Conglomerates

India needs more, not fewer, powerful tycoons

12 Dec 2024

US charges against Gautam Adani expose the country’s reliance on too few industrialists to meet its strategic goals. Rather than prompting a breakup of conglomerates, the saga may nudge the government to share the spoils of the $4 trln economy with a bigger group of chosen ones.

Masa Son risks overcompensating for his AI misses

3 Dec 2024

The SoftBank founder sold Nvidia too early and seems late to the party with his recent OpenAI investments. Now, he may be planning to invest $9 bln a year in artificial intelligence. The risk for the billionaire’s shareholders is that he acts recklessly to make up for lost time.

Nissan and Honda would drive better together

28 Nov 2024

An emergency overhaul won’t lift profitability much at Renault’s $9 bln alliance partner. And $40 bln Honda’s autos unit is subpar. Merging Japan’s second- and third-largest carmakers would give scope to cut costs, boost earnings and invest more efficiently in EVs and other tech.

Gautam Adani is promise and peril of Indian growth

28 Nov 2024

With $31 bln of debt, deep links to the banking system and a star role in India’s energy transition, the tycoon’s empire is a crucial part of the fifth-largest economy. In this week’s Viewsroom, Breakingviews columnists discuss how US bribery charges will test those dependencies.

Indian business may learn wrong lesson from Adani

27 Nov 2024

US corruption charges against tycoon Gautam Adani have cast a shadow over Narendra Modi’s war on graft. The prime minister has made progress. But rather than spurring a cleanup in the $4 trln economy, the saga might just make its capitalists warier of tapping global markets.

Adani presents India with big financing ultimatum

25 Nov 2024

US criminal charges against Chair Gautam Adani pose broad risks for the conglomerate. Though it can service its $31 bln debt for a few years, global banks may recall loans and refuse hedging contracts. New Delhi can nudge local lenders to step up, but support will come at a cost.

Adani’s US woes put TotalEnergies on the spot

22 Nov 2024

The $137 bln French group has 20% of Adani Green Energy. Gautam Adani’s US bribery charges present a different challenge to those faced by TotalEnergies in Iran in 2018. But they complicate CEO Patrick Pouyanné’s plans to expand in a key growth market.

Gautam Adani’s key man risk is hard to contain

21 Nov 2024

US bribery accusations will narrow financing options for the tycoon’s $146 bln conglomerate more than a short-seller attack did. Other countries may get involved, too. Adani can limit damage by stepping down, but his tight ownership of the empire he built complicates matters.

Itochu is a complex partner for 7-Eleven buyout

21 Nov 2024

The $71 bln trading house may join a white-knight purchase of the convenience store's owner Seven & i. Itochu owns rival FamilyMart and has business ties to the target. Its involvement in any deal may come down to a trade-off between competition and efficiency in Japan.

Friendshoring is set to become friendshoving

19 Nov 2024

India benefits from firms like Apple moving production beyond China. Under Trump, the country may get whacked by reciprocal US tariffs, dinged for its trade surplus and for a tightly managed currency. The flaws in rerouting supply chains are about to become apparent.

At least Tencent can retreat into a virtual world

14 Nov 2024

The Chinese titan's hits like "Dungeon & Fighter Mobile" helped power a one-third rise in adjusted quarterly earnings to $8 bln. Outside of gaming, though, fintech and cloud services barely grew. Consumers and companies are holding back splurging in the real world.

Prosus catches a moment of relief in India

13 Nov 2024

The Mumbai listing of Swiggy, one half of a food delivery duopoly, crystallizes gains in a priority market for the $100 bln Dutch tech investor. The stock market debut of the startup is decent but Prosus' other bets in fintech and e-commerce in the country look harder to monetise.

Vodafone M&A spree leaves German problem untouched

12 Nov 2024

CEO Margherita Della Valle has spent the past 18 months remodelling the $23 bln telco by striking deals in Britain, Spain and Italy. But the shares have trailed European rivals’. To change that, the former finance chief will have to tell a better Teutonic growth story.

Vivendi activist’s critique falls on deaf ears

1 Nov 2024

Pushy fund CIAM reckons a planned carveup of the 10-bln-euro media empire favours the controlling Bolloré clan. That’s true. Yet the split at least eases a conglomerate discount. And since voting it down would be a leap into the unknown, investors will probably just stay in line.

Samsung’s diminishing tech edge is in full glare

31 Oct 2024

The South Korean giant has lost over $100 bln of market value this year as it falls behind rivals in making chips used for AI. The company may be paying the price for one giant distraction: Boss Jay Y. Lee's never-ending legal troubles. Shareholders are voting with their feet.

Bidders poke holes in Japan’s fair M&A push

21 Oct 2024

Seven & i and Fuji Soft have each dug in their heels against generous takeover approaches from Canada's Couche-Tard and buyout firm Bain Capital. New guidelines are reshaping the market for deals in the $4 trln economy, but reluctant targets retain power to simply say no.

What Masayoshi Son can teach us about investing

11 Oct 2024

The Japanese tech tycoon backed future giants like China’s Alibaba as well as spectacular flops like office-sharing startup WeWork. A new biography likens him to a high-stakes gambler. But Son’s chequered career also reveals some of the skills of a successful venture capitalist.

Weak 7-Eleven defense might embolden Couche-Tard

10 Oct 2024

Japan’s top convenience store owner will spin off its superstores and trim stakes in non-core assets to fend off a $47 bln takeover approach. It’s a disappointing strategy update. The Canadian suitor can consider taking its offer directly to the target’s long-suffering investors.

Couche-Tard clears price hurdle to Seven & i deal

9 Oct 2024

The Canadian suitor can cut enough costs to justify its revised 53% indicative premium, valuing its rival's enterprise at $55 bln. Though antitrust concerns in the US remain, it seriously raises the bar for the Japanese target's strategic update on its plans to unlock value.

Couche-Tard gives 7-Eleven owner easy defence path

6 Sep 2024

The Japanese company's board unanimously rejected its Canadian suitor's $39 bln takeover offer. The 21% premium is well short of Seven & i's breakup value. For this deal to be a real test of Japan's receptiveness to foreign M&A, Couche-Tard needs to work a whole lot harder.