Capital Calls: Virgin Galactic 16 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: Shares of Richard Branson’s space tourism company rocketed 30% higher on news it would launch its first commercial flight in two weeks. The customer demand required alongside competition from Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos make the valuation a moonshot.
Capital Calls: Oil M&A, Bud backlash, L&G’s CEO 15 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: Two oil-well servicers find a way to make decline more palatable, while brewer Anheuser-Busch discovers that money doesn’t always buy friends in politics. In the UK, insurer L&G picks a new CEO to try and address its Brexit discount.
Man United sale heads into messy added time 15 Jun 2023 The Premier League soccer club is in the final stages of a tense bidding war. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate the merits of offers from a Qatari suitor and chemicals tycoon Jim Ratcliffe, and what options minority investors face if they are shut out.
Moncler can inspire Golden Goose’s next step 15 Jun 2023 Skirting a pandemic and war, the maker of Super-Star sneakers doubled sales to 500 mln euros in three years, with rich margins. That’s where Remo Ruffini’s down jackets brand stood before its 2013 IPO. It may tempt owner Permira into a $3 bln sale, or Moncler into a purchase.
Vodafone’s do-or-die UK deal is a risky bet 14 Jun 2023 The $24 bln telecoms firm is merging its UK mobile business with CK Hutchison’s Three to create Britain’s largest network. It is promising investment to win over competition watchdogs. It could backfire, but CEO Margherita Della Valle has few easy ways to please weary investors.
Bunge’s $22 bln Viterra deal is a tolerable muddle 13 Jun 2023 The US crops merchant agreed to buy its peer, half-owned by Swiss commodities giant Glencore. Grain inventories cloud the math on the combined company’s debt-load. Even so, the strategic rationale, valuation multiple and savings worth $1.8 bln more than make up for the concern.
SoftBank’s Arm IPO set for double stroke of luck 13 Jun 2023 The chip designer may score Intel as an anchor investor in its planned US float. Meanwhile, customers like $975 bln Nvidia have soared amid an artificial-intelligence frenzy. It makes the company’s puffy valuation hopes slightly less implausible – but not necessarily sustainable.
Flailing property firms make for risky buyout prey 13 Jun 2023 Shares in Swedish landlord SBB crashed, while listed European peers also trade at heavily discounted valuations. It looks like a golden opportunity for private funds, with $700 bln of cash. The tough part will be securing debt financing and avoiding catching a falling knife.
To relinquish Grail, Illumina should fight for it 12 Jun 2023 A departing CEO and an ousted chairman signal an end to the gene-sequencing company’s effort to retain the $7 bln cancer detection business it bought without regulatory approval. The best way to secure a good price may be to keep battling US and EU trustbusters in court.
Nasdaq futureproofs itself, but at 2021 prices 12 Jun 2023 Buying fintech firm Adenza for $10.5 bln adds vim to CEO Adena Friedman’s plan to reduce Nasdaq’s reliance on volatile markets. Yet the price, which includes a 15% stake for seller Thoma Bravo, is high. To justify it, Friedman needs bubbly tech valuations to make a comeback.
Capital Calls: London crypto move, Stellantis SPAC 12 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak welcomes Andreessen Horowitz’s UK office just as cryptocurrencies face a regulatory crackdown in the US; the European carmaker’s move to back a London blank-check vehicle is less hairy than it sounds.
Casino’s fate rests on billionaires whack-a-mole 9 Jun 2023 Tycoon Xavier Niel and Czech investor Daniel Kretinsky are vying for control of the hard-pressed French retailer, which needs to restructure some 3 bln euros of debt. Founder Jean-Charles Naouri may be pushed out. Creditors’ backing will determine who will come out on top.
Capital Calls: UBS, Brookfield 9 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: The Swiss bank’s state loss guarantee is structured like an insurance policy against an unlikely event; the Canadian investment group teams up with UAE and Saudi investors to beat CVC’s consortium and win payments provider Network International.
Man United takeover drama may end up in court 9 Jun 2023 The $3 bln soccer giant is up for sale. Hedge funds are preparing to fight any attempt by the controlling Glazer family to exclude minority investors from a deal. The club’s relatively low valuation, compared with recent takeovers, suggests a high chance of that happening.
Gaming transatlantic gap invites M&A shoot-’em-up 9 Jun 2023 Shares in European gaming groups like Ubisoft are off by a fifth over the past year, underperforming stateside peers. Self-inflicted slip-ups are partly to blame, but players’ love for US-owned blockbusters means the valuation divide will endure. Dealmaking is a likely endgame.
Toshiba gives shareholder management masterclass 9 Jun 2023 The Japanese company is recommending a $14 bln buyout two-and-a-half months after first supporting it. The deft way its board eventually handled the process provides a template for Japan Inc to engage pushy owners. Point one: don’t automatically treat shareholders as the enemy.
Telegraph’s $750 mln price implies vanity contest 8 Jun 2023 The UK newspaper’s parent group may be up for sale after its owners failed to repay bank loans. The possible valuation, based on media reports, is steeper than the listed owner of the Daily Mirror. But an influence-seeking billionaire could find ways to justify it to themselves.
Capital Calls: GAM 8 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: An investor group led by telecoms billionaire Xavier Niel is attempting a tricky boardroom coup at the ailing fund manager.
Yacht maker’s Italy pivot shows the way for Prada 8 Jun 2023 A year after its Hong Kong IPO, the Chinese-owned maker of boats loved by Hollywood stars is rushing to also list shares in Milan. The move offers scant valuation upside, but hedges geopolitical risks. If Ferretti can pull it off, luxury brand Prada will follow.
Golf’s Saudi surrender is par for the course 7 Jun 2023 The sport’s main US and European tours are linking their commercial arms with Riyadh-run LIV Golf. Saudi gets the smaller stake despite being the only partner to put in cash. But as it has shown by splashing out on other sports, the chance to polish its image is more valuable.