Beer

Drink giants’ risky new plan: quantity not quality

1 Oct 2024

Liquor makers like $80 bln Diageo until recently focused on ‘premiumisation’, where customers consume less alcohol but pay up for fancy brands. With punters feeling the pinch, that strategy looks dicey. Yet flogging more cheap booze is optically awkward and financially painful.

Big Beer’s stumbles leave investors ice cold

14 Aug 2024

Heineken shares are down after it disappointed investors hoping for a sport-fuelled profit party. Rival Carlsberg’s valuation has fallen due to a $4 bln soft drinks takeover. For CEOs, emerging markets growth and deals in the right areas are the only way to add fizz to stocks.

Big Beer’s low-alcohol Plan B has too much froth

9 Jul 2024

Carlsberg, AB InBev and Asahi have set toppy targets for their teetotal products. Health concerns and Gen Z’s aversion to alcohol imply that’s a safe bet. But at $13 bln the market is still puny – and if the likes of Coca-Cola muscle in there will be a smaller barrel to share.

Britvic can swerve Carlsberg dilution

21 Jun 2024

The soft drinks maker rebuffed a $4 bln cash deal from the Danish beer giant. Carlsberg wants to boost its no-alcohol business, so may yet return with a more generous offer. But Britvic’s cocktail of geographic expansion and low-sugar drinks means it can also grow on its own.

Heineken dilutes beer’s merrier future

14 Feb 2024

The $54 bln group’s higher prices led to lower volumes, at odds with Carlsberg’s cheerier numbers. Diageo reckons drinkers are shifting from spirits to beer, which should help brewers. Still, without clear evidence investors may not price in the growth a windfall should imply.

Diageo investors seem braced for a beerier future

30 Jan 2024

The $78 bln drinks giant’s sales of spirits fell in the second half of 2023, but Guinness held up. If investors thought Diageo could hit its sales targets, it would be worth more. One takeaway is that they think more of its future revenue could come from less highly valued beer.

Diageo’s Latin American pain risks spreading

10 Nov 2023

Shares in the spirit company fell 16% on a profit warning. Cash-strapped customers are buying cheaper tequila and whisky and switching to beer. But with interest rates at their current high levels, depressed demand could soon hit Diageo’s larger markets and rivals as well.

Capital Calls: Sequoia, Heineken, Moneyball

31 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: The venture capital firm issues a refund to cryptocurrency investors; the $57 bln brewer slashes its operating profit outlook; Steve Cohen’s New York Mets baseball team and its whopping $364 mln payroll is a mess, but in sports beta is the alpha.

Ireland becomes guinea pig for booze clampdown

13 Jul 2023

Drinks like Guinness and Smirnoff vodka will feature cancer warning labels by 2026. It’s a bold move that will be watched closely by the US and Europe. If it’s a success and is replicated, rosy forecasts of alcohol sales soaring to $2 trln by 2030 may be revised.

Capital Calls: FedEx delivers, for now

17 Mar 2023

Concise views on global finance: Shares in the delivery company shot up over 10% on Friday, as cost-cutting measures pay off. Those benefits could easily dwindle.

Capital Calls: Carlsberg CEO exit

7 Mar 2023

Concise views on global finance: Asia will be a key battleground for the $21 bln Danish brewer’s next boss.

Energy crisis gives beermakers a lasting hangover

26 Oct 2022

Heineken’s shares fell 10% after reporting weaker-than-expected sales. Inflation is eroding punters’ disposable income, making it harder for brewers to raise prices like in previous crises. Soaring costs for fuel and wheat, which bite next year, pose a further threat to margins.

Japan’s sober youth gives its brewers a headache

19 Aug 2022

A decline in drinking among the country’s young has driven the national tax agency to try to boost alcohol’s popularity. No wonder Asahi boss Atsushi Katsuki is eyeing the U.S. market. Yet previous overseas adventures by Japanese booze giants make for a sobering read.

Capital Calls: Heineken’s post-Covid bounce

1 Aug 2022

Concise views on global finance: Beer drinkers are quaffing more than before the pandemic, despite higher prices. But the Dutch brewer’s decision to scrap its 2023 operating profit margin target suggests it can’t entirely escape rising costs.

Capital Calls: Microsoft micromanages tech jitters

2 Jun 2022

Concise views on global finance: A 1% revenue shortfall because of a strong dollar normally isn’t that important. Microsoft’s warning reflects how nervous tech investors have become.

AB InBev’s low-alcohol miss has sobering effect

27 May 2022

The world’s biggest brewer wants 20% of its beer volume in 2025 to contain little or no alcohol. Hitting the booze-free target requires unlikely growth of 30% a year. That puts a dampener on CEO Michel Doukeris’s do-gooder vibes, as well as his sales and margin potential.

Capital Calls: JPMorgan, FirstGroup, Break fees

18 May 2021

Concise insights on global finance: Jamie Dimon is shuffling his deputies; the UK bus-to-rail group’s sale of its U.S. businesses to EQT has hit an investor revolt; deals involving AT&T and Canadian National Railway highlight the fees due for walking away.

Capital Calls: SXSW

19 Apr 2021

Concise views on global finance: Rolling Stone publisher Penske Media is taking a 50% stake in hipster arts festival South By Southwest.

Corona Capital: Good news is bad news

16 Jul 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: U.S. retail sales are rising and some banks say consumers are surprisingly resilient – but a recovery once glimpsed is even harder to give up.

Japanese investors stick to curious old ways

30 Mar 2020

Despite signs of displeasure with Kirin’s strategy, shareholders rejected proposals to change it. Toshiba Machine’s approved anti-takeover measures while Teikoku Sen-i’s spurned higher payouts. There are glimmers of progress in the votes, but they are self-defeating all the same.