Total’s US re-listing idea could backfire 8 May 2024 The $170 bln oil major is considering decamping to the United States to court oil-friendly investors. Yet getting included in the big stock index would mean cutting French roots, and a valuation boost looks unlikely. Staying at home may also be better for its growing power unit.
Microsoft’s AI land grab becomes costly power game 1 May 2024 The tech giant is splurging on artificial intelligence models and chips. Now it’s made a big commitment to buy renewable energy for data centres, enabling Canadian investor Brookfield to build a massive 10 gigawatts of capacity. It’s another long-term bet on nascent technology.
Through Aramco, Peak China courts Peak Oil 26 Apr 2024 Buying a 10% stake in petrochemical firm Hengli will ramp up the Saudi giant’s presence in the People's Republic. Aramco is boosting ties with an important long-term customer. Beijing gets to tout foreign inflows as other sources dry up. It's a critical match.
BHP CEO tests his M&A promise in Anglo American 25 Apr 2024 Mike Henry has long sworn off overpaying for deals. A 30% premium for its $37 bln smaller rival looks justifiable. The buyer would then become the world’s largest copper miner and gain better iron ore for green steel. The real trial will come if peers like Rio join the fray.
Reliance’s efficiency may be New Delhi’s problem 23 Apr 2024 Completing the rollout of its 5G service helped Mukesh Ambani’s $240 bln oil-to-data conglomerate reduce capex by 7%. That’s good for shareholders. But Modi needs companies to boost spending to meet his administration’s deficit reduction goal without compromising on GDP growth.
Shell’s value gap is more strategy than geography 19 Apr 2024 CEO Wael Sawan may shift the $230 bln UK oil giant’s listing to New York if a discount to rivals like Exxon Mobil persists beyond 2025. But Shell’s shifting priorities, slower growth, and unreliable dividends weigh on its valuation. Those factors defy a superficial fix.
Spain’s utility saga calls for tough balancing act 18 Apr 2024 The UAE wants to buy 40% of 22 bln euro Naturgy from its private equity owners. That would usually require a full takeover, but Madrid has form on protecting key infrastructure. Spain will have to balance its desire to retain control with the need not to scare its bidder away.
Oil traders make risky bet on calm in Middle East 15 Apr 2024 Crude prices fell after Iran attacked Israel, probably because the Islamic Republic telegraphed its strikes in advance. Still, the unprecedented move may elicit an Israeli response. With oil supplies tightening, regional tensions and prices could yet reset at a higher level.
Prysmian finds sparky US fix for dim cable outlook 15 Apr 2024 The world’s biggest maker of telco and power lines is buying a cash-rich US rival. At $4 bln, the deal is not cheap, and heavy investment in grids has slowed. Still, adding heft to the more attractive North America market should improve the $15 bln Italian company’s prospects.
BP takeover is both appealing and daunting 12 Apr 2024 Abu Dhabi National Oil Company recently considered buying its $110 bln British peer. It’s unlikely to be the only suitor. BP trades at a discount to other oil giants and recently installed a new CEO. But UK security concerns and EU antitrust rules present formidable hurdles.
Next Chinese trade war could benefit the planet 8 Apr 2024 As Beijing floods the world with cheap green goods, the West will put up trade barriers. That will delay the energy transition in the United States and EU. But the glut of EVs, solar panels and the like will speed it up in China and much of the Global South.
Eni’s green shoots are taking time to blossom 28 Mar 2024 Italy’s $53 bln energy major trades at a discount to rivals. An overhang from Rome’s potential stake sale and falling gas prices are drags. But CEO Claudio Descalzi’s plan to raise cash by spinning off energy transition-focused business units is also yet to fully shape up.
LNG angst seeps from consumers to producers 27 Mar 2024 A few years ago, supplies of liquefied natural gas were scarce and prices sky-high. Extra capacity arriving this decade means there could soon be a price-sapping glut. Big suppliers like Qatar and Shell have long-term contracts that can ease the pain, but only up to a point.
Capital Calls: Shell and Russia 26 Mar 2024 Concise views on global finance: Russian state giant Gazprom will buy the British energy major’s 27.5% stake in a major Siberian liquefied gas field for the equivalent of $1 bln. Shell is however unlikely to be able to get hold of the cash any time soon.
Europe’s green giant is focusing on safer bets 21 Mar 2024 Iberdrola is upping investment on ageing power grids. The $79 bln Spanish utility is also buying out US unit Avangrid and allocating its biggest chunk of capex to the States. Both bets look likelier to pay off than renewable power and geographies with less generous subsidies.
Like Rome, oil demand won’t be destroyed in a day 18 Mar 2024 Oil producers attending the big industry confab in Houston this week recognize they are under pressure. US firms are merging; Saudi is reinventing itself. Like in any dwindling empire, many leaders will want to take over rivals. Rewarding investors with cash is a better strategy.
RWE has a way out of its valuation hole 14 Mar 2024 The $26 bln German power utility has lost 22% of its market value this year. Low gas prices, higher rates and a lingering presence in polluting lignite are reasons why. The first two ought not to persist as headaches, and the last is something RWE could do more about.
EIB backing would add spark to EU mini-nuclear bid 1 Mar 2024 Europe’s bid to develop smaller, cheaper nuclear reactors as part of its plan to cut carbon emissions needs cash and political support. European Investment Bank financing for next-generation projects would make a difference. Even so, green benefits may take years to materialise.
Post-crisis Adani is cranking up his IPO factory 29 Feb 2024 Indian tycoon Gautam Adani is on a comeback from a short-seller attack that stress-tested his $200 bln empire. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how the spotlight impacted his group and look at the next crop of listed companies it is set to produce.
Exxon juggles stick of dynamite near Hess deal 27 Feb 2024 The oil giant and Chinese partner CNOOC say Chevron’s $53 bln acquisition of Hess gives them the right to buy the latter’s crown jewel stake in a Guyana oil field. While that threatens to blow up Chevron’s plan, an Exxon purchase also could saddle it with a risky time-bomb.