Bank of England

Bank of Japan can hold out as Western yields rise

7 Jul 2017

The central bank underlined its determination to keep 10-year yields close to zero by offering to buy unlimited bonds. The BOJ has the tools, market dominance and motivation to hold firm. Tighter policy in the West should help Japan by weakening the yen and importing inflation.

Draghi’s taper tizzy is sign of dangers to come

29 Jun 2017

Comments by ECB chief Mario Draghi drove up bond yields and the euro, despite later protestations that markets had misread him. The ado owes more to investor complacency than fuzzy talk. It highlights traders’ twitchiness and the challenges in withdrawing ultra-loose policy.

Hadas: Misbehaving wages keep economists baffled

7 Jun 2017

Conventional economic theory says wages start to rise when labour markets tighten. It isn’t happening in the U.S., Britain, Japan or Germany. Many semi-plausible excuses and partial explanations have not solved the mystery. That leaves central bankers in a quandary.

Return on equity is fair game for bank regulators

27 Mar 2017

The Bank of England's next stress test will assess if lenders’ earnings exceed their cost of equity. That might sound like statist meddling, or doing investors’ job for them. But as a way to stop banks taking silly risks to offset low rates, it makes sense.

Hogg exit only half solves Bank of England problem

14 Mar 2017

The central bank’s deputy governor has resigned after a UK parliamentary committee criticised her for failing to disclose a conflict of interest. Better late than never. However, the BoE’s tardy response to the affair has exposed a tin ear that will require attention.

Bank of England deputy governor Hogg should resign

13 Mar 2017

Charlotte Hogg failed to inform the UK central bank that her brother works for Barclays. While a sin of omission, it’s serious for an institution that holds itself and others to a high standard. If she stays, it would hurt the bank’s reputation.

Regional pain makes UK consumer credit risks real

6 Jan 2017

The BoE's chief economist says a merely moderate rise in housing finance means consumer borrowing risks are contained. But unemployment is up in Scotland and northern England, where faster-growing personal loans matter more. Banks' pricing competition could worsen the reckoning.

Markets’ 1980s revival looks a flawed throwback

25 Nov 2016

The prospect of tax cuts and higher interest rates in America invite comparison with the era of Ronald Reagan and Paul Volcker. U.S. bond yields and the dollar have started soaring, as they did then. But the threat of protectionism makes history an unreliable guide to the future.

UK bail-in delay is part cop-out, part pragmatism

8 Nov 2016

The Bank of England has given British lenders two more years to meet thresholds for holding bonds that absorb losses if they fail. EU regulators are going soft on banks in general. But BoE concerns about a spike in bank funding costs are reasonable.

Brexit divergence puts Bank of England in a bind

3 Nov 2016

The pound has fallen as investors brace for the economic pain of Britain’s exit from the EU. Meanwhile consumers are behaving as if nothing has changed. Rising prices will squeeze spending, leaving BoE Governor Mark Carney trapped between slower growth and higher inflation.

Britain better off if Carney stays

31 Oct 2016

The governor’s tenure has become a test of the Bank of England’s status. If he left in 2018 the decision would spook foreign investors and embolden the bank’s domestic critics. Extending his term would signal that the British government still values independent monetary policy.

Inflation is next nerve-jangler for investors

18 Oct 2016

After years of undershooting price targets, some rate-setters, including Mark Carney in Britain, are now talking about tolerating overshoots. Equity winners will vary depending on whether inflation is of the good or bad variety. But global bonds are losers either way.

Inflation shows up at wrong time for Mark Carney

18 Oct 2016

UK consumer prices are rising at their fastest pace in nearly two years. It should be a proud moment for the Bank of England chief, who has been struggling to achieve exactly this. Unfortunately, the pound’s fall is going to give him a bit too much of what he wanted.

BoE’s credit bazooka is misfiring – again

13 Oct 2016

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s corporate bond-buying programme is failing to lower company borrowing costs. As in 2009, the bank can be accused of not being aggressive enough. Then again, Prime Minister Theresa May’s lukewarm support doesn’t help.

Carney guessing game feeds bond market distortion

13 Sep 2016

The Bank of England has revealed corporate bonds eligible for its 10 billion pound buying spree. Its requirement that companies make a material contribution to the country still throws up some anomalies. Second-guessing the central bank makes capital markets less efficient.

Mark Carney’s sledgehammer isn’t up to the job

4 Aug 2016

The Bank of England boss deserves credit for trying. He has halved the policy rate, will resume asset purchases, and done his absolute best to limit the perverse effects of ultra-low rates. But the economic shock of Brexit is probably bigger than anything his toolbox can handle.

Mark Carney picks good time to confound markets

14 Jul 2016

Sterling rose and UK stocks fell after the BoE left rates unchanged. Its governor's recent remarks had fanned expectations of an easing sooner rather than later. But Carney can afford to reprise his "unreliable boyfriend" persona: such market moves are the least of his worries.

Assault on UK privilege has many possible targets

14 Jul 2016

Theresa May wants to focus on more than the "privileged few". If Britain's new prime minister is serious, the most glaring disparities are in pensions, savings, housing and infrastructure. Action in these areas would go some way to healing north/south and young/old rifts.

Carney will be bit player in averting UK recession

12 Jul 2016

Bank of England boss Mark Carney can easily justify easing policy this week. Yet driving policy rates and gilt yields to new record lows is of limited use when investment and spending are held back by fear and uncertainty. Fiscal policy can do more to shore up the economy.

Mark Carney needs wooing, not whipping

29 Jun 2016

The BoE chief's pre-vote warnings of the risks of an EU exit made him a target for leaver ire. But with both main political parties in turmoil, Carney is a rare stabilising force. The priority is pressing him to stay beyond his tentative 2018 departure date, not pushing him out.