Luxury firms will warily cut prices to boost sales 19 Dec 2024 High-end goods cost 54% more than before Covid. Yet the likes of LVMH refuse to blame lower volumes on more expensive wares. The fact is that rich Chinese consumers care more about savings than status symbols. Sacrificing margins will be an uncomfortable but inevitable strategy.
Hot topics of 2024 will smoulder into new year 19 Dec 2024 Inflation in the United States, a struggling Chinese economy and Boeing’s existential challenges were among the stories that dominated this year. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain why these issues – among others – will keep cropping up in 2025.
Delivery Hero investors’ meal is stuck in traffic 13 Dec 2024 Shares in the $9.5 bln online takeaway group have dipped since it sold a $2 bln stake in its Middle East unit through a Dubai IPO. CEO Niklas Östberg can now cut net debt, but many of his businesses still burn cash. A more comprehensive breakup may be the best option on the menu.
New Macau leader deals casino hub a promising hand 12 Dec 2024 Sam Hou Fai takes charge as the gambling enclave struggles to regain its pre-pandemic lustre. He is the first to hail from mainland China and can try to deepen Macau's ties to neighboring Guangdong, including more transport links. Business at Galaxy, SJM and peers could benefit.
Blocked grocery mega-merger tips rolling M&A cart 10 Dec 2024 A US judge ruled Kroger’s $25 bln union with Albertsons is anticompetitive, siding with President Biden’s trustbusters. The decision further ingrains some of their bolder ideas. Dealmakers and CEOs planning shopping sprees under a new administration could use the reality check.
Hershey would be a bitter confection to swallow 10 Dec 2024 The Reese’s chocolatier may again be a takeover target for Cadbury owner Mondelez. Anti-obesity drugs and the recent Mars-Kellanova merger make the 2016 idea worth reconsidering. Financing a $50 bln deal will be tough, however, requiring dubiously huge synergies to justify.
Lack of M&A is squeezing Britain’s media old guard 2 Dec 2024 The Telegraph newspaper wants a new owner but is struggling to get one. And $3.5 bln broadcaster ITV isn’t courting a deal, but probably should. Government intervention, or the threat of it, is a blocker in both situations, risking a continuation of the lacklustre status quo.
India’s slowdown flashes an early-warning signal 2 Dec 2024 GDP growth slipped to 5.4% last quarter, the slowest pace in nearly two years, on weak manufacturing and spending. Perhaps it’s a blip. But the Adani fallout, Trump tariff threats and China stimulus could all deal blows to rosy assumptions about the world’s fifth-largest economy.
European pharma’s growth prescription: pivot to US 28 Nov 2024 Novartis, Novo Nordisk and regional rivals lost $86 bln in value over concerns about tariffs and other possible measures by President-elect Donald Trump. Stateside M&A and manufacturing moves could ease the pain and boost revenue. But hopping across the pond will mean paying up.
Starbucks coffee in China is better served to-go 27 Nov 2024 New boss Brian Niccol has a geographical dilemma. Crazy concoctions are flustering US baristas while Chinese customers want more new beverages. He’s better off focusing on the home market and spinning off the second-biggest business. It’s probably only worth about $7 bln anyway.
Tycoons’ odd telco bets mask a greater logic 26 Nov 2024 In recent years high-profile, rich investors like Carlos Slim have snapped up stakes in the likes of $19 bln BT. These haven’t always yielded juicy returns, nor prompted strategic shifts. But as a bet on much-needed consolidation, they may yet end up looking smart.
Itochu is a complex partner for 7-Eleven buyout 21 Nov 2024 The $71 bln trading house may join a white-knight purchase of the convenience store's owner Seven & i. Itochu owns rival FamilyMart and has business ties to the target. Its involvement in any deal may come down to a trade-off between competition and efficiency in Japan.
Walmart streak suggests it can weather Trump toll 19 Nov 2024 The $700 bln giant hiked its annual sales outlook as more people shopped at its stores. Despite being a big importer from China, it powered through the incoming president’s first trade war. With shares at an all-time high, investors are betting it can cope with another outbreak.
New Nestlé CEO wakes up and smells the bad coffee 19 Nov 2024 The KitKat maker’s boss Laurent Freixe unveiled a plan to get the $230 bln group moving again. Yet a 4% sales-growth target and unchanged operating margin seem low. Cutting $2.8 bln of costs to invest in marketing makes sense, but he’ll have to battle rising ingredient prices.
Shein margin wobble takes bite out of IPO value 14 Nov 2024 The e-commerce giant’s revenue growth slumped in the first half of 2024, and the net margin fell to 2% per The Information. Even if the business recovers, it creates uncertainty that’s compounded by a protectionist US government. Investors may struggle to see the upside.
Just Eat’s discount deal puts CEO on notice 13 Nov 2024 The food delivery firm finally sold Grubhub for $650 mln, a stark decline from the $5 bln it paid three years ago. Investors’ cheer reflects that they feared an even worse price, and it gets rid of a dead weight. But Just Eat boss Jitse Groen can’t afford any more mistakes.
Giant LBO brings barbarians to Seven & i’s rescue 13 Nov 2024 The founding Ito family has offered $58 bln to take the 7-Eleven operator private. The whopping deal would stretch Japan’s financing markets and require a management overhaul to generate decent returns. Still, it gives the board another alternative to Canadian suitor Couche-Tard.
Prosus catches a moment of relief in India 13 Nov 2024 The Mumbai listing of Swiggy, one half of a food delivery duopoly, crystallizes gains in a priority market for the $100 bln Dutch tech investor. The stock market debut of the startup is decent but Prosus' other bets in fintech and e-commerce in the country look harder to monetise.
Gulf IPO may be Delivery Hero’s only tasty morsel 11 Nov 2024 The Frankfurt-listed group is selling 15% of Talabat in Dubai. A potential $13 bln valuation would mean an arm with a third of its sales is worth more than Delivery Hero itself. Yet beyond the Gulf, a value-boosting breakup looks hard given the business overall makes a loss.
Burberry buyer would need steel-plated trench coat 6 Nov 2024 Shares in the $4 bln UK luxury group rose after a website reported that Moncler was eyeing a bid. But the returns on offer look low, while boosting the brand will be costly. Possible suitors require deep pockets, and the patience to wait a long time for any kind of payback.