Energy

Goldman’s cosy Japan deal is ripe for rival bid

15 Nov 2021

The Wall Street bank and refiner Eneos are forging ahead with a contested plan to take full control of $4 bln roadbuilder Nippo. Even with a richer premium, a leveraged buyout would deliver a healthy return, Breakingviews calculates. It’s a fresh test of Japan Inc’s dozy ways.

Capital Calls: Google, Twitter, Swedish grocer

10 Nov 2021

Concise views on global finance: The search giant’s defeat in appealing a $2.8 bln EU fine is tolerable if American judges don’t follow; the social media network hopes to charge hardcore U.S. users a monthly fee; ICA Gruppen’s top shareholder takes the $12 bln retailer private.

GE breakup is common sense, at least in theory

9 Nov 2021

Carving up the $120 bln conglomerate is no longer the drastic step it would have seemed under CEO Larry Culp’s predecessors. After Culp’s cleanup, three separate, more focused businesses could be worth more. But financial engineering often disappoints – especially at GE.

Rolls-Royce nuclear plans piggyback green success

9 Nov 2021

The UK engineer and partners are pumping 195 mln pounds into a unit to build small commercial reactors. As with wind and solar, the British government is helping by promising to buy the plants’ electricity. It should mean a lucrative side hobby for the group run by Warren East.

Capital Calls: Hedge funds, Rogers, Inmarsat

8 Nov 2021

Concise views on global finance: The industry’s assets are above a new threshold, but it’s a business reaching a limit; the head of the Canadian telecom giant has won a court victory; U.S. rival Viasat pulls the UK-based satellite operator into its orbit for a pricey $7.4 bln.

BHP coal deal shines light on climate tech divide

8 Nov 2021

The miner agreed to sell its lower-grade steelmaking ingredient for $1.4 bln. It’s a bold bet for buyer Stanmore that hydrogen won’t be a replacement anytime soon. Acquisition funding largely dependent on hedge funds and its Asian parent speak to the energy finance transition.

Coal’s end will come sooner than Glasgow suggests

5 Nov 2021

Agreements struck at the COP26 summit point to the fossil fuel being a major carbon dioxide source for 20 years or more. But even after a recent rally, the valuations of specialist miners like Peabody and Whitehaven imply the mineral will be around for nowhere near as long.

Wind turbine makers are victims of own success

3 Nov 2021

Soaring demand for renewable energy has inflated Vestas and Siemens Gamesa into multibillion-dollar firms. Yet the pair are struggling to turn a profit because of steep rises in raw materials costs. Passing those on will end wind power’s long-term trend of falling prices.

Exxon is the stock investors will hate to love

29 Oct 2021

Like its peer Chevron, the U.S. oil giant has been blunt about its commitment to fossil fuels. A 60% jump in sales last quarter shows that paid off. With fewer drillers to feed returning demand, and crude above $80 a barrel, the companies are well placed for a mini-comeback.

Shell’s Loeb parry uses cash, capex and chutzpah

28 Oct 2021

The $190 bln oil major needs to deflect activist Third Point’s call to split itself up. High crude prices make it easier to promise fat cash returns and invest more in green energy. Given Shell should have done that anyway, fending off Dan Loeb also requires a certain brass neck.

Sudan coup throws rock into choppy Nile waters

28 Oct 2021

The army has seized power in Khartoum, pushing it back into diplomatic isolation. Sudan and Egypt had existing gripes with Ethiopia over the damming of the mighty river. Removing Khartoum’s veneer of civilian rule risks future spats over Nile water use spiralling into conflict.

Moving carbon goalposts will be a wrenching burden

27 Oct 2021

The work required to make a net-zero transition is far harder than regularly announced political targets suggest. A soccer team in Taranto, Italy, home to Europe’s largest and most notorious steel mill, offers a glimpse into the economic struggles facing cities the world over.

Xi’s green reticence is partly trade-war ploy

27 Oct 2021

China’s president seems unlikely to attend the UN climate summit in Glasgow, and the country’s updated plans to cap emissions look unimpressive. Beijing may want to extract Western concessions for more ambitious carbon targets. Its environmental cleanup will proceed regardless.

Road to COP: Sealing the deal

26 Oct 2021

Seasoned climate change lawyer Rick Saines received recognition from the French state for his role in making the 2015 Paris Agreement a landmark success. With days to go until Glasgow’s equivalent COP26, he chatted to George Hay about how this one could pan out.

Capital Calls: Fantasy-sports group M&A flop

26 Oct 2021

Concise views on global finance: DraftKings has walked away from Entain but the UK target may still attract interest.

Breakdown: COP26 gets an ambitions downgrade

25 Oct 2021

An energy crisis and no-show from Xi Jinping are undermining next week’s critical climate gathering in Glasgow. Getting all states to set 2050 net-zero goals is a stretch. Maintaining some momentum via nearer-term pacts in areas like phasing out coal has more chance of success.

UK’s net-zero bill is less painful than it looks

20 Oct 2021

Britain’s pre-COP26 investment pledges augur ill for securing up to 60 bln pounds a year of mostly private capital to cut CO2 emissions. Yet unlike peers, it now has a solid net-zero strategy. If that wins over investors, other states may decide to offer similarly clear roadmaps.

Green transition needs a wider focus than oil cuts

13 Oct 2021

Fossil fuel investment has fallen to levels that would limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, the IEA says. Yet measures to hike green energy and curb demand are just as important, and lagging. Unless states act, high energy prices risk becoming an ongoing headache.

Eni’s green listing shows appropriate restraint

12 Oct 2021

The $50 bln Italian oil major’s renewables IPO may value it at 10 bln euros. Recent efforts by rivals don’t inspire confidence, but Eni’s offer blends a nascent green power business with its more established energy retail arm. That should get takers at a more modest valuation.

Capital Calls: Green investors, ASOS, Renren

11 Oct 2021

Concise views on global finance: Al Gore’s asset manager finds listed equities can influence a larger chunk of global emissions; the online retailer parts company with its CEO; the startup investor’s $300 mln settlement with aggrieved investors is likely to be an exception.