Corporate Debt

Pandemic speeds AB InBev’s necessary revamp

25 Feb 2021

More drinking at home and higher raw materials costs will pressure the $100 bln brewer’s margins in 2021. After years of zero-based budgets, it needs looser purse strings to revive sales. But with $83 bln of debt, its valuation discount to less profitable rivals will persist.

Greek banking reform takes hazy turn

16 Feb 2021

On the eve of Piraeus Bank’s big recap, the head of the country’s bank bailout fund, HFSF, abruptly resigned. He had championed better corporate governance. The move overshadows welcome Greek banking improvements, including a bad debt cleanup plan and new insolvency code.

Bond markets will be new climate vigilantes

27 Jan 2021

Booming demand for sustainable funds and new EU rules will make debt investors more wary of buying securities issued by polluters. There are already signs that is happening in the oil and gas sector. Higher funding costs should be a powerful spur for companies to get serious.

Netflix cash position puts M&A into frame

19 Jan 2021

The $220 bln streaming service expects free cash flow to break even in 2021 just as competition with Disney and others intensifies. Pressure to attract more subscribers with fresh programming keeps growing. That makes a studio or content acquisition more appealing than buybacks.

Default wave will hit the little guy hardest

28 Dec 2020

Covid-19 has saddled companies with debts. Big groups with reserves and access to capital now look like they can ride it out. Smaller outfits won't stay afloat so easily: think local coffee shops vs. Starbucks. Governments need to get creative to help the worst-hit businesses.

Corona Capital: Poverty, Beer cans, Budget hotels

24 Dec 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Hong Kong’s poverty problem was getting worse even before the virus struck; AB InBev sells the family aluminium to cut debt; Whitbread, owner of hotel chain Premier Inn, tries to get its landlords to share the pain.

Latin America debt will hit post-crisis sweet spot

22 Dec 2020

Corporate defaults in the region have jumped during the pandemic and political concerns persist. But ultra-low global interest rates and expectations that richer countries could spend more on infrastructure will be enough to entice yield-hungry investors to these markets.

Corona Capital: New York City, Fed/climate change

15 Dec 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: New York City’s exodus puts local government in a tight spot; the Fed’s belated move shows a change in Washington.

Funky debt bonanza is breeding complacency

8 Dec 2020

Companies from BP to Gazprom are issuing more bonds that count as equity than ever before. Low rates and investors’ thirst for yield explain why, yet the benefits of such hybrids are modest. To avoid future strife, companies should sell debt that is better at absorbing losses.

China’s Xi has precious opportunity to clean up

4 Dec 2020

From property to cars to chips, President Xi Jinping is pushing new rules to defuse risks and reallocate capital. It echoes his forceful effort to deleverage the economy in 2017. With world leaders distracted by the pandemic, Xi can endure more disruption this time around.

Blackstone upends bond history with Ancestry.com

3 Dec 2020

The genealogy provider is disenfranchising large creditors in a $1.2 bln debt deal helping to fund the private equity shop’s buyout. Bondholders could push back in the future, but they can’t afford to sit out in a liquidity-drenched market. Issuers will keep their upper hand.

Corona Capital: Chevron, Boeing, OPEC, Orange

3 Dec 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Chevron cuts spending, prudently; Boeing orders are a solid step; OPEC makes up its mind; and Orange’s Belgian deal has some juice.

Corona Capital: Merck sells Moderna stake

2 Dec 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: The U.S. drugmaker is banking its winnings on an investment in Covid-19 vaccine producer Moderna that dates back to 2015.

Corona Capital: Bitcoin, Lonely Planet

1 Dec 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Bitcoin hit a record, buoyed by inflationary fears, new fans and plain old speculation. Meanwhile Lonely Planet has found a new owner, as it wrestles with an anything-but-lonely market for travel information.

Corona Capital: Skis, Italian banks, Dividends

26 Nov 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Europe’s hopes for a common ski policy hit a mogul; Italian lender Credito Valtellinese faces a lonely bidding war; Aviva’s payout cut is less stingy than it looks.

Cineworld debt horror show points to gory finale

20 Nov 2020

The world’s second-largest cinema chain wants to cut rents at its UK venues, the FT says. That would barely dent borrowings of $8 bln. Even if lockdowns end and viewers return, CEO Mooky Greidinger may need shareholders to inject as much as $2 bln, or risk lenders taking control.

Revlon may take shareholder rights full circle

18 Nov 2020

The cosmetics company controlled by Ron Perelman became a case study on shareholder value maximization following a 1980s lawsuit. Last week it narrowly avoided bankruptcy. Its business and stock price have been sliding for several years. A sale looks like the best final chapter.

Corona Capital: GM earnings, Third-quarter readout

5 Nov 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: General Motors swerves around Covid-19 potholes; and U.S. companies look to have emerged from a difficult three months in better shape than expected.

Pandemic complicates AB InBev’s debt rehab

29 Oct 2020

The $93 billion brewer canned its interim dividend but its ideal leverage of 2 times EBITDA remains out of reach. CEO Carlos Brito is expected to step down soon, his successor will need cash to invest in brands hit by Covid-19. Selling another chunk of the Asian unit would help.

GE boss reaches milestone in Sisyphean trial

28 Oct 2020

Larry Culp managed to offset damage from grounded planes and declining power-sector demand with helpfully timed payments to report positive cash flow in the third quarter. Other challenges remain, from debt to GE’s insurance business. Then there’s the existential part.