Banks

Sergio Ermotti has a path to Wall Street-style pay

28 Mar 2024

UBS handed its CEO $16 mln for nine months’ work last year. That’s more than his European rivals, but less than the bosses of US lenders like Morgan Stanley, whose valuation the $100 bln Swiss bank aspires to. Tweaked terms next year give Ermotti a chance to narrow the gap.

Big banks’ shock absorbers are still far too slim

26 Mar 2024

Credit Suisse and a string of US regional banks failed last year. In this Exchange podcast, Stanford Professor Anat Admati argues that lenders’ equity buffers are punier than they seem – and that fixing the problem needn’t cause a credit crunch.

Bank crises proved a mixed blessing for rivals

21 Mar 2024

It’s 12 months since Silicon Valley Bank failed and Credit Suisse collapsed into the arms of UBS. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how bigger banks gorged on these lenders’ carcasses – and how the system’s underlying weaknesses have not gone away.

US nudges EU banks toward clean break with Russia

20 Mar 2024

Austrian lender Raiffeisen dreamt up a $1.6 bln plan to salvage value from its Moscow-based unit. But Washington dislikes it, Reuters has reported. For European banks, upsetting the US could ultimately be more damaging than the write-offs from a speedy Russian exit.

Credit Suisse carcass feeds many hungry mouths

15 Mar 2024

In the year since it collapsed, competitors have carved up the Swiss bank’s employees and clients. UBS grabbed most of the spoils, but Santander, Deutsche Bank and others have also moved in. Lasting benefits, though, depend on survivors showing restraint when activity picks up.

Rescuing a bank is like making a fine soufflé

13 Mar 2024

Steven Mnuchin’s $1 bln swoop on New York Community Bank may be more challenging than his rehabilitation of mortgage lender IndyMac in 2009, but the returns could be ample. Bank rescues have many ingredients. Timing, skill and luck separate those that rise from those that sag.

Bill Winters pulls a poor man’s Jamie Dimon

13 Mar 2024

The frontrunner to succeed StanChart's CEO has abruptly left the bank. JPMorgan's boss is adept at ousting executives, Winters included, but Dimon has earnings and investors on his side. Winters wants for the latter. The lack of a clear heir is now another worry for the board.

Generali has some scope to think bigger on M&A

12 Mar 2024

Under CEO Philippe Donnet, the $38 bln insurer did smallish deals. Targeting big players like $16 bln Aviva, to shrink a gap with rivals, may require clashing top investors to back an equity hike. But Generali could also fund a large buy by running down its chunky capital buffer.

Lower rates, office return will ease property pain

7 Mar 2024

The post-pandemic boom in hybrid work is causing trouble for banks that have lent heavily to office developers. But in this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how losses may be limited if central banks bring borrowing costs down and bosses call employees back.

A year on, SVB’s killer is still at large

7 Mar 2024

Twelve months after Silicon Valley Bank’s demise, investors worry more about real estate than flighty depositors. The disjointed system that enabled a crisis remains intact, though, with patchy oversight, incomplete safety nets and ambiguity over who loses if a lender fails.

Virgin Money sale is UK challenger banks’ swansong

7 Mar 2024

Nationwide Building Society is paying a high premium for the embattled lender, but accounting gains and the scope to rival giants like Lloyds Banking Group sweeten the $3.7 bln deal. Still, the demise of the most prominent smaller bank suggests the sector is reverting to form.

NYCB revives an old playbook for the new crisis

6 Mar 2024

Trump-era official Steven Mnuchin is leading a $1 bln infusion in the stricken lender, a move reminiscent of his 2009 IndyMac deal. Tapping private investors saves passing NYCB’s woes to another bank; a cheap price squares the math. It may be a template for future stragglers.

Basel climbdown would make the shadows less scary

6 Mar 2024

Tough new rules on bank capital are likely to be watered down. That would be a victory for lenders like JPMorgan that complain they’re already smothered by safeguards. It’s less good for so-called shadow banks like Blackstone and Apollo that stand to grow fat on their castoffs.

If only banks were more like chemical factories

1 Mar 2024

New York Community Bancorp and paint-materials maker Chemours both ousted their CEOs after discovering flawed internal controls. Economic importance and heavy regulation distinguish the two $3 bln companies. One crisis mostly affects shareholders; the other should worry everyone.

Banks’ hot new trade could burn others, for once

29 Feb 2024

So-called synthetic risk transfers offer a Houdini-like way of loosening capital handcuffs. While best suited to the biggest lenders, it could also help smaller rivals burdened by shaky real-estate bets. The danger to banks is minimal; investors need to read the small print.

European bank property buffers rest on two big ifs

28 Feb 2024

Lenders like BNP and ING sit on $1.5 trln of commercial property loans, which look vulnerable to high interest rates. Longer leases give EU players more breathing space than US counterparts. Yet averting a crisis requires a mixture of falling inflation and a revival of offices.

A plot twist threatens Jay Powell’s artful script

27 Feb 2024

Higher borrowing costs are helping achieve the Fed’s 2% inflation target without a recession, but US wages and consumer spending tell a different tale. The upward price pressure augurs elevated interest rates for longer. To ensure a happy ending may require revising the story.

Top JPMorgan banker spots value in Citi rotation

26 Feb 2024

Viswas Raghavan is leaving a senior post at the world’s largest investment bank to lead a broader but smaller business for its rival. If he partly narrows the gap between the two, investors should gain. The 57-year-old might even have a shot at succeeding Citi CEO Jane Fraser.

Wall Street lives libertarian-lite dream in Miami

23 Feb 2024

Financial luminaries have flocked to the city for a Saudi-backed answer to Davos, a sign that Florida’s rise as a financial hub is durable. The Sunshine State gives the wealthy a glimpse of low taxes, entrepreneurialism and small government. It’s freedom, but only for some.

StanChart is a permanent work-in-progress

23 Feb 2024

The Asia-focused bank inched past its 2023 returns target, bagging longtime boss Bill Winters a 22% pay boost. But he's downgrading or postponing his next goals. And the years-long promise to simplify the lender is back. Persuading investors to boost its valuation will be hard.