United States of America

Tesla gives its faithful just enough good news

23 Oct 2024

Shares in Elon Musk’s $700 bln carmaker surged as operating profit rose 54%. That owes more to cost cuts than growth, but along with heady sales predictions, it overshadowed a disappointing robotaxi reveal. The rub is whether that’s enough to justify investors getting charged up.

Budget US airlines look clearer for deal takeoff

23 Oct 2024

Frontier may be mulling a fresh offer to buy struggling rival Spirit two years after JetBlue’s doomed interruption. Stern trustbusters and $3 bln of debt will be steep hurdles. But boss Barry Biffle has a better shot now, if he stays disciplined with a bid this time.

McDonald’s moves off the grill and into the fryer

23 Oct 2024

An E. coli outbreak prompted the $210 bln fast-food chain to yank its Quarter Pounder in some places. The response suggests it can handle a health crisis quicker than Chipotle did. With high prices already hurting sales, though, it can’t afford to scare off more customers.

How to harvest cash crops amid a retail drought

23 Oct 2024

Shopkeepers worldwide are wrestling with fickle customers, clunky logistics and more. Tractor Supply, a $32 bln chain that sells everything from chicken feed to overalls, has defied the trends with lush returns on par with Apple and Netflix. There are seeds for peers to sow.

GM clings to its first in class status

22 Oct 2024

The $60 bln carmaker beat expectations for the third quarter in a row. Electric investments are paying off, high prices haven’t scared consumers and it has a path back to robotaxis. Right now, GM is golden. Yet from subsidies to tech breakthroughs, its ranking may be challenged.

Trump stumbles onto a useful globalist policy

22 Oct 2024

The protectionist presidential candidate floated an exemption for 4.4 mln US citizens living abroad from paying some $12 bln of income tax at home. It would streamline an unwieldy patchwork system for expatriates. And if structured properly, it might even help prevent evasion.

Boeing starts to tick off its pre-flight checklist

21 Oct 2024

If workers and markets go along, the $100 bln jet-maker’s new labor contract and a capital raise would stabilize its finances. Next to fix are cultural and technical woes that mired it in a government-capped production slump. The union compact and smart downsizing can help both.

Walt Disney takes mouse-sized governance step

21 Oct 2024

The $175 bln Magic Kingdom named ex-Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman as its next board chair. Finding boss Bob Iger’s successor has been a disaster, but at least the man in charge of the job has shown himself capable of doing it. Minimizing the drama, though, will be tough.

JAB’s pricy coffee shot is not as dumb as it looks

21 Oct 2024

The German investment group scooped up a 18% stake in JDE Peet’s, which it listed in 2020, from Mondelez at a fat 32% premium. That eliminates a share overhang and risk of an interloper. And, with the $12 bln Douwe Egberts seller’s stock cheap, the markup is easy to swallow.

New Nike boss could consider becoming Big Sneaker

18 Oct 2024

The $126 bln athletic wear maker is struggling with a weak consumer, fashion missteps and a saturated market. Fresh CEO Elliott Hill can try and design his way to growth or go big. A tie up with rival Adidas would consolidate share with the benefit of chunky cost savings.

Netflix valuation is a goal stretched too far

18 Oct 2024

The $300 bln streaming giant’s share price has hit new highs. Yet ad dollars are not meaningful and a crackdown on passwords will run out of steam. To keep its lofty stock price climb, Netflix will have to double its revenue in three years - a reality hard to script.

One valve would release pressure at Air Products

17 Oct 2024

A $15 bln commitment to clean hydrogen is weighing on the industrial gas producer. The weakness has attracted attention from pushy investors over governance and capital usage. Selling some of the unproven green energy would help 80-year-old boss Seifi Ghasemi deflate the tension.

Wall Street nemeses revitalize clash of titans

16 Oct 2024

A 56% surge in deal fees helped propel Morgan Stanley shares to a record high and intensify an investment banking arch-rivalry. Goldman, in turn, is battling back in wealth management. Closing the valuation gap depends on its strategy faring better than chasing everyday savers.

US economy is partying, but voters are hungover

16 Oct 2024

Full employment and subdued inflation have the economy in its best shape in years. Despite a rocky Biden tenure, Kamala Harris enters the election with a chance to blunt Trump’s advantages. But bruised consumer feelings – and the overall wealth picture – are getting in the way.

EU champions’ hope will slam into hard M&A reality

16 Oct 2024

Brussels bigwigs, like new antitrust boss Teresa Ribera, want to create US-style corporate giants. Yet possible options, like a 160-bln-euro Orange-Deutsche Telekom deal, make no industrial sense. The risk is that even if politicians get on board, shareholders won’t.

Banks look for new normal, find they don’t need it

15 Oct 2024

High rates and busy markets turbocharged revenue at $325 bln Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Citi and others. The question is how long it can last. Strong third-quarter results raise the tantalizing prospect that solid results are here to stay, especially if M&A and IPOs pick up.

Boeing cash patch will be ripped off

15 Oct 2024

The aviation giant will raise money to fill a hole caused, most recently, by a worker strike. Debt weighs heavy and selling $12 bln in stock would help. But additional funds offset new problems, rather than fix Boeing’s plentiful existing ones. The cost of dilution will be high.

CD&R $17 bln French deal may hinge on big retreat

15 Oct 2024

Paris is concerned about the future of critical medicines if the private equity firm buys a stake in Sanofi’s consumer unit. CD&R can promise bigger investment and still get a decent return. Giving up control by bringing in a Gallic co-investor might also soothe the government.

Why data centres are a bottleneck for the AI boom

15 Oct 2024

Artificial intelligence tools like ChatGPT depend on chips and energy. But a $1 trln rush to build data centres faces constraints on planning and power. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Morgan Laughlin of asset manager PGIM explains the virtual frenzy’s physical limits.

Elliott takes flyer with elite intimidation status

14 Oct 2024

The hedge fund escalated its battle with $18 bln Southwest and CEO Bob Jordan by calling for a shareholder meeting to shake up the board. It’s a rare public clash as companies increasingly acquiesce to pushy investors. If the airline prevails, it may embolden others to push back.