Companies & Funds

Charlie Ergen drowns in two kinds of debt

15 Nov 2024

The EchoStar founder may lose a deal to merge his satellite TV service Dish with rival DirecTV after bondholders balked at a $1.5 bln haircut. Years of bidding up assets and finagling the financial burden has tried creditors’ patience. It would be wise to come to the table now.

Biden trustbusters keep new ideas on life support

15 Nov 2024

The DOJ is suing to stop UnitedHealth’s $3 bln deal for in-home care rival Amedisys, arguing it would hurt patients. As with other recent US litigation, it targets issues beyond price, in this case quality and capacity. It’s a parting shot at codifying novel competition theory.

UK mistakes City liberalisation for a growth plan

15 Nov 2024

Finance minister Rachel Reeves wants to unleash the 153-bln-pound financial sector to boost the economy. It’s not clear that her reforms so far, like a share-trading venue for private companies, will do that. Meatier deregulation, meanwhile, would raise the risk of future crises.

ASML’s sunny AI destination has a cloudy roadmap

15 Nov 2024

The $270 bln semiconductor equipment maker has stuck to its 2030 sales guidance, thanks to growing data centre needs. But chipmakers’ strife, politics, and weak smartphone demand remain near-term headaches. Investors may like ASML’s destination, but the route there looks bumpy.

Investors ignore the law of long-term averages

14 Nov 2024

US stocks are trading at 38 times cyclically adjusted earnings, near the most expensive level ever on that measure. For more than two decades, equities have defied predictions that valuations return to the historical mean. Yet conditions which enabled juicy returns are fading.

Disney’s new storybook omits Dumbos in the room

14 Nov 2024

The Magic Kingdom uncharacteristically unveiled three-year targets, including a 10% operating margin for Hulu and Disney+. It’s a bold plan that glosses over troubled TV and streaming-service upheaval. Even more curious: the outlook extends beyond Bob Iger’s run as CEO.

John Malone M&A cleanup costs minority investors

14 Nov 2024

The famed cable dealmaker’s empire is reshaping itself, as giant Charter strikes a $13 bln agreement for Liberty Broadband. It’s mostly about the buyer getting back a lump of its own shares, at an 11% discount. The transaction is great for everyone except selling shareholders.

Shein margin wobble takes bite out of IPO value

14 Nov 2024

The e-commerce giant’s revenue growth slumped in the first half of 2024, and the net margin fell to 2% per The Information. Even if the business recovers, it creates uncertainty that’s compounded by a protectionist US government. Investors may struggle to see the upside.

China’s stimulus priorities are plain to see

14 Nov 2024

Readouts of Beijing’s economic meetings focus on fixing local government debt and reflating asset prices, both for equities and property. Expect ongoing policies to zero in on these areas. Those waiting for heavy spending and consumer handouts will be disappointed.

At least Tencent can retreat into a virtual world

14 Nov 2024

The Chinese titan's hits like "Dungeon & Fighter Mobile" helped power a one-third rise in adjusted quarterly earnings to $8 bln. Outside of gaming, though, fintech and cloud services barely grew. Consumers and companies are holding back splurging in the real world.

Elliott puts too many eggs in Honeywell’s basket

13 Nov 2024

The pushy fund manager’s effort to cleave the $150 bln conglomerate is backed by its biggest investment ever. A breakup like ones at other creaking empires such as GE makes sense, but invoking those successful splits is risky. A projected uplift of at least 50% looks optimistic.

Siemens Energy’s vicious circle becomes virtuous

13 Nov 2024

The $35 bln German group surged 20% after it revealed punchy 2028 targets. For years, troubles in its wind unit obscured Siemens Energy’s status as a green transition winner. While these aren’t all fixed, the company looks cheap if CEO Christian Bruch can hit his new goals.

Just Eat’s discount deal puts CEO on notice

13 Nov 2024

The food delivery firm finally sold Grubhub for $650 mln, a stark decline from the $5 bln it paid three years ago. Investors’ cheer reflects that they feared an even worse price, and it gets rid of a dead weight. But Just Eat boss Jitse Groen can’t afford any more mistakes.

Giant LBO brings barbarians to Seven & i’s rescue

13 Nov 2024

The founding Ito family has offered $58 bln to take the 7-Eleven operator private. The whopping deal would stretch Japan’s financing markets and require a management overhaul to generate decent returns. Still, it gives the board another alternative to Canadian suitor Couche-Tard.

Gulf’s AI strategy is built on more than sand

13 Nov 2024

The UAE and Saudi are raising $200 bln for artificial intelligence. A reliance on imported chips means AI superpower status akin to China or the US is unlikely. But even if the region can’t build a ChatGPT-killer, it can carve out a niche to make the exercise worthwhile.

Prosus catches a moment of relief in India

13 Nov 2024

The Mumbai listing of Swiggy, one half of a food delivery duopoly, crystallizes gains in a priority market for the $100 bln Dutch tech investor. The stock market debut of the startup is decent but Prosus' other bets in fintech and e-commerce in the country look harder to monetise.

Chinese markets hope and prepare for the best

12 Nov 2024

Stocks shrugged off both Trump’s win and an underwhelming stimulus package for growth in the People's Republic. The buoyancy reflects a risky bet the US won't apply a full 60% trade tariff and optimism that China is better equipped than most countries to deal with higher duties.

Arbageddon dangers averted by only so much

12 Nov 2024

Merger arbitrageurs battered by tougher trustbusters and scarce deals cheered the US election results. The pending $35 bln takeover of credit card brand Discover and others may benefit, as more M&A gets teed up. A mercurial Donald Trump, however, is bound to blow up some trades.

Shell’s legal win flags need for new green metrics

12 Nov 2024

A Dutch court has nixed a 2021 ruling forcing the $204 bln oil major to cut emissions by 45% by 2030. Such metrics had already been undermined by Big Oil asset sales, which don’t stop climate change. Drillers’ spending on low-carbon energy is a better gauge of green credentials.

Vodafone M&A spree leaves German problem untouched

12 Nov 2024

CEO Margherita Della Valle has spent the past 18 months remodelling the $23 bln telco by striking deals in Britain, Spain and Italy. But the shares have trailed European rivals’. To change that, the former finance chief will have to tell a better Teutonic growth story.