Corporate Debt

Corona Capital: American football fail

14 Apr 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: The NFL has better finances and sturdier supporters than the XFL, which just filed for bankruptcy right after its reboot. But the Super Bowl operator’s future also rests on coronavirus-induced physical distancing.

SoftBank spat will aggravate WeWork’s pain

7 Apr 2020

The office-sharing group is suing its main shareholder after SoftBank canned a $3 bln tender offer, previously part of last autumn’s rescue deal. Minorities, including employees, may lose out. But a questionable board fight is the last thing WeWork needs as tenants stay at home.

Corona Capital: Saudi/Carnival, PG&E

6 Apr 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Today, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund takes an 8% stake in beleaguered cruise outfit Carnival, and the coronavirus may dislodge one of the moving parts in California utility PG&E’s plan to exit bankruptcy.

Corona Capital: Ackman’s hedge, Oil stockpiles

26 Mar 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout, including investor Bill Ackman’s surprise reversal of fortune, and the U.S. shale oil bailout that wasn’t.

More regulation, less return for U.S. utilities

19 Mar 2020

A defensive sector looks less so amid the coronavirus pandemic. A sharp rise in unemployment will make regulators less willing to green-light rate increases. Yet the grid still needs heavy investment, virus or not. PG&E’s return from bankruptcy illustrates the dilemma.

OPEC shock pours fuel on credit-market cinders

9 Mar 2020

The collapse in oil prices and worsening epidemic are causing turmoil in corporate debt markets. Yet the price moves are hard to justify, even matching the damage from Lehman Brothers’ failure in 2008. That adds weight to fears that bank trading limits can exacerbate a crisis.

HNA journey lurches to fitting return home

20 Feb 2020

The Chinese conglomerate was already cash-strapped before the coronavirus hammered travel. Selling assets has been a struggle, leaving $80 bln of debt piled up. A government bailout in the making should imprint a strong reminder about the risks of costly overseas adventures.

Anta Sports puts ultimate buy rating on itself

17 Jan 2020

After outrunning short-sellers, the Chinese apparel giant is issuing 1 bln euros of convertible debt that pays nothing and can’t be swapped for equity until shares rise 40%. Strong take-up will signal confidence Anta can repeat its success reviving Fila with Finland’s Amer.

Investors fuel unicorns’ belief in their own magic

7 Jan 2020

Private tech startups can control their valuations by only raising money when their worth is rising. Valuing businesses based on a fraction of their capital and the latest preferred-share terms also creates problems. Even WeWork may not be enough of a reality check.

Chinese buyout shop grabs for last UK pizza crust

14 Nov 2019

Hony Capital paid 900 mln pounds for PizzaExpress in 2014. Now it’s facing a wipeout as the restaurant chain falters. Snapping up unsecured bonds might boost its bargaining power in debt talks, but its hand looks weak. The firm’s best hope is that nobody wants a messy default.

SoftBank debt burden may stoke an asset fire sale

5 Nov 2019

The group’s $45 bln of borrowing seems low compared with $260 bln of equity holdings. Yet that ignores layers of leverage, and overstates SoftBank’s asset value. If CEO Masayoshi Son’s giant tech-investment machine runs into trouble, he may have to offload stakes like Alibaba.

GE-style pension tweaks blend finance and fear

14 Oct 2019

Asking future retirees to cash out early from defined-benefit pensions can help close funding holes like the $27 bln one at the U.S. conglomerate. Two things could help GE get the better end of the deal: falling interest rates, and uncertainty over the success of its turnaround.

Corporate debt doomsayers are overstating the risk

7 Oct 2019

Over half of U.S. investment-grade corporate debt is rated BBB, one level above junk. This has alarmed observers from the Fed to Pimco who fear U.S. companies could struggle in a downturn. But BBBs are not all created equal. Many such borrowers boast improving credit metrics.

Ebola bonds are wonky way to tackle pandemics

13 Aug 2019

The World Bank-backed instruments are meant to use private capital to fight disease in poor countries. But their rather random structures create weird incentives for both issuer and buyer. As a way to tackle outbreaks, it’s not obvious they’re better than more direct charity.

Deutsche credit upgraded from hopeless to hapless

15 May 2019

The bank’s credit default swap spread, a measure of riskiness, has nearly halved. The fall was due to a legal technicality, not a change in fortune, but should help clients trade with it. Still, high funding costs mean CEO Christian Sewing will struggle to boost profitability.

AB InBev’s debt belly needs more than fizzy growth

7 May 2019

Pricier beer helped the brewer’s first-quarter sales rise faster than expected. Yet AB InBev still has an unsightly debt pile and is battling falling volumes in key regions. An IPO of its Asian operations sooner rather than later would help investors breathe more easily.

Etihad is strapped in too tightly at Jet Airways

19 Mar 2019

The ailing $400 mln Indian carrier has stopped flights to Abu Dhabi, the hub of its 24 pct shareholder. Even with some planes grounded, Jet may be trying to strong-arm support for a restructuring. It’s a harsh reminder that Etihad has more to lose than just its equity investment.

Deutsche Bank’s opaque asset punt trolls regulator

1 Mar 2019

The lender’s pile of hard-to-value assets grew by 3 bln euros last year, despite the European Central Bank’s plan to scrutinise them more closely. The increase jars with boss Christian Sewing’s vision of a simpler bank – and does little to ease Deutsche’s elevated funding costs.

Santander gives bondholders a painful lesson

12 Feb 2019

The Spanish lender flouted market convention by not redeeming a subordinated bond at the first opportunity. The move wrong-footed some investors and shows that banks will put shareholders’ interests above creditors. But not all peers can afford to take such a hard-nosed approach.

U.S. corporate borrowing slump is a bearish signal

25 Jan 2019

American companies are issuing much less debt in 2019, even after a 20 pct slump in 2018. One reason is higher earnings after lower taxes, but another is cuts in planned investments. That’s how a trade war and political dysfunction could put the economy on a slower growth track.