Communications

Google will struggle with Apple-generated AI query

5 Apr 2024

Artificial intelligence presents the first serious threat to the search engine’s 25-year dominance. Parent Alphabet has the money and tech nous to fend off rivals. The bigger financial risk is its $120 bln relationship with the iPhone maker as trustbusters try to pry them apart.

Apple picks a better road to AI dominance

28 Feb 2024

The $2.8 trln tech giant has ditched a decade-long quest to build a car. Though huge, the auto market is cutthroat. Besides, making cars would have mostly been a new way to capture customers’ data and brainspace. The iPhone maker has more effective ways to achieve that goal.

Capital Calls: Charter and Altice

27 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: Tying up Charter, the cable giant backed by the media mogul, with rival Altice USA would form the country’s largest broadband player. That isn’t worth bearing the burden of regulatory hurdles, Altice’s mountain of debt, or its over-rich valuation.

Apple’s AI absence may be its advantage

1 Feb 2024

Microsoft and Alphabet pepper quarterly results with the promise of artificial intelligence. The $2.9 trln Apple barely mentions it. The risk is a giant missed opportunity. But its gadgets may indirectly benefit, and without the ballooning capital expenditure at peers like Meta.

HPE’s Juniper deal magnifies power of competition

10 Jan 2024

Buying the networking-gear maker for $14 bln is designed to cash in on AI growth. Despite riding the internet boom, however, Juniper has generated less than half the return of the S&P 500 Index since its IPO 24 years ago. It’s a timely lesson on how robust rivalries erode profit.

Paramount casts itself in next season’s M&A hit

21 Dec 2023

By starting talks with potential acquirer Warner Bros Discovery, the Redstone family is effectively putting its $10 bln media empire in play. There are multiple ways to structure a deal, and many possible suitors. It’s just not clear debt-laden WBD is the best for the role.

Disney’s 2024 lifeline leads to Tim Cook

21 Dec 2023

Boss Bob Iger is seeking a partner for sports network ESPN. Tim Cook’s Apple would be a nice co-owner. The brands are aligned, the executives have a history with movie studio Pixar, and the iPhone maker is getting deeper into sports.

Fourth is with Jana in communications-space wars

8 Dec 2023

The pushy hedge fund wants $5 bln fiber-network builder Frontier to auction itself. Three of its other recent campaigns in the industry – at CyrusOne, Vonage and Zayo – all led to deals. This one’s a tougher sell, but there’s probably a buyer willing to pay a modest premium.

Apple’s cash insures against exuberance

3 Nov 2023

The $2.8 trln iPhone maker’s valuation is rich even as growth slows, antitrust worries cloud its services business and trade wars threaten China sales. While investors seem as confident as ever, the company’s balance sheet suggests boss Tim Cook is exercising some caution.

Amazon’s space dreams deserve to be grounded

16 Oct 2023

The tech giant's $10 bln internet-in-the-sky venture is years late and thousands of satellites short in rivaling SpaceX. It may appeal to founder Jeff Bezos and his rocket-maker Blue Origin. But Amazon risks a costly rerun of prior telecom booms that led to painful busts.

AI is making Meta virtually cool again

28 Sep 2023

Mark Zuckerberg talked up his $780 bln social media company’s artificial intelligence products at a developer conference. If they added as much value as Instagram, Meta could be worth $140 bln more. But Zuckerberg has to show he can monetize something he’s building from scratch.

Grisly Hulu battle would deepen streaming wars

26 Sep 2023

Comcast and Disney are set to spar over valuing the TV service behind the “The Bear.” Cable boss Brian Roberts figures his company’s 33% stake is worth a bundle; rival Bob Iger will disagree. A long fight makes little sense when they’ll probably wind up around $33 bln anyway.

Cisco’s $28 bln spelunking yields dicey deal

21 Sep 2023

Buying data and security outfit Splunk could increase recurring revenue at the $215 bln networking giant. Cisco is also paying a low multiple. But the two don’t have much overlap, and Splunk’s cloud-based business needs work. Cisco bears execution risk, which hinges on growth.

Alphabet’s glib but effective defense: Google it

13 Sep 2023

The tech giant dragged Microsoft, Apple and even Yahoo into its fight against US trustbusters. In response to the DOJ painting it as a predator, the $1.7 trln company’s lawyers said to just do a search on its site. The answer gets at the formidable competition it’s up against.

Apple investors grow fat on iPhone’s thinning buzz

12 Sep 2023

The tech giant’s latest handset, to be unveiled Tuesday, may offer incremental improvements. Sharper pictures and faster charging won’t spur many upgrades. The $2.8 trln group’s main innovation is persuading investors to pay a higher multiple for slower-growing revenue.

Apple’s high valuation exposes it to China’s whims

7 Sep 2023

The $2.8 trln tech giant's shares lost 7% in two days after reports said Beijing will impose a ban on officials using iPhones. Current retaliatory measures shouldn’t matter much to valuation. But more draconian assumptions show a problem, especially at Apple’s elevated multiple.

Capital Calls: Microsoft in the EU, Dollar General

31 Aug 2023

Concise views on global finance: The software giant will sell its Teams communications app separately from other software in the European Union; the discount retailer’s poor results reflect a more resilient US economy.

LinkedIn ages like fine wine in Microsoft’s cellar

28 Jun 2023

In contrast to souring Meta and Twitter, the drier social media app is flourishing. Although veiled by its parent’s cloud dominance, the 2016-vintage acquisition has tripled in value from its $26 bln price tag. Business-related data also will help it keep maturing in the AI era.

KKR places a bet on American political dysfunction

11 Apr 2023

The buyout shop is now a 30% owner of FGS, a communications firm with a big presence in Washington. The timing couldn’t be better: U.S. companies claim public policy decisions are crimping business. That affects KKR too. Tapping into the advisory gravy train is a hedge of sorts.

Canada’s deal Mounties get $15 bln wake-up call

17 Mar 2023

Rogers’ deal for telecoms rival Shaw may finally close after a two-year fight. The country’s antitrust agency failed to block it – the latest in a history of losses. Reform efforts should wrestle with reasons for its lack of teeth next to aggressive U.S. and European enforcers.