Italy’s right-wing winners inherit poison chalice 26 Sep 2022 Nationalist Giorgia Meloni, EU-sceptic Matteo Salvini and convicted former PM Silvio Berlusconi scored an election victory. Despite campaign unity, they disagree on sanctions and spending. The rivalries risk undermining the high-debt nation’s ability to tackle its energy crisis.
Uniper’s new bailout mixes scars and consolations 21 Sep 2022 Germany’s 8 bln euro capital injection heavily dilutes the stricken energy group’s investors and hands main shareholder Fortum a big loss. The Finnish group does gain from exiting the mess, and Berlin might one day profit from the rescue. But neither side will be celebrating.
Net zero woes go beyond lack of global cooperation 20 Sep 2022 The International Energy Agency frets that poor collaboration between states will keep emissions high. But the struggles of green groups like ITM Power suggest countries aren’t doing enough to help domestic markets either. Energy policy needs to do more than fight today’s crisis.
Petrodollar rush may disappoint Western financiers 20 Sep 2022 In prior energy booms, like in the 1970s, the proceeds wound up in U.S. banks and bonds. OPEC’s $907 bln haul in 2022 is smaller, and winners like Saudi Arabia need cash to pivot away from oil. Bankers may not see a developed world equities and debt bonanza on the same scale.
Capital Calls: Byju’s revenue fail 15 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: Byju’s topline shrunk after its auditor advised it to recognise its revenue differently.
Capital Calls: U.S. railways steer clear of crisis 15 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: Major U.S. railroads and unions reached a tentative deal, avoiding a shutdown that could have widespread consequences on the U.S. economy.
Oil price cap will harm, not help, Asia 15 Sep 2022 The U.S. says countries ignoring a G7-led price cap against Russia can leverage it to negotiate discounts. But even if the policy works and lowers short-term prices, India and China’s massive long-term oil needs make it risky to mess with price signals that spur fresh supply.
Europe can shrug off Putin’s Chinese gas Plan B 14 Sep 2022 With exports to its key European market shrinking fast, Moscow hopes to hike gas exports to the People’s Republic. But last year these were just 7% of EU sales, and logistics and sanctions complicate the shift. It need not deter Europe’s talk of a Russian gas price cap.
Capital Calls: Oil vs. ESG 13 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: The price of a barrel of Brent crude has fallen 30% since mid-summer, and over 10% in two weeks. If it stays below $100 a barrel, oil companies will start to become worse investments. That could help solve backlash to ESG investing.
Italy’s next government has tricky to-do list 13 Sep 2022 A rightist coalition is poised to win Italian general elections this month. In this week’s Exchange podcast Muzinich’s Fabrizio Pagani discusses the next executive’s immediate economic challenges. These include coping with an energy crisis, high public debt and a bailed-out bank.
Europe energy fallout will cascade down the years 12 Sep 2022 The gas crisis is a long-term problem which will make the region poorer and less competitive while saddling it with higher public debt. Dealing with this as well as high inflation will cause further political ructions which will cascade down the years, says Hugo Dixon.
Norway gas lifeline for Europe is the smart move 9 Sep 2022 The staunch NATO ally supplies 25% of the European Union’s gas needs and nearly half Britain’s. A trebling of oil cash and record profit at energy giant Equinor give Norway scope to cut the EU some slack on gas prices. The discount size is less important than the gesture.
Capital Calls: T-Mobile US transmits clear signal 9 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: The telecom carrier is planning a $14 bln buyback program as it beats rivals in shareholder return.
UK energy bailout leaves key details in the dark 8 Sep 2022 New Prime Minister Liz Truss plans to cap power bills for two years at a likely cost of over 100 bln pounds. It’s unclear how the scheme works, who pays the bill, or what restrictions suppliers will face. What’s certain is Britain has moved further away from a free energy market.
The consequences of Europe’s energy crisis 8 Sep 2022 As Russian President Vladimir Putin cuts off gas through a key pipeline, Breakingviews columnists discuss the response from UK and European governments, how the shutdown could have some longer-term benefits, and when Russia will feel the squeeze of lost revenue.
Europe’s sturdy banks risk becoming punch bags 8 Sep 2022 Lenders like Lloyds and Deutsche are set for a rate-hike windfall even as the region faces recession. As in the pandemic, governments may prod them to offer borrowers loan repayment holidays and cheap credit to pay their bills. But this time, banks may not get as many sweeteners.
Adani’s Fitch debt spat is good news all round 8 Sep 2022 The U.S. group’s CreditSights unit rankled the $255 bln opaque Indian behemoth last month by calling it “deeply overleveraged”. But it got Adani’s executives talking more, and investors now have two clearer views of the company to weigh up. That’s a transparently good outcome.
Tough love is best fix for energy cash crunch 7 Sep 2022 Utilities and power traders face a $1.5 trln surge in collateral demands due to swings in gas futures. The answer could be bailouts, halts in trading and collateral tweaks. Yet radical changes may increase risk. And government help, if properly priced, needn’t be a freebie.
EU has ways to learn to live with less gas 6 Sep 2022 The closure of a key Russian pipeline leaves Europe facing a 20% shortfall in fuel supply. Measures to cut demand like lower temperatures in homes and incentives for companies to use less energy may soften the blow. More gas-dependent nations like Italy must now work harder.
Singapore deal offers template for offloading coal 6 Sep 2022 Banks’ aversion to fossil fuels makes it hard for companies to sell dirty assets. So Temasek-backed Sembcorp is financing its own $1.5 bln Indian disposal with an interest rate that falls if emissions do and guaranteeing loans. It’s a more responsible way to get the job done.