Asset management

Ukraine bondholders’ haircut is a necessary evil

1 Jul 2024

The stricken country wants holders of $20 bln of private sector debt to take a big hit. In ordinary times, Kyiv’s request would be galling. Yet paying foreign fund managers may annoy Kyiv’s public sector backers. And the stigma of default matters less in wartime.

UBS deal exposes Swiss trustbusters’ inadequacy

19 Jun 2024

Despite competition concerns, the $100 bln bank has escaped antitrust blowback from last year’s purchase of troubled Credit Suisse. Any doubt could have undermined the deal, and hence the rescue. But Swiss legal tools to monitor further competition risks look especially weak.

Spain’s $24 bln investment giant has too many hats

12 Jun 2024

Criteria Caixa takes dividends from its big equity portfolio and sends cash to the country’s top charitable foundation. Increasingly, though, Chair Isidro Fainé is fixated on protecting national champions like Telefónica. Pleasing Madrid means sacrificing returns for the charity.

Bill Ackman hitches ride on meme-stock bandwagon

4 Jun 2024

The hedge fund boss has attracted 1.2 mln X followers to his political and investment agendas. He’s leveraging the social media clout by selling a $1.1 bln stake in his Pershing Square firm. A richer valuation multiple than Man Group or Blackstone emits an essence of GameStop.

China property bailout stars align for Vanke

31 May 2024

The country's biggest homebuilder is close to borrowing up to $10 bln. That'd effectively eliminate default risk. Being part-owned by Shenzhen helps, as does having some decent assets to entice lenders. The clincher is Beijing's heightened will to put a floor under house prices.

Swiss wealth M&A may kill two birds with one stone

28 May 2024

Julius Baer and EFG held merger talks, Reuters and others reported. With just $640 bln of combined assets under management, they’d be unlikely to threaten UBS. Yet a deal would make financial sense, and EFG CEO Giorgio Pradelli could fill a leadership void at its larger peer.

UBS succession menu looks unnecessarily short

28 May 2024

The $100 bln bank ruled out external candidates to replace CEO Sergio Ermotti in about three years, the FT reported. Grooming home-grown successors is good planning. But none of the internal frontrunners currently offer what UBS will most need: a convincing US growth strategy.

Latest cheap UK target can flip refusenik script

23 May 2024

Hargreaves Lansdown rejected an initial $6 bln tilt from a group including CVC. Like other recent British corporate prey, the financial adviser’s board sees the attention as opportunistic. But Hargreaves needs to cut its fees, and that may be better done away from public markets.

HSBC’s big pair of shoes will be hard to fill

9 May 2024

The surprise departure of boss Noel Quinn, who dramatically reshaped the firm, puts the globe-straddling bank on the spot: appoint a steward of its strategy from within, or a new thinker from outside? In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate the $170 bln choice.

Financial elite go long American exceptionalism

8 May 2024

The US economy’s strength buoyed spirits at Michael Milken’s annual jamboree, where everyone from Elon Musk to Ken Griffin held court. More surprising is optimism that the streak has longer to run. It’s a bold consensus with inflation, deficit and property-loan threats lingering.

Securitization limbers up for the oddball Olympics

8 May 2024

The race is on to find esoteric assets that can be sliced, diced and sold to investors. Taco Bell receipts, IP addresses and Picassos have so far cleared the bar. While many buyers of the $150 bln-plus in unusual deals will recoup their gold, some may overstretch.

CVC’s Darwinian pay policy puts rivals on the spot

26 Apr 2024

The buyout shop, which manages $200 bln, allocates 40% of fund profits to staff on a deal-by-deal basis, rather than pooling the spoils. Rivals say it hurts teamwork, but CVC’s returns suggest it works. If the newly public firm keeps out-raising peers, others may follow suit.

European banks have little to lose from rate cuts

25 Apr 2024

Tighter monetary policy boosted revenue at BNP Paribas, Deutsche and Barclays, who now face ECB and BoE loosening. Markets expect some 50 basis points of rate cuts, but that shouldn’t hurt bank income much. Deposits may get cheaper, while old loans keep rolling onto higher rates.

Private credit paints a new scream for banks

22 Apr 2024

Lending against wealthy patrons’ art has been dominated by financial institutions. Sotheby’s $700 mln sale of bonds backed by such loans offers non-bank rivals a template to upend the status quo. A rebounding securitization market can feed this machine, if it fits a careful mold.

CVC insiders’ delayed payday is still pretty sweet

22 Apr 2024

The soon-to-list buyout shop will bar employees from selling stakes for three years, and then only let them do so slowly. It helps get IPO investors on board, and suits bosses too. By the time they cash out, CVC should be worth a lot more than its 13 to 15 bln euro float price.

CVC may leave some money on the table – for once

15 Apr 2024

Valued in line with private-market peers EQT and Blackstone, the group could be worth 20 bln euros. Yet its IPO is raising little new money, and selling shareholders will keep big stakes. That gives CVC a reason to play it safe, unlike when it’s selling portfolio companies.

Blackstone dodges worst of Asia’s exit angst

8 Apr 2024

It plans to float more businesses in India this year, including a diamond certification firm at up to 6 times the value it paid last year. Apart from being one of the region’s biggest private equity investors, it is one of the least exposed to China. That strategy is paying off nicely.

UAE flips own script with $4 bln oil pipeline deal

5 Apr 2024

Abu Dhabi’s $100 bln fund, Lunate, bought KKR and BlackRock’s 40% stake in ADNOC’s infrastructure arm. In recent years the UAE has raised cash from foreign investors by selling minority stakes in its oil giant. The latest deal does the opposite.

Sergio Ermotti has a path to Wall Street-style pay

28 Mar 2024

UBS handed its CEO $16 mln for nine months’ work last year. That’s more than his European rivals, but less than the bosses of US lenders like Morgan Stanley, whose valuation the $100 bln Swiss bank aspires to. Tweaked terms next year give Ermotti a chance to narrow the gap.

Bank crises proved a mixed blessing for rivals

21 Mar 2024

It’s 12 months since Silicon Valley Bank failed and Credit Suisse collapsed into the arms of UBS. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how bigger banks gorged on these lenders’ carcasses – and how the system’s underlying weaknesses have not gone away.