Debt

UK slide raises Santander’s modest bar to success

24 Apr 2018

Net profit in its British unit dropped 21 pct, blotting the Spanish bank’s solid first quarter. Strong growth in Brazil and Spain, however, more than made up for Brexit-related jitters. More of the same should allow Santander to hit its full-year earnings and dividend targets.

ECB has big enough stick to repel bad-loan revolt

24 Apr 2018

A political backlash may force the European Central Bank to ditch plans for stricter provisioning of 760 bln euros of dud loans. The saga has weakened chief supervisor Daniele Nouy, and may delay reform of Europe’s banking union. But the ECB has other tools to cut the loan pile.

Capita swerve averts Carillion-style crash

23 Apr 2018

The outsourcer is raising 700 mln pounds from shareholders. Halving its debt-to-EBITDA ratio helps new CEO Jonathan Lewis avoid the downward spiral that felled the UK contractor. The bigger task is showing that a stronger balance sheet can reverse sliding revenue and cash flow.

VW truck IPO may squander $20 bln opportunity

19 Apr 2018

The German carmaker might list its trucks and buses unit next year. The flotation could boost the group’s shares by nearly a fifth, if the market values the division more highly than the rest of it. Yet a partial listing and Volkswagen’s messy governance would limit the upside.

Beijing sets off careless Wanda fire sale

19 Apr 2018

Officials pushed the developer to shed assets to pay down debt, forcing it to scramble to stave off default. Buyers of its properties got discounts that let them book billions in quick profit. In retrospect, Beijing’s meddling looks more hapless than prudent.

China’s surprise reserve cut exposes growth angst

17 Apr 2018

The central bank cut reserve requirements for banks, freeing $200 bln for lending. That backs up other moves to help over-stretched banks amidst a purge on loose credit. The timing, however, suggests Beijing is looking for a cushion if the economy slows, or a trade war escalates.

Intesa offers partial hope for Italy’s dud loans

17 Apr 2018

The Italian lender is nearing a deal with Swedish group Intrum to shed 10.8 bln euros of dodgy loans from its balance sheet. Domestic peers will be cheered by the price, which is higher than rivals have attained in similar transactions. Then again, Intesa is a better bank.

Zambia debt dispute undermines African credit

17 Apr 2018

The copper producer has denied it has dollar debt beyond its $8.7 bln of foreign borrowing. Its vague clarification comes two years after a $3 bln bond scandal in neighbouring Mozambique. Bilateral lending, particularly from China, is blurring the credit picture across Africa.

Review: The ultimate truth about blockchain

6 Apr 2018

The technology behind bitcoin has applications that extend far beyond the crypto-currency hype. But is it the panacea for humanity’s problems? “The Truth Machine” takes a positive view of decentralised digital ledgers, but underplays fundamental questions of safety and trust.

Chinese banks healthy enough for stronger medicine

28 Mar 2018

Stable real estate and solid corporate profits helped boost annual earnings at AgBank, CCB, ICBC and others. Manic asset growth slowed and risk buffers thickened. The way is clear for reformers to tolerate more defaults and address flaws in China’s debt-for-equity swap programme.

Cox: A beneficent billionaire should buy Remington

27 Mar 2018

The AR-15 maker filed bankruptcy papers a day after millions of Americans marched in favor of banning its products. Owners and creditors just want out in a hurry. But Bloomberg, Gates or Bezos could turn Remington into a force for sensible gun policies with mere pocket change.

Chancellor: Index investment riskier than it looks

22 Mar 2018

That investors are abrogating their responsibilities to allocate capital intelligently is a danger from the rapid growth of passive fund management. Less widely aired, but of greater concern, is the threat posed to financial stability by the dominance of benchmark-tracking funds.

Asia’s banks leave room for debt funds to thrive

21 Mar 2018

Traditional lenders neglect many smaller borrowers in the region. But while they are weighed down by bad loans and tough regulation, that creates a gap for new providers. Private debt funds are benefiting from limited competition and better bankruptcy regimes too.

Review: The flimsy finances behind China’s miracle

9 Mar 2018

The People’s Republic has long defied the economic doom-mongers. In “China’s Great Wall of Debt”, Dinny McMahon exposes the fragility and contradictions of the country’s growth model. It’s a detailed and original reality check on the latest bout of China hype.

HNA is enjoying a pleasant stay at Hilton

7 Mar 2018

The cash-strapped Chinese group bet $6.5 bln on the U.S. hotelier, using lots of borrowed money. It has now sold stock in the spun-off Park Hotels for $1.4 bln, while retaining another $7.6 bln stake. HNA has been a crazily prolific investor, but this trip was worth it.

China’s softening on bad loans looks complacent

7 Mar 2018

The regulator is easing buffers required for problem loans, according to media reports. This is another incremental move to relieve struggling lenders and borrowers amid a shadow banking squeeze. That’s good for them, but Beijing appears too relaxed about bank balance sheets.

Trump’s incoherent strategy dooms tariff crusade

2 Mar 2018

The U.S. president defended his steel and aluminum duties, arguing trade wars are “easy to win.” But his tax cuts increase the budget deficit and the country’s reliance on foreign capital, almost guaranteeing a worsening trade balance. The conflicting tactics are self-defeating.

Debt straitjacket will confine Italy’s next leader

2 Mar 2018

Candidates in Sunday’s election promise to spend more. But the winner won’t have much wiggle room. If Italy’s primary budget surplus dips below 1 pct of GDP, cutting overall debt will be hard, a Breakingviews calculator shows. Rising interest rates are a further constraint.

JPMorgan finally dresses the part

21 Feb 2018

Building a new New York headquarters may sound like exuberance on the part of boss Jamie Dimon. But the bank needs space and can afford it, and the city could gain too. Since JPMorgan is outperforming rivals with newer digs, it’s not just a case of keeping up with the Blankfeins.

Italian bank recap requires M&A faith

19 Feb 2018

Mid-sized lender Creval is raising 700 mln euros from shareholders to repair its balance sheet. Pruning bad loans will require even more capital, and projected returns are slim. The hope is that the cleaned-up bank will become a target once domestic consolidation kicks off.