Artificial intelligence

BlackRock’s $30 bln AI fund is Big Tech’s backstop

18 Sep 2024

The asset manager will team with Microsoft to invest in AI infrastructure. It’s a way to bolster tech firms’ capacity to keep up with the $1 trln needed for data centers alone, akin to governments tapping private funds to build roads. Thing is, that assumes AI is just as crucial.

OpenAI’s value on human destruction short circuits

16 Sep 2024

The cutting-edge artificial intelligence outfit may be worth $150 bln, a 74% jump from its last benchmark. Take AI boosters’ claims at face value and it’s easy to justify wildly more still. The problem: that would mean OpenAI is no mere company but a force shoving aside humanity.

ASML faces bigger problems than China

16 Sep 2024

Fears of US tech export curbs have pummelled the $320 bln Dutch firm’s shares. A longer-term worry is that the growth of AI leads to new technologies, and less need for ASML’s machines that make chips smaller and efficient. That, more than trade wars, may hurt its rich valuation.

Apple offering a peek at AI’s financial reality

11 Sep 2024

The iPhone 16 is due in stores soon, optimized for artificial-intelligence. It’s unclear if business models exist for the costly and hyped tech. Sales of the new devices may signal whether consumers will pay for it or if Silicon Valley has a solution seeking a problem.

Blackstone $16 bln AI deal borrows from SPAC boom

5 Sep 2024

A group led by Steve Schwarzman’s firm is paying a large sum to buy data centre operator AirTrunk from Macquarie. By tinkering with EBITDA, the buyer can present a low valuation multiple for a purchase in a hot sector. It's unnecessarily reminiscent of the blank-cheque froth.

OpenAI’s mooted $100 bln value is relatively sober

29 Aug 2024

The ChatGPT maker may be worth just 16% more in its next share sale than in February’s funding round, according to reports. That looks modest, given AI darling Nvidia’s shares have nearly doubled. Senior departures and competition from rivals like Elon Musk justify a modest bump.

Apple loses China price battle, but will win war

12 Aug 2024

Big discounts by Huawei and other local rivals have eaten into the iPhone maker’s market share. Boss Tim Cook is fighting back, to preserve nearly a fifth of revenue. In a region that often beguiles tech outfits, the $3 trln company’s resilience is impressive – and sustainable.

Taiwan is punching well above its market weight

12 Aug 2024

Share sales and convertible deals are surging on the island where TSMC’s $748 bln market value exceeds GDP thanks to an AI-led rally. The market could surpass China’s weighting in global indices as profits trump geopolitics. For bankers, it's a counterintuitive bright spot.

Tech stocks await AI’s real reckoning

7 Aug 2024

Some $3 trln has been wiped off US technology firms’ value, hammering artificial intelligence champions like Alphabet and Nvidia. It may be more a case of feelings and flows than shifting assumptions about the value of silicon smarts. If that changes, the true pain begins.

Microsoft gives peek into tech-stock takedown

31 Jul 2024

The software giant’s earnings weren’t bad – although its cloud business slowed slightly. But as interest rate expectations shift downwards, investors are looking for reasons to exit highly-valued stocks - especially big tech firms. Even a minor miss becomes a reason to sell.

Meta AI strategy: give something to get something

25 Jul 2024

As tech firms invest hand over fist in artificial intelligence, the Facebook owner’s plan to let developers tweak and freely use its models sounds like a giveaway. CEO Mark Zuckerberg hopes Meta will be long-term richer for it. Google’s Android success suggests he might be right.

Victorian rail mania has lessons for AI investors

12 Jul 2024

Excitement over artificial intelligence has spurred a wave of investment. In the mid-1840s, British speculators similarly went wild for another capital-intensive technology: railways. The historic boom and subsequent bust provide a salutary warning for today’s hyped-up markets.

Microsoft opens windows onto AI antitrust paradox

10 Jul 2024

The software behemoth is ceding its non-voting board seat at OpenAI, the ChatGPT maker essential to its artificial intelligence plans. Building a silicon mind may take $1 trln, however, making deep pockets as powerful as governance rights. A bigger, messier crackdown looms.

Why AI may fail to unlock the productivity puzzle

4 Jul 2024

The world’s richest economies are grappling with slowing growth in output. Many investors believe artificial intelligence can provide a much-needed boost. But four features of the technology suggest the benefits will be limited – and might even achieve the opposite outcome.

Data centre boom reveals AI hype’s physical limits

4 Jul 2024

The investor frenzy over artificial intelligence assumes there will be enough infrastructure to support apps like ChatGPT. But a $1 trln rush to build data centres faces planning restrictions and energy constraints. That will limit processing power and push up costs for users.

Nvidia customer’s valuation voodoo tests AI mania

2 Jul 2024

Germany’s $1.4 bln Northern Data has access to the US giant’s sought-after chips and makes money by renting them out. It may re-list parts of the business on the Nasdaq. If investors accept a mooted $10-16 bln price tag, it’s a sign the market has truly lost touch with reality.

The economics of AI points to value of good data

28 Jun 2024

Investors chasing the artificial intelligence boom have pushed up the value of $3 trln chip supplier Nvidia and big cloud computing firms. Yet AI models have dubious benefits unless they are trained on reliable information. Moreover, high-value data makes them cheaper to develop.

Banks grab AI-generated tiger by the tail

26 Jun 2024

Sleeker IT systems, stronger fraud defenses and other algorithmic upgrades could yield nearly $200 bln of profit for lenders by 2028, one study finds. An efficiency revolution isn’t evident in valuations, however. The new tech may pay higher dividends to customers than investors.

A warning from history about large-cap stock booms

21 Jun 2024

Five decades ago, shares in a handful of large companies like IBM and McDonald’s propelled the US stock market to new highs before collapsing. As investors pile into tech giants led by $3.3 trln Nvidia, the earlier period may be instructive for those who believe history rhymes.

AI inverts tech’s growth and value buckets

14 Jun 2024

As the software boom’s easy growth fades, once-racy giants like Salesforce - and their valuations - look stodgier. Yet aged rival Oracle added $45 bln in market value on artificial intelligence-driven growth. The latest mania is flipping tech investors’ taste for new over old.