City’s Brexit trickle need not turn into an exodus 13 Mar 2018 Banks such as Goldman Sachs and Standard Chartered are already moving London-based bankers to Frankfurt. Losing the “passport” to the EU’s single market means more will go. But large-scale flight can be avoided – as long as UK regulators stick closely to EU rules.
German energy carve-up generates good sparks 12 Mar 2018 RWE is splitting its ailing Innogy unit in a 22 bln euro deal with rival E.ON. The former will focus on generating power, while the latter specialises in distribution. A knotty asset swap obscures the value picture. But the plan enjoys stronger logic than previous reshuffles.
Shell investors could live with a BHP shale punt 9 Mar 2018 The Anglo-Dutch oil major may bid with Blackstone for the miner’s $10 bln U.S. shale assets, Sky says. The business would be less risky for Shell’s balance sheet than drilling for traditional oil. And private equity’s high return targets could reduce the danger of overpaying.
Renault-Nissan will struggle to lose third wheel 7 Mar 2018 The Japanese group may buy France’s 15 pct Renault stake, according a Reuters report the carmakers deny. It’d ease the French group’s heavily discounted share price and a full merger may allow the alliance to cut more costs. But it’s hard to see politicians yielding full control.
Disney’s Sky choices: bid, barter or back down 6 Mar 2018 Comcast’s swoop on the British broadcaster puts the U.S. group’s $52 bln tie-up with Rupert Murdoch’s Fox at risk. CEO Bob Iger can enter a bidding war he may lose, offer U.S. assets in exchange, or give up on Sky. The third option is most logical, but hard to sell to Murdoch.
HNA’s Swiss airplane food IPO is far from gourmet 6 Mar 2018 The former Chinese deal machine is listing up to 65 pct of Gategroup to help ease its liquidity crunch. The maker of in-flight meals has expanded since HNA paid $1.5 bln for it in 2016. Factor in an IPO discount, though, and HNA will do well to recoup its original investment.
FCA spinoff tests carmakers’ financial engineering 6 Mar 2018 The Italian auto group may hive off a non-core unit to earn a better valuation. Volkswagen and Daimler may do the same. The sums work on paper, but a lasting uplift hinges on investors reassessing the remaining businesses. M&A and operational improvements may have more impact.
GKN recruits stateside backup for Melrose bid 2 Mar 2018 The UK engineer fighting a 7 bln pound hostile bid may merge its car unit with U.S auto supplier Dana. Though a deal would be complex, it reinforces GKN’s case that a breakup creates value. The prospect of bringing in new management also defuses one of Melrose’s criticisms.
Accor’s hotel sale has unwelcome discount 28 Feb 2018 The leisure group sold half its property empire for 4.4 bln euros. The low price and a cut on the fees it earns to manage the hotels suggests its partners got the better deal. A buyback will keep investors sweet, but leave less firepower to fend off competitors like Airbnb.
Comcast’s $31 bln Sky bid spoils Disney-Fox party 27 Feb 2018 The U.S. cable group is offering 12.50 pounds per share in cash for the UK broadcaster controlled by Rupert Murdoch. That complicates the mogul’s plan to sell his entertainment assets to Disney boss Bob Iger. Murdoch must enter a bidding war for Sky or re-think the broader deal.
George Foreman Grill maker gets leaner, not meaner 26 Feb 2018 The maker of the famed kitchen device – as well as bits and bobs ranging from faucets to fish food – is combining with its majority owner in a deal valued at $10 billion. Spectrum Brands comes out with a neater structure. Its collection of businesses, though, is still messy.
Standard Life Aberdeen sale exposes core problem 23 Feb 2018 The recently merged group sold its insurance business to Phoenix for 3.2 bln pounds. Though the price looks unexciting, the deal releases capital and leaves behind a pure fund manager. But as long as the group continues to lose assets, the benefits of scale remain unproven.
Siemens’ $50 bln IPO may be first step to breakup 19 Feb 2018 The German industrial giant’s shares could be worth 25 pct more if a sale of its healthcare unit lifts a conglomerate discount. But investors may still balk at owning a company with listed stakes in disparate sectors like wind and rail. In that case, calls for a breakup may grow.
Danone’s Yakult sale points to a healthier future 14 Feb 2018 The dairy giant is selling most of its stake in Japan’s Yakult and will rake in roughly 1.4 billion euros. The value of the investment that it made in 2003 has nearly quadrupled. The proceeds will help the company meet its debt-reduction goal. The capital discipline is welcome.
Unlocking TIM’s network value requires extra step 7 Feb 2018 Italy’s biggest telco is looking to spin off its fixed-line network. This will shed light on the network’s cash-generating potential. Listing a minority stake further down the line could add value to TIM’s depressed shares and help the holding company lower its debt mountain.
Old-media stalwart tries out new business model 31 Jan 2018 Thomson Reuters’ $20 bln deal to cede control of its Financial & Risk unit to Blackstone includes a 30-year commitment to help fund the news division. That gives Reuters protection in a competitive industry, assuming its now highly leveraged biggest client prospers.
Blackstone could double its money betting on data 30 Jan 2018 The buyout firm is taking control of Thomson Reuters’ financial unit in a $20 bln deal. With a shade more efficiency and some acquisition-led growth, Blackstone could generate a generous return. The risk comes from adding financial leverage to a cyclical, competitive industry.
Sberbank’s homeward pivot is a no-brainer 30 Jan 2018 The Russian bank is in talks to offload its majority stake in Denizbank. Sanctions had already taken the shine off Sberbank’s expansion abroad. But selling the Turkish lender at its $3.2 bln book value would bolster capital and help it become even more dominant in Russia.
U.S. tax cuts pile on pressure for GE to shrink 24 Jan 2018 They should help, long term. But a big charge contributed to a whopping $9.8 bln fourth-quarter loss at the conglomerate, whose top line also declined. Cost cuts and cash-flow gains buy CEO John Flannery breathing room, but the breakup option is looming increasingly large.
Murdoch’s Sky bid will ride out regulatory storm 23 Jan 2018 The UK competition authority said Fox’s offer for the broadcaster would give Chairman Rupert Murdoch excessive media clout. It may yet call for the deal to be blocked. But Disney’s bid for Fox alters the dynamics. Ring-fencing Sky News could allow the media mogul to get his way.