Sweden

Klarna’s wisest IPO aim is a modest valuation hike

17 Mar 2025

The buy now, pay later firm made a net profit in 2024 as it eyes a US listing. Klarna was once worth $46 bln, but the last funding round only fetched $7 bln. While a new Walmart deal helps, rocky markets and the need for a discount to rival Affirm imply little more than $10 bln.

EQT’s new boss has a private-credit hole to fill

17 Feb 2025

Per Franzén will replace CEO of six years Christian Sinding at the $40 bln Swedish buyout firm. EQT’s valuation premium to rivals has shrivelled, partly because fixed-income shops like Ares have soared. Franzén, who lacks a private-credit unit, may want to think about buying one.

Ericsson’s recovery looks tough to maintain

24 Jan 2025

The $27 bln telecoms hardware group, and Finnish rival Nokia, have seen share price gains of over 40% in the past year. They have a rebound in US 5G spending to thank. But as this capex cycle winds down, investors may feel their companies lack a sufficiently compelling plan B.

Spotify’s share surge arrives at AI crossroads

14 Jan 2025

The $92 bln streamer more than doubled its market value last year. A change of pricing structure for artists and subscribers, plus artificial intelligence boosts, suggests CEO Daniel Ek can keep raising revenue and margins. Yet AI is a threat to Spotify as well as an opportunity.

EQT defers exit brainteaser with school deal

22 Oct 2024

Swedish firm EQT is reinvesting in education group Nord Anglia alongside Neuberger Berman for $14.5 bln, instead of a sale or listing. It highlights how buyout groups are keeping assets for longer. In this case, that comes with rising regulatory risks, and limited exit options.

Growth-hungry EQT boss faces an M&A puzzle

17 Oct 2024

The $40 bln buyout group’s CEO Christian Sinding is practically shouting from the rooftops that he wants to buy a private-markets peer. So-called secondaries targets, the biggest of which is Ardian, make sense. But it’s a sellers’ market and EQT’s Swedish stock may be a turnoff.

Nobel prize brings global inequality back in focus

14 Oct 2024

Economist Daron Acemoglu and two colleagues shared the Swedish award for showing why some countries are rich and others poor. Their findings – democracy and rule of law matter – are a reminder that huge disparities in income among, and within, nations remain a festering issue.

China’s EU-made EVs are in pole position – for now

19 Jul 2024

BYD and Chery are planning plants in the European Union; peers will follow. While factors like labour and energy add 25% to the cost of cars made in the bloc, tech and design mean the overall product is cheaper than Western rivals’. But Brussels could yet complicate matters.

EQT hit carries warning for buyout-firm investors

18 Jul 2024

The $40 bln private equity group’s shares sank after it missed analysts’ forecasts. The lesson is that predicting profits from selling companies is tough. It also suggests that a recent valuation run-up for listed managers is out of whack with tricky dealmaking conditions.

Northvolt flags European batteries’ growing pains

5 Jul 2024

The $12 bln Swedish maker of devices to power electric cars has lost a contract with BMW, one of its own backers. Brussels would love domestic players to cut European automakers’ reliance on China. Yet the EU’s conflicting strategies and foreign competition mean progress is slow.

Smith & Nephew faces long and painful activist fix

4 Jul 2024

Cevian has taken a 5% stake in the $11 bln underperforming London-listed medical equipment maker. Curing its depressed share price will require deep operational surgery. While that may take time, a breakup could be a second treatment further down the line.

EQT’s $3 bln gaming play hits the right buttons

3 Jul 2024

The Swedish buyout shop looks set to clinch video game services group Keywords. The target’s business of translating games like ‘Clash of Clans’ for a wide range of clients helps insulate it from an industry rut. The chunky 96% premium can also make it a high scorer.

Niel can be less stingy to fulfil his salsa dream

30 May 2024

The French Iliad owner may buy out Millicom, a $4 bln Latin American telco in which he owns a 29% stake. His potential $24-a-share bid implies a tiny 2% premium. Even with the stock up nearly 40% this year, he can offer more for a growing, profitable company.

AI will help treat Big Pharma’s looming illness

15 May 2024

Drug discovery is a long and costly process with success rates below 10%. Caps on prices and shorter patent periods in the US will also make life harder for the likes of Pfizer, AstraZeneca and rivals. Despite patchy results, betting on machines may be the best hope of a cure.

Swedes’ gaming split is far from a next-level fix

22 Apr 2024

Struggling $3 bln Embracer will divide itself into three discrete companies. Leveraging up the group’s board games arm and splitting out hit-and-miss blockbusters and steadier mobile games makes sense. But it’s unlikely to unlock value akin to the Swedish firm’s glory days.

Galderma IPO offers EQT a temporary facelift

6 Mar 2024

The Swiss skin care group is looking to raise $2 bln in a listing to cut debt. At $22 bln, in line with L’Oréal’s valuation, its private equity owners could get decent returns. But with the French beauty giant growing similar products faster, retaining margins may be challenging.

EU’s $2 bln Apple bite is still more of a bark

4 Mar 2024

Brussels is fining the US giant more than expected for hurting streaming competition. That leaves $2.7 trln Apple open to similar cases. But as with other EU bids to rein in Big Tech, it hikes the cost of doing business more than it shakes up the sector.

Klarna IPO now makes less sense than one later

28 Feb 2024

Decent growth and lower losses mean the Swedish buy now, pay later group can justify a $20 bln valuation. Given that’s three times the level of its last cash injection, there’s an argument for a speedy listing. Still, Klarna’s messy governance suggests a 2025 IPO is more logical.

Narrow exits will fatten fattest buyout fat cats

10 Jan 2024

Some private equity shops may be forced to start accepting discounted valuations on a record $2.8 trln of unsold investments. Others like KKR and EQT are best positioned to hold out. This disparity should help 25 firms, with 22% of the industry’s firepower, pad their dominance.

Profitable Klarna poses IPO valuation conundrum

9 Nov 2023

The pay-later group is making money. Ahead of a possible float, that makes it easier for CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski to claim he has a viable business. Yet to get an uplift on his last $7 bln price tag, he’ll have to persuade investors to value Klarna like a fintech, not a bank.