Air Transportation

Sustainable fuel surge may mean fewer UK flights

24 Mar 2025

Britain wants airlines to ramp up use of sustainable aviation fuel at a faster pace than in the EU. That’s laudable, with the hard-to-decarbonise sector accounting for 2% of global emissions. But the margin hit for short-haul carriers like easyJet may risk them flying elsewhere.

Airline alarms are more dire than Big Tech buzz

11 Mar 2025

Southwest and Delta both slashed first-quarter financial projections as Apple, Microsoft and peers lost $750 bln of combined market value. The huge IT selloff provides a sensible check on exuberance. US carriers, however, are flagging a more troubling sign of economic weakness.

European airline tailwinds cloud M&A glide path

6 Mar 2025

Lufthansa and Air France-KLM shares leapt after strong finishes to the year, closing the gap with bigger $20 bln rival IAG. Eventually, Europe’s market could slim down to a small group including these players. Scope for a stronger 2025 makes it less clear who will buy what.

Aircraft maintenance boom has further to fly

14 Feb 2025

In 2024, stuttering production of new jets saw repairs of older models take on fresh import for the likes of Melrose and Safran. This year deliveries could rise by 25%. But supply chain uncertainty and strong flying demand mean the maintenance profit engine can continue to motor.

Crabs on a plane pinch budget US airline deal

12 Feb 2025

Spirit rejected rival Frontier’s latest takeover bid and shared synergies worth some $5 bln in favor of a post-bankruptcy standalone future. The suitor, previously thwarted by shareholders, is now at odds with creditors. Crustacean mentality has sabotaged the sanest outcome.

Helicopter SPAC deserves another whirl

13 Dec 2024

Blank-check hype helped elevate Blade’s $825 mln valuation until the euphoria landed with a thud. Since then, the company has found more success transporting organs than Manhattan or Monaco jet-setters. The promise of quieter electric aircraft is another reason to go for a ride.

Melrose flags a way through aerospace turbulence

18 Nov 2024

The $8 bln aero supplier’s shares jumped after it reported improved revenue and reaffirmed targets. Melrose’s focus on planes has coincided with big customers slowing the supply of new jets. The good news is that demand for older aircraft repairs is rising sharply.

European airlines’ tough summer adds to M&A logic

11 Nov 2024

Carriers such as $8 bln Lufthansa and $2 bln Air France-KLM saw rising costs and competition on Eastern routes from Chinese rivals. The logical response for EU players is to look West instead. Bidding for Portugal’s state-owned TAP would drive much-needed consolidation.

Bain jets towards first-class lounge Down Under

2 Oct 2024

The private equity firm is selling 25% of Virgin Australia to Qatar Airways for an undisclosed sum ahead of an IPO. Fold in last year’s dividend recap and assume it’s growing like larger rival Qantas, and the airline is en route to delivering Bain a sky-high 40%-plus return.

Boeing pays belated price for shareholder primacy

13 Sep 2024

Some 33,000 workers voted to strike, adding to the $100 bln jet-maker’s woes. Union wages have been flat over 50 years as benefits shrank, while the CEO earned 600% more and investors pocketed lavish buybacks and dividends. Labor is understandably squeezing now-weakened capital.

Germany gives DSV a sweet deal on freight takeover

12 Sep 2024

The Danish group will acquire Schenker, the logistics arm of indebted German railway operator Deutsche Bahn, for 14 bln euros, beating a higher CVC offer. Berlin may be hoping that an industry player will be a more stable owner. But DSV’s share price jump shows it got a bargain.

Airlines’ margins head to lower cruising altitude

2 Aug 2024

Carriers from $2 bln Air France-KLM to $7 bln Lufthansa reported healthy demand in the first half of 2024. But earnings are falling as expenses bite. With the switch to sustainable aviation fuel threatening to push costs ever higher, investors are bracing for smaller margins.

Boeing and Airbus headwinds are hard to escape

23 Jul 2024

The troubled US jet maker and its European rival aren’t delivering as many planes as customers want. On this Exchange podcast, AirInsight co-founder Addison Schonland explains how some problems stretch back to Covid, whether a third player can break the duopoly, and much more.

Ryanair leads airline sector into strategic cloud

22 Jul 2024

The $17 bln carrier’s shares sank 15% after it warned of weaker summer fares. The airline had hoped slow delivery of planes would mean less competition, allowing it to hike prices and weather higher costs. If customers are now saying no, that’s a problem for the whole sector.

Cyber meltdown points to downsides of efficiency

19 Jul 2024

A software update by $83 bln CrowdStrike grounded flights and disrupted financial markets. That’s possible because businesses work with a small number of providers, seeking lower costs. It supports rich tech valuations, but also heightens the risks of a catastrophic failure.

EU’s China trade weak spots hide in plain sight

9 Jul 2024

Beijing may retaliate after Brussels imposed tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles. Of the 5,000 product groups the People’s Republic imports from the EU, many are too crucial or too small to bother with. But luxury goods, petrol cars and some foods are plausible targets.

Airbus hit leaves investors flying without a radar

25 Jun 2024

The $110 bln planemaker’s shares fell 11% after it said that engine shortages scuppered its delivery target. The group is struggling to capitalise on rival Boeing’s woes. Supply-chain uncertainty is also stopping the wider sector from putting the pandemic in the rear-view mirror.

Antitrust worries risk clipping EU airlines’ wings

24 May 2024

Groups like Lufthansa and IAG are seeking greater scale to better compete globally. But Brussels frets that regional tie-ups will lead to higher fares and reduced consumer choice. Blocking the $8 bln German firm’s play for smaller peer ITA could mean other deals won’t take off.

European airlines’ hot summer belies sector clouds

23 Apr 2024

Jet shortages mean that carriers may be able to charge higher fares this summer, ending years of overcapacity. For stronger players like $25 bln Ryanair, that could mean fatter margins. But it’s likely to be a short-term reprieve for a sector that’s grappling with other costs.

UAE is timely reminder of climate plan B urgency

18 Apr 2024

Torrential rains have flooded Dubai’s airport. Spending cash to prepare for the impact of global warming often takes a back seat to slashing emissions. The more richer states upgrade climate defences, the more they highlight the need to help poorer ones do so too.