Facebook’s fuzzy math blurs its TV picture 6 Sep 2017 A claim to reach 100 mln younger people in America doesn't square with U.S. census figures, an analyst found. Despite a growing list of number blunders, advertisers have limited sway over the $500 bln titan. As Facebook pushes into streaming, though, it'll find tougher pushback.
Europe’s consumer giants are overindulging on ads 1 Sep 2017 Companies like Nestlé and Danone spend twice as much on marketing than U.S. peers relative to sales. They defend such profligacy by pointing to superior revenue growth. True, sales are better, but not by much. With activists circling, plump ad budgets are ripe for cuts.
WPP underestimates pinch from corporate austerity 23 Aug 2017 The ad group cut its 2017 net sales guidance, blaming lower spending by consumer-goods giants which make up about a third of revenue. Boss Martin Sorrell reckons this will reverse. The danger is that zero-based budgeting and shareholder activism make frugality the new normal.
Viewsroom: Citi lays out path to mediocrity 27 Jul 2017 CEO Mike Corbat pledged a huge earnings boost at the bank’s first investor confab in nine years. But Citi’s enduring crisis hangover will still leave it trailing most rivals. In China, HNA’s shadowy ownership may be a big problem for U.S. M&A. Plus: Google keeps clicking.
Facebook quest beyond ads should top itinerary 26 Jul 2017 The social network beat profit estimates as more brands sought to reach its 2 bln users. Yet revenue growth is easing and mobile’s dominant share of advertising has limited upside. For a company near the top of its game, it’s a good time to explore alternatives to Madison Avenue.
New York Times could risk all-digital bet 26 Jul 2017 Online subs surged with Trump’s rise. But print-ad revenue is down a quarter in two years, adding to job-cut angst. Ending printing would be radical but not absurd. Breakingviews estimates the company would need 1.4 mln, or 50 pct, more paying digital users to end up even.
Alphabet opacity hinders Google’s antitrust fight 24 Jul 2017 Despite huge efforts outside online search the $685 bln juggernaut still looks like a one-trick pony dependent on ad sales. Shedding more light on its autonomous vehicle, YouTube, biotech and other ventures might comfort investors about the looming risks of antitrust regulation.
WebMD gets second opinion on rollup strategy 24 Jul 2017 Back in 1999, the online health-information publisher united with another fledgling rival in a deal backed by Microsoft and Intel. KKR is now buying WebMD for $2.8 bln, far less than the earlier stock-swap valuation. This fresh merger with other websites may work out better.
Publicis pleasant surprise flags ad world’s plight 20 Jul 2017 The French ad group’s top line grew 0.8 percent. But even that looks good: in the previous two quarters Publicis’ organic revenue shrank, and analysts were expecting it to do so again. The challenges to media buying make the industry’s low valuation look justified.
Newspapers push wrong solution to online duopoly 10 Jul 2017 The Wall Street Journal and others want the right to bargain collectively with Facebook and Google. The titans’ dominance of the $83 bln U.S. digital ad market is a concern, but not just for print media. Combating it requires antitrust enforcement, not an industry carve-out.
Bolloré clan’s deal sums don’t add up 23 Jun 2017 Vincent Bolloré’s Vivendi is buying ad group Havas, run by his son Yannick. The younger Bolloré says it may create at least 390 mln euros of value, justifying the premium. That’s dubious: the premium is arguably bigger than he claims, and the return on investment still looks low.
Publicis broadcasts ad world’s shortcomings 19 Jun 2017 A shareholder group says the French media agency flattered its operating margin by including a one-off compensation payment. The company defends its accounting but the case is a dose of unhelpful publicity for an industry facing a bid-rigging probe and claims of opaque pricing.
Viewsroom: Donald Trump can’t melt Paris accord 1 Jun 2017 The president is pulling America out of the climate pact signed by 195 countries in 2015. But the continued commitment from cities, companies, investors and other states will limit the damage. Meanwhile Goldman Sachs steps into a Venezuelan mess. Plus: advertisers as activists.
Publicis pay hike shows where real power lies 1 Jun 2017 Long-time boss Maurice Lévy will receive 2.8 mln euros as chairman – more than he was paid as CEO. After 30 years in charge of the advertising group he has much to teach his successor. But his presence on the board inhibits fresh thinking at a firm that has struggled for growth.
Vivendi’s Havas deal hangs on new media logic 16 May 2017 The French media group reckons the convergence of advertising, distribution and content justifies its 3.9 bln euro offer for the ad firm. Yet the numbers don’t add up without heroic assumptions, and Havas customers may not take kindly to the new arrangement.
Even yellow flags can’t dent Facebook’s growth 3 May 2017 The social network largely defied its own executives’ slowdown warnings with a 51 pct jump in ad sales, helped by Instagram’s success. Boss Mark Zuckerberg is adding 3,000 staff to police content after a spate of violent videos. He may need more to contain reputational risk.
Alphabet ad autopilot heads for profit and bother 27 Apr 2017 The $610 bln Google parent racked up another strong quarter with a 22 pct increase in revenue. Its deepening digital-advertising duopoly with Facebook helps make growth more predictable – but may also bring the companies closer to a face-off with antitrust watchdogs.
Publicis revenue reprieve could prove fleeting 20 Apr 2017 The French ad group suffered a smaller-than-expected hit to its top line in the first quarter, as growth in Europe offset account losses and weaker spending in the U.S. The risk is a greater backlash to murky industry pricing practices that spreads beyond America.
Google boycotts expose flaws of digital ads 23 Mar 2017 Verizon and AT&T joined other advertisers in pulling spending from Google over questionable content. A bigger issue is the opacity of the search giant and its fellow online duopolist, Facebook. By withholding money, companies are voicing doubts about digital ads’ effectiveness.
Google and Facebook tipping balance of power 20 Mar 2017 The web-search giant lost Havas as a client in Britain and is being squeezed by the UK government over ad placements and policies. Similarly, Mark Zuckerberg’s social network faces outcries over fake news. Pressure is slowly but steadily mounting for this $1 trln digital duopoly.