China EV champs race to make leaner green machines 8 Nov 2023 Nio is ditching 10% of its staff. Rivals won’t be far behind. While electric-car startups in the People’s Republic have proven their tech can keep pace with Tesla, their losses have been rising, in part due to a persistent price war. That makes cutting costs the next big test.
Capital Calls: Aston Martin 1 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: The marque favoured by James Bond has lost 50% of its value since a capital increase three months ago.
Stellantis’ China deal maths may amplify US woes 27 Oct 2023 CEO Carlos Tavares is paying up to speed up his green push. At 4.4 times sales, the $1.6 bln deal values Chinese upstart Leapmotor more richly than larger EV peers. Splurging on a rival in the People’s Republic is also a bad look as he negotiates tense pay talks with US workers.
Cooled auto hotheads give labor disputes hope 26 Oct 2023 Ford Motor’s new union agreement could cost $2 bln in pay rises. That stings, but is well short of earlier asks while also recompensing workers. Much about the agreement seems reasonable. As labor pressures continue, the agreement suggests sensible outcomes are possible.
Capital Calls: Ford, Amazon 26 Oct 2023 Concise views on global finance: The loss per car at the $45 bln automaker’s electric-vehicle unit has jumped 51% in a year. So-so earnings at the $1.2 trln e-commerce giant’s cloud division beat the even lower bar set by rival Alphabet.
GM earnings give its restive workers an inch 24 Oct 2023 The automaker’s strong third-quarter earnings have raised the stakes in a strike costing it $200 million a week. The union continues to push aggressively. But with Detroit’s gas guzzlers doing relatively well, a tough-but-survivable compromise seems possible.
China’s graphite curbs send green warning shot 20 Oct 2023 Beijing is introducing export controls for a key EV battery material, following fresh US tech restrictions. With 90% of global processing capacity in the People’s Republic, the West will struggle to go it alone. Carmakers’ dependence on the People’s Republic is here to stay.
German auto ram-raid warrants careful driving 20 Oct 2023 Schaeffler is buying car-parts maker Vitesco, both controlled by the same family, for $4 bln. Minority shareholders can choose between a low price now or an uncertain future in a conglomerate. Schaeffler can probably get away with its smash and grab, but it might backfire later.
Tesla downshifts out of ludicrous mode 19 Oct 2023 The electric-car maker is gasping to keep sales ahead of China’s BYD. Its US market share also dipped below half while gross profit slumped to 16% in the latest quarter as boss Elon Musk cut prices. Accelerating again depends on new car designs and cheap overseas manufacturing.
Tycoon’s lithium grab leaves investors hanging 16 Oct 2023 Billionaire Gina Rinehart has stifled Albemarle’s $4.2 bln bid for Liontown with deft use of Australia’s takeover rules. Now the minerals producer has to raise cash just as prices for the key battery material are falling. She needs to show why her spoiling tactics were worth it.
Next EU chief will need cash more than trade wars 10 Oct 2023 Ursula von der Leyen kicked off her campaign to stay European Commission president by attacking China’s car subsidies. But what the bloc craves is a plan to grow its economy and enlarge eastwards, including finding $411 bln for Ukraine. A bigger, better Europe won’t come cheap.
Capital Calls: Germany, Schaeffler 9 Oct 2023 Concise views on global finance: Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s resounding defeat in key local elections on Sunday sends a message to Brussels; the German group’s 3.6 bln euro acquisition of auto supplier Vitesco makes sense in an era of greater competition.
China’s electric cars reinvent the wheel for good 3 Oct 2023 The country’s automakers are overtaking legacy marques at home and abroad. In this Exchange podcast, industry consultant Tu Le explains what has given BYD, especially, the edge over rivals. He also makes the case for treating Elon Musk’s Tesla as a Chinese carmaker.
Carmakers will blink first in union standoff 22 Sep 2023 The UAW is expanding strikes at GM and Stellantis, but not at Ford, where the union sees progress. Divide-and-conquer will stretch labor funds and selectively boost the financial impact – some $48 mln a week at the F-Series pickup manufacturer alone. Workers have the upper hand.
Uncle Sam risks recession by a thousand cuts 22 Sep 2023 A government stoppage would shave a sliver from US economic expansion. Restarting student loan payments will have a similar effect. Add striking autoworkers, high oil prices and costly mortgages, and 0.8% growth forecast for the fourth quarter and 0.5% in early 2024 look shaky.
Capital Calls: Disney, Cazoo 20 Sep 2023 Concise views on global finance: Boss Bob Iger’s $60 bln splash on theme parks and cruises invites further scrutiny of the Magic Kingdom’s wild cash flow ride; the UK-based online car retailer, valued at $7 bln in a SPAC deal two years ago, is handing the keys to bondholders.
Capital Calls: Four-day workweek 19 Sep 2023 Concise views on global finance: US Senator Bernie Sanders joined striking autoworkers in urging a conversation about shortening the workweek. Rising productivity has long enabled labor to win fewer hours. With disruptive new technologies rising, bigger victories make sense.
Deaths haunt Corporate America via labor strikes 15 Sep 2023 Auto workers, pilots, and truck drivers have had upper hands in labor strikes. That’s despite labor supply healing. One reason may be that men have left the workforce. Opioids and Covid are partly to blame. But it highlights the dangers of demographically concentrated jobs.
Capital Calls: Ford’s threats 15 Sep 2023 Concise views on global finance: The $50 bln automaker’s boss suggests that a strike could have dire consequences. The problem is that workers can see the $10 billion in cash sitting on Ford’s balance sheet.
Detroit profit engine could screech to a halt 14 Sep 2023 Years-long employment contracts meant auto workers missed out on post-pandemic gains. New demands could halve Ford and GM profit. The companies may prefer one-off rewards. But unions have little incentive to accept. Instead, transition plans may be wounded, and both sides pay.