Commodities

Glencore can dig its way out of Kinshasa quagmire

30 Apr 2018

A former partner is threatening to freeze two of the $71 bln commodity giant's operations in Congo, demanding $3 bln. It's the latest in a list of woes in the African country, including a tough new mining code. But the 6 pct drop in the stock over the past week is overblown.

Nigeria’s FX reserve fetish is bad for growth

30 Apr 2018

President Muhammadu Buhari is vaunting a rapid rise in foreign exchange reserves. A decent war chest is worth having in case the naira needs defending. But accumulating a vast pile of dollars will deprive the economy of the hard currency it needs to keep growing and create jobs.

Electrolux buffeted by perfect Trump tariff storm

27 Apr 2018

The Swedish fridge maker lost a tenth of its value after operating profit almost halved in the first quarter. A rejig of its freezer factories in the U.S. was one culprit. But investors are dubious that cost cuts will enable such a global business to offset higher steel prices.

ConocoPhillips shows way on cash discipline

26 Apr 2018

Higher oil prices are fortifying Big Oil’s finances, as the U.S. producer’s earnings confirm. CEOs have to balance buying new assets, beefing up balance sheets, and paying cash out to shareholders. Wasteful opportunities abound, and Conoco’s measured approach is worth mimicking.

BP’s chairman pick is odd balm for old pay scars

26 Apr 2018

The UK oil major has picked ex-Statoil CEO Helge Lund to replace Carl-Henric Svanberg. Lund is a respected figure, but drew investor heat for his high remuneration when at BG Group. Given BP Boss Bob Dudley himself had a pay spat in 2016, it will raise investor eyebrows.

Indonesia’s green ploy for copper raises red flag

25 Apr 2018

New environmental rules complicate and delay already tricky negotiations over control of Freeport-McMoRan's Grasberg mine. Cleaning up is a good thing, but the timing smacks of strong-arm tactics. It's a cautionary tale to foreign investors about an economy with so much appeal.

Water M&A fight puts governance center stage

24 Apr 2018

Eversource’s bid to upset SJW’s $750 mln deal with CWS is a close call on financial grounds. The interloper feels unfairly shut out, though, because SJW’s CEO ran the target until last year. And Eversource’s last big merger was messy. Watchdogs have to navigate choppy currents.

U.S. sanctions rethink is only partly reassuring

24 Apr 2018

A Treasury decision to delay the effects of sanctions on Rusal and allow it to disentangle itself from Oleg Deripaska has boosted the shares of the Russian group. But it leaves U.S. policy harder to gauge. That doesn’t augur well for next month’s crunch decision on Iran.

Vivo Energy offers pricey road to African growth

24 Apr 2018

The operator of 1,800 fuel stations across the continent is planning a stock market listing that values it at up to $3.3 billion. Earnings growth is healthy, and the company has scale. But a comparison with smaller regional rivals suggests the premium price tag is a stretch.

Subsea 7 can still save McDermott from itself

23 Apr 2018

The Oslo-listed oil services group has lobbed in a $2 bln offer for its U.S. counterpart. Subsea 7’s bid looks low, and hinges on McDermott ditching an agreed deal with CB&I. But CB&I’s sale of Stone & Webster to Toshiba is a bad precedent, and Subsea 7 can afford to pay more.

Trump’s OPEC smackdown more relevant than it looks

20 Apr 2018

The president slammed the oil cartel for production cuts that spurred the highest oil prices since 2014. Whatever his intent, members meeting in Jeddah should be wary of leaving the field open for rivals. A U.S. shale-drilling frenzy would hurt prices more than a tweet.

Zambia debt dispute undermines African credit

17 Apr 2018

The copper producer has denied it has dollar debt beyond its $8.7 bln of foreign borrowing. Its vague clarification comes two years after a $3 bln bond scandal in neighbouring Mozambique. Bilateral lending, particularly from China, is blurring the credit picture across Africa.

Russia’s banks could once more be its airbag

16 Apr 2018

The Kremlin has already authorised short-term liquidity to metals group Rusal. If the U.S. sanctions net gets cast wider, Moscow could use its control of the big Russian banks to prop up stricken companies. After all, that’s what it did when things last got dicey in 2014.

Qatar/Exxon love-in makes two types of sense

12 Apr 2018

Deepening its relationship with the Texas-based oil major would tie the Arab state more closely to the U.S. after recent tensions with Saudi Arabia. It also gets Exxon investing in infrastructure. That could open up the global market, to the benefit of both parties.

DSM has ingredients for long-term health

12 Apr 2018

Shares in the Dutch vitamin and chemicals group hit a record high after it reported strong first-quarter sales. A fire at German rival BASF’s plant cut supply, prompting a spike in vitamin E prices. A healthy underlying business shows the valuation boost needn’t be temporary.

Opacity makes U.S. sanctions on Russia more potent

11 Apr 2018

Rusal aluminium will be barred from London’s Metal Exchange, and the Russian group and parent En+ will be deleted from some stock indices. In theory, non-Americans should be able to deal with both. But fear of how rules will be enforced is compounding the pain of tough sanctions.

Trump trade war risks European carmaker backfire

10 Apr 2018

BMW and Daimler sell a surprising number of American-made vehicles in China. Were the U.S. president’s tariff-war rhetoric to become reality, carmakers could shrink stateside production. If Trump wants to keep rather than lose jobs, he should seize Beijing’s latest olive branch.

Bayer investors get unwelcome antitrust present

10 Apr 2018

The German company has struck a deal with U.S. regulators to clear its $60 billion acquisition of seed group Monsanto, the Wall Street Journal reported. After EU approval in March, a two-year saga is almost over. Bayer’s sagging stock price means shareholders can hold the cheers.

Glencore’s Rusal cloud has a silver lining

9 Apr 2018

The commodity trader is nursing a hit to its 9 percent stake in the Russian miner, whose shares have halved due to U.S. sanctions. But the loss is bearable and disruption to the aluminium market and growing protectionism may end up helping CEO Ivan Glasenberg’s trading business.

Russian stocks deliver sanctions face-palm moment

6 Apr 2018

The U.S. sanctioned Rusal and EN+, as well as related oligarchs like Oleg Deripaska. The danger that groups close to the Kremlin might get burned was pretty clear in EN+’s recent IPO prospectus. Governance and politics are as critical to such companies’ value as their operations.