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Deals

BNP’s AXA deal is a logical use of spare cash

2 Aug 2024

The French bank will buy the insurer’s fund unit for 5.1 bln euros, using money from its BancWest sale. It’s a big deal, but the price looks fair. And while BNP Paribas investors may prefer buybacks, a capital-light target makes more sense than a rash swoop on another lender.

Bill Ackman will never be the next Warren Buffett

1 Aug 2024

The hedge fund boss wanted to replicate his idol’s success, starting by raising money from the investing masses. The message failed to register: he pulled his IPO after originally aiming for $25 bln. There’s far more to the Oracle of Omaha than his returns.

Rio boss’s M&A red line may come back to haunt him

31 Jul 2024

Jakob Stausholm says the $110 bln miner will only do deals when synergies cover any premium it pays. That's usually sensible. But it might rule out buying early stage projects like rival BHP is in copper. And sometimes longer-term growth trumps shorter-term financial pain.

Posh UK wealth group flaunts takeover credentials

30 Jul 2024

St. James’s Place is drawing in new client money and cutting costs. That eases concerns that well-heeled Brits would abandon its high-priced service after a recent fee overhaul. Even after a 25% stock pop, the 3.8 bln pound group is cheap. A takeover or buyout looks plausible.

Jilted M&A target opens books on data room angst

29 Jul 2024

Oil giant Phillips 66 is due in court over charges it stole trade secrets while deep in talks to buy Propel Fuels. Penalties could be as high as $3 bln. Just as punitive would be greater suspicion from future prey. Even before money changes hands, dealmaking is riddled with risk.

SocGen’s valuation salvation may lie in a breakup

29 Jul 2024

The 19 bln euro French bank trades at a 60% discount to rivals – the widest gap in a decade. None of its core units are particularly attractive, making a revival tough. But selling listed holdings, worth 8 bln euros, could fund a deeper restructuring and make M&A more plausible.

Casino buyout puts new spin on public vs. private

26 Jul 2024

Hedge fund Standard General is offering Bally’s investors a $4.6 bln deal that looks less than generous, but with the option to take risky, semi-liquid over-the-counter stock instead of cash. Unappealing as that is in this case, it shows how the lines between worlds are blurring.

Rose-colored Ray-Bans shade brand rehab realities

26 Jul 2024

EssilorLuxottica is paying $1.5 bln for Supreme, whose cachet suffered under Vans owner VF. Streetwear strays from the buyer’s eyewear expertise and the imputed return on capital looks modest. American Apparel also serves as one of many cautionary tales on fashion after it frays.

Anglo American has a job to exit post-BHP hole

25 Jul 2024

The $38 bln miner unveiled better-than-expected half-year earnings. But after fending off his Australian suitor, Anglo boss Duncan Wanblad has to give impatient investors good news on his self-help plans. Coal and diamond headaches make that increasingly hard to do.

CrowdStrike in cursed grip of corporate klutz club

24 Jul 2024

The cybersecurity company’s 20%, or $17 bln, loss in value after a botched software update echoes those of bumblers from Chipotle to Citigroup. Many factors determine how long the stain lasts. Foremost among them is a CEO’s ability to persuade shareholders the slip was a one-off.

Bosch’s US deal blows cold air on EU growth

23 Jul 2024

The German industrial group is paying $8 bln to buy air-conditioning businesses from conglomerate Johnson Controls. The valuation looks good compared to where peers trade. For American castoffs to attract such a heavy capital outlay, however, is a bad omen for Europe’s prospects.

Sabadell surfs interest-rate wave away from BBVA

23 Jul 2024

The Spanish bank reckons it can generate at least a 13% return on tangible equity this year and next. It makes BBVA’s 12 bln euro hostile all-share bid less attractive. Sabadell will still suffer if rates fall fast, but a higher offer seems more necessary by the day.

KKR-Eni biofuels deal is rich bet on governments

23 Jul 2024

The US investor could pay up to $14 bln for 25% of the Italian group’s bioenergy arm. That’s a big premium to listed peers, at a time when greener fuels made from crops are less favoured. Long-term growth rates mean it makes sense, but only if states keep assisting the market.

WH Group’s US spinoff can undo hamfisted bet

23 Jul 2024

The China-based pork producer aims to relist the Smithfield unit it bought for $7.1 bln over a decade ago. Trade wars and swine fever have dashed hopes of integrating US and mainland operations. By the same token, Smithfield's Wall Street return can unlock value for its parent.

Snap may want to disappear from the public markets

22 Jul 2024

The $24 bln social media firm is staking its future in augmented reality with see-through glasses. Taking Snap private would allow breathing room. Even if insider Tencent and boss Evan Spiegel rolled shares, it would require a large check. But potential returns are worth it.

Rentokil flags debugged trend towards mega buyouts

22 Jul 2024

The $17 bln pest control company is being eyed by former BT CEO Philip Jansen, the Sunday Times says. More generous debt markets mean large takeovers are getting easier. But, while the returns on a Rentokil deal look juicy, shareholders may be wary of selling too cheaply.

Netflix and HBO would be a blockbuster duo

18 Jul 2024

A possible breakup of Warner Bros Discovery, owner of 'Game of Thrones' network HBO, could give the $280 bln Netflix a chance to swoop. Buying WBD’s streaming and studios, maybe worth $60 bln, would put Reed Hastings’ content-hungry firm in an even bigger position of strength.

EQT hit carries warning for buyout-firm investors

18 Jul 2024

The $40 bln private equity group’s shares sank after it missed analysts’ forecasts. The lesson is that predicting profits from selling companies is tough. It also suggests that a recent valuation run-up for listed managers is out of whack with tricky dealmaking conditions.

Sapporo might get half-drunk on efficiency

18 Jul 2024

After the $3 bln beer maker agreed to rejig its property holdings, activist 3D has detailed exactly how the company should go about it. Japan Inc is warming up to the idea of realising gains on real estate. But there's plenty of room for missteps, even in a seller's market.