Antitrust

‘Pro-growth’ M&A policing is a misnomer

27 Mar 2025

The transatlantic trustbusting consensus forged by Lina Khan and Margrethe Vestager is already fraying. In this week’s Viewsroom, Breakingviews columnists discuss if it will lead to mergers involving national champions such as GSK and BP, and in turn remedy some economic ills.

Capital One’s deal disquiet puts rage in arbitrage

21 Mar 2025

Hedge funds bet heavily that a new administration would allow the credit card issuer’s $35 bln purchase of Discover. A plunge in the seller’s shares proves that Wall Street is struggling to heed what Republicans actually say about scrutinizing industry, threatening more blow-ups.

EU banks’ M&A secret weapon nears sell-by date

3 Mar 2025

The ‘Danish Compromise’ lets Europe’s lenders buy insurers while shielding the capital hit. Yet Italy’s battle over $15 bln Banco BPM suggests the tool can also be hard to deploy. If financial groups fear regulators could withdraw the wheeze, maybe it’s no longer much use.

Trump trustbusters flash a clear M&A signal

31 Jan 2025

Competition cops sued to block tech giant HPE’s $14 bln deal for insurgent WiFi-for-big-business rival Juniper Networks. The case is a hangover from the last presidency and new leaders are yet to take over. Still, amid chaos elsewhere, it dims bankers’ wildest hopes of free rein.

Art of the 2025 deal will be postBidenism

30 Dec 2024

A new US president probably means laxer trustbusters, adding fuel to lower borrowing costs and corporate quests for growth. Exxon, Comcast, Rivian and Google are primed to dust off older M&A plans or craft new ones. Even the White House is positioned to orchestrate a merger.

Sour grapes spill beans on squashed grocery deal

11 Dec 2024

After trying to unite for two years, Albertsons and Kroger each claimed the other broke their contract a day after US judges nixed the $25 bln merger. The blame game may well end in a stalemate. It also suggests trustbusters astutely divined a ruthlessness veiled in so much M&A.

Blocked grocery mega-merger tips rolling M&A cart

10 Dec 2024

A US judge ruled Kroger’s $25 bln union with Albertsons is anticompetitive, siding with President Biden’s trustbusters. The decision further ingrains some of their bolder ideas. Dealmakers and CEOs planning shopping sprees under a new administration could use the reality check.

Nvidia probe lets China have cake and eat it

10 Dec 2024

Beijing has started an antitrust investigation into the $3.4 trln firm. Coming after more US tech curbs on the country, the motive seems political. But Nvidia's AI chip dominance means monopoly concerns can't be dismissed. And the decision may resonate with regulators elsewhere.

Biden trustbusters keep new ideas on life support

15 Nov 2024

The DOJ is suing to stop UnitedHealth’s $3 bln deal for in-home care rival Amedisys, arguing it would hurt patients. As with other recent US litigation, it targets issues beyond price, in this case quality and capacity. It’s a parting shot at codifying novel competition theory.

Arbageddon dangers averted by only so much

12 Nov 2024

Merger arbitrageurs battered by tougher trustbusters and scarce deals cheered the US election results. The pending $35 bln takeover of credit card brand Discover and others may benefit, as more M&A gets teed up. A mercurial Donald Trump, however, is bound to blow up some trades.

Biden trustbusters get free rein to accessorize

25 Oct 2024

A US judge agreed to halt the $8.5 bln sale of Michael Kors owner Capri to Kate Spade parent Tapestry. Shares buoyed by overconfident traders halved. Others should take heed: the ruling adds substantial heft to novel theories pushed by this administration’s deal hawks.

EU champions’ hope will slam into hard M&A reality

16 Oct 2024

Brussels bigwigs, like new antitrust boss Teresa Ribera, want to create US-style corporate giants. Yet possible options, like a 160-bln-euro Orange-Deutsche Telekom deal, make no industrial sense. The risk is that even if politicians get on board, shareholders won’t.

Google antitrust roulette puts $600 bln at stake

9 Oct 2024

US competition cops presented a grab bag of possible remedies, including breaking up the $2 trln tech giant, after it was ruled a monopoly. Its dominance may soften the blow. But with search revenue and more at risk, the worst-case hit could top a quarter of Google’s value.

Neither precedent nor Trump can save Big Tech

8 Oct 2024

Epic Games’ victory in a suit against Google means the search giant must open up its app store. Tech honchos may be hopeful for a change of administration. But even if a new president softens stance, the past four years and lawsuits elsewhere will do permanent damage.

Nvidia has nothing to fear but a lack of fear

4 Sep 2024

A sell-off in the $2.6 trln chipmaker’s shares, the third this year, has little basis in industrial reality. Customers still plan to spend billions on its chips. Fickle markets and antitrust probes are risks, but a bigger one is complacency – as modeled by forebearer Intel.

New EU antitrust tsar has better tools, harder job

27 Aug 2024

The European Union will soon have a new competition commissioner. Margrethe Vestager’s replacement has greater scope to go after Big Tech and Chinese subsidies. But he or she will also have to defend the single market from the assault of EU members’ national industrial policies.

Google solution is distribution, tech and time

19 Aug 2024

How do you fix a $2 trln illegal search monopoly? Counterintuitively, big moves like separating Google’s ad platform might just treat the symptom. Nixing contracts bolstering its lead in users and data gets at the illness. The key is to give new tech room to shift the market.

Google is a monopoly, long live Google

5 Aug 2024

Alphabet’s search giant illegally wields its might over rivals, a US judge has ruled. The decision also carefully stays within classic antitrust boundaries. Given how tricky disentangling the $2 trln company’s technology would be, a market-shaking penalty will be hard to impose.

Microsoft opens windows onto AI antitrust paradox

10 Jul 2024

The software behemoth is ceding its non-voting board seat at OpenAI, the ChatGPT maker essential to its artificial intelligence plans. Building a silicon mind may take $1 trln, however, making deep pockets as powerful as governance rights. A bigger, messier crackdown looms.

Tougher trustbusting will last beyond US election

3 Jul 2024

In just a few years, competition cops Jonathan Kanter and Lina Khan reversed a lax consensus that existed for decades. The November ballot threatens to derail some of their efforts. Much of the agenda has staying power, however, both in the fine print and the bigger principles.