Commodities

Mongolian coal IPO may keep wandering

22 Jun 2018

The Central Asian nation revived plans to list its prize mine, seven years after it tried at a $15 bln valuation. Coal prices have rebounded from 2015 lows and Chinese demand is strong. With just one big customer and years of false starts, though, investors will need convincing.

South32 finds acceptable way to splash the cash

18 Jun 2018

The BHP spinoff is paying $1.3 bln for the rest of Canadian miner Arizona Mining. The 50 percent premium sounds reminiscent of past mining M&A excess. Yet the deal makes strategic sense, and isn’t too pricey. Besides, South32 needs to deploy its mountain of net cash.

Glencore Congo settlement is a calculated risk

15 Jun 2018

Paying royalties to Israeli businessman Dan Gertler in euros rather than dollars helps solve the commodities giant’s headache in the African country, while avoiding falling foul of American sanctions. The danger, though, is that the United States changes the goalposts.

ThyssenKrupp can forge better steel deal with Tata

14 Jun 2018

The German group has outperformed its Indian rival since they agreed a European steel joint venture last year, and now produces more than twice as much EBITDA. Tata could pay cash or give up dividends to close the gap. Walking away from the hefty synergies would be too painful.

Italy and ArcelorMittal can unpick steel knot

13 Jun 2018

The government’s largest party has campaigned for shutting Europe’s top smelter, now being sold to the Indian steel group. At the very least, Italy will demand more environmental and labour pledges. Yet the fact Arcelor doesn’t look to be overpaying suggests room for compromise.

Glencore solves least troubling Congo problem

13 Jun 2018

A debt-for-equity swap at a DRC unit settles a thorny dispute with state miner Gecamines. But the $74 bln resources giant is no nearer to a deal on the country's burdensome new mining code. Heightened uncertainty over upcoming presidential elections only adds to the discomfort.

CKI’s $10 bln bid can snare Australian prey

13 Jun 2018

The Hong Kong giant is circling Australia's top gas pipeline firm. A 33 pct premium ought to satisfy APA’s board, especially as tougher rules bite. The odds are good for Victor Li’s first big deal since he took over from father Li Ka-shing at parent company CK Hutchison.

Chinese deal offers DRC miners a rare sign of hope

12 Jun 2018

State-backed CITIC has poured $560 mln into Robert Friedland’s Ivanhoe Mines. That is an unusual endorsement of the Democratic Republic of Congo, following a punitive new mining code. The move suggests a compromise is still likely, which would benefit Glencore and Randgold too.

China’s giant battery-maker can outrun IPO hype

11 Jun 2018

CATL shares rose by the maximum 44 pct in its market debut. While such ardour is common in China’s frothy markets, the $12 bln local champion could live up to high expectations. Its success will also rev up demand for the next listings that ride the global electric vehicle boom.

M&A pause is promising for Wesfarmers investors

7 Jun 2018

The $39 billion Australian conglomerate is exiting British DIY and spinning off supermarkets. Newish boss Rob Scott is wary about future dealmaking. That is encouraging for shareholders: it makes more sense for now to work existing businesses harder and return more cash.

Starbucks boss seeks smoother second shot at exit

4 Jun 2018

Howard Schultz is leaving the company he built into a global icon, and he may even run for U.S. president. He stepped away in 2000, but came back eight years later. If he’s to quit Starbucks for good this time, the coffee chain will need ideas that stay fresher for longer.

Oil rally puts New Delhi in a bind

29 May 2018

As a major energy importer, India is in a tight spot. Taxes introduced when crude was cheap are now squeezing consumers. The government can’t reverse course without creating a budget hole – unless it makes up the shortfall by taxing ONGC and other producers instead.

U.S.-China trade gap is best filled with software

23 May 2018

Beijing plans to shrink the $375 bln surplus by buying commodities like oil and soybeans. Better to import intellectual property, and pay for the millions of unlicensed copies of Microsoft and Adobe products running in China. Local firms could use the productivity upgrade.

Rio Tinto can ease out of Indonesian mine mess

23 May 2018

The Anglo-Australian group may be ready to accept $3.5 bln for its interest in Freeport-McMoRan's Grasberg copper operation. The offer is hardly full, but a deal would save on costs and frustration. It also should make it easier for both companies to extract from a tough spot.

Citi’s Hong Kong slap has lesson for new IPO boom

18 May 2018

The securities watchdog fined the U.S. lender $7 mln over a troubled 2009 flotation. One failing was a lack of oversight from senior staff. As a wave of biotech outfits, many boasting complex and unproven products, prepares to list, banks in the city will have to stay vigilant.

Saudi risks squandering looming oil boon

14 May 2018

The scope to plug gaps left by sanctioned Iranian oil will help Riyadh’s budget. The surplus would be best spent on education and measures to grow the private sector. The danger is that the money will be used for flashy Vision 2030 state projects that look good but change little.

Saudi gets new license to be selfish over oil

9 May 2018

Since 2016 the kingdom has championed output cuts that have drained a supply glut and helped spur prices. Now that the U.S. President has amped up sanctions on Iran, Saudi can fill any gap left by lower Iranian exports. What it loses on price, it gains in volume and U.S. gratitude.

Asia’s hunger for cheap energy will sustain coal

4 May 2018

The era of steam coal is not over yet. Banks don’t want to finance it, big miners are dropping it, and China is migrating to cleaner natural gas. But the shift to green fuels is slow, and regional demand for electricity is outpacing it. That will keep prices lofty.

Arconic is sorely testing Elliott’s mettle

30 Apr 2018

Investors wiped $2 bln off the parts maker’s value after it slashed its earnings outlook. Activist Elliott helped oust CEO Klaus Kleinfeld last year. But new boss Chip Blankenship faces the same old production snafus and aluminum price hikes. It’s looking like a long campaign.

Enel and Iberdrola’s Brazil war lacks restraint

30 Apr 2018

The two companies’ rival bids for Eletropaulo have nearly doubled the market value of Brazil’s top utility in a month, to $1.6 billion. The Europeans want to boost their presence in Latin America’s biggest nation. But the deal is too pricey to create much value for the winner.