Vladimir Putin. That will hurt the Kremlin and be a marginal sacrifice for Europe, which no longer depends on Moscow for its energy – a good cost-benefit balance.

Oil’s feuding forecasters may both be wrong

15 May 2023

The International Energy Agency, which represents developed-world crude buyers, recently slammed producer club OPEC’s output cuts. Yet the pair share the same demand estimates for 2023. If they’re wrong, IEA fears and OPEC hopes of surging oil prices may prove wide of the mark.