Adidas’s Kanye West bet is still in credit 27 Oct 2022 The 18 bln euro sportswear maker severed ties with the musician over offensive comments. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how the financial benefits to Adidas nevertheless outweighed the costs. That may spur other brands to pursue outspoken stars.
New Shell boss has scope for a green power splurge 27 Oct 2022 The $190 bln oil major could double net income to $40 bln in 2022. Rather than launching more buybacks, incoming CEO Wael Sawan could eye up a mid-sized European renewables player like $19 bln SSE. It would speed Shell’s green energy mission without messing up its finances.
Italy’s new premier starts with a big faux pas 27 Oct 2022 Giorgia Meloni vowed to hike a 2,000 euro cap on cash payments, reversing attempts to boost electronic transactions. That will make it harder to track 100 bln euros of annual untaxed revenue. With debt at 147% of GDP, Italy cannot afford to be complacent on chronic tax evasion.
Credit Suisse begins perilous ride to right place 27 Oct 2022 CEO Ulrich Körner will raise $4 bln of capital to finance redundancies and a halving of the investment bank. After several botched strategies, Credit Suisse is now pointing in the correct direction. But ongoing heavy losses, and low 2025 targets, imply a messy few years ahead.
Capital Calls: Mobileye IPO, Loafer buyout 26 Oct 2022 Concise views on global finance: Intel’s autonomous driving subsidiary benefited from lower expectations, while Tod’s founder Diego Della Valle may have a Plan B after resistance from minority investors forced him to abandon plans to take the luxury shoemaker private.
Energy crisis gives beermakers a lasting hangover 26 Oct 2022 Heineken’s shares fell 10% after reporting weaker-than-expected sales. Inflation is eroding punters’ disposable income, making it harder for brewers to raise prices like in previous crises. Soaring costs for fuel and wheat, which bite next year, pose a further threat to margins.
Europe’s industrial mess has protectionist endgame 26 Oct 2022 Manufacturers like Germany’s $42 bln BASF face a toxic brew of high energy prices at home and rising risks in China. That implies a freeze on new investment, and a loss of market share to foreign players. To stop that, European states may ultimately intervene with tariffs.
European banks’ perfect moment will prove fleeting 26 Oct 2022 Rates are rising, traders are busy, and customers are paying their debts. That helpful backdrop helped Barclays, Deutsche and Santander average a punchy 11% return on tangible equity so far in 2022. But with recession looming, and bad-debt buffers looking low, it may not last.
UK unveils overdue sieve for ESG alphabet soup 25 Oct 2022 Britain’s Financial Conduct Authority has sketched out rules classifying environmental, social and governance funds. The approach differs from Europe’s framework, adding to fund managers’ burden. Yet it may also be tougher and more consumer friendly, making greenwashing harder.
Adidas-Kanye split leaves investors in the money 25 Oct 2022 The $18 bln sportswear group cut ties with the musician, now called Ye, after he made offensive comments. Its sluggish response risks a boycott. But given Yeezy sneakers’ high profit margins in recent years, shareholders may already have won more than they stand to lose.
HSBC ditches its cost-cut tsar before job is done 25 Oct 2022 Boss Noel Quinn is replacing CFO Ewen Stevenson with investment bank co-head Georges Elhedery. It’s odd timing, since the $100 bln lender has not finished slashing expenses, which is Stevenson’s speciality. Elhedery will have to wield the axe quickly to avoid spooking investors.
ECB $2 trln bank-loan unwind is fraught with peril 25 Oct 2022 The European Central Bank may tweak a funding scheme to stop lenders minting money at its expense. Fiddling with the terms is legally dubious. Other options could undercut its fight against inflation. But the status quo, indirectly costing taxpayers billions, is unsustainable.
Rishi Sunak offers only temporary fix for UK woes 24 Oct 2022 Britain’s borrowing costs fell as the ex-chancellor won the race to become prime minister. Sunak is the least-bad option for restoring Britain’s battered finances and credibility. It’s less obvious he can unite a chaotic party or sort out a longer-term cost-of-living crisis.
Italy’s new boss is missing a trick on tax evasion 24 Oct 2022 Public debt at 147% of GDP and a slowing economy limit Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s scope to curb an energy crisis and keep spending promises. Tackling endemic tax evasion would give her more fiscal ammunition. Yet promoting the use of cash and tax amnesties will not help.
Truss’s exit highlights America’s free pass 21 Oct 2022 U.S. fiscal policies, based on tax cuts for the rich and widening budget deficits, have been fairly similar to those of Britain’s ousted prime minister. Only the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency keeps the laws of economics from applying in the United States, too.
Delusions of grandeur are root of Britain’s chaos 21 Oct 2022 “Trussonomics” followed hot on the heels of Brexit. Both are symptoms of a country that hasn’t fully come to terms with the loss of its empire, says Hugo Dixon. If the UK now realises it can’t defy the laws of economics and geopolitics, it may emerge wiser albeit weaker.
If Credit Suisse loves its bankers, set them free 21 Oct 2022 The Swiss bank may bring outside investors into its dealmaking unit, to insulate it from parental turmoil. The business could be worth up to $6 bln, valued in line with boutique advisory shops. Yet the best way to hit such a price tag is for Credit Suisse to cut it loose.
Capital Calls: Adidas 21 Oct 2022 Concise views on global finance: The 19 bln euro sportswear maker slashed its 2022 revenue outlook, dragging shares down 10%.
Britain’s next leader will be on a short leash 20 Oct 2022 Prime Minister Liz Truss is out after just 44 days in office. Whoever replaces her will have to endorse fiscal discipline or risk a similar fate. The ruling Conservatives have little in common except fear of an early election. But only a national vote can restore political order.
The urgent search for the perfect inflation hedge 20 Oct 2022 Nearly every major asset class has lost money this year, leaving investors scrambling to protect their wealth from rising prices. Traditional alternatives such as gold and property also have drawbacks, writes Edward Chancellor. The best shield may be the most obvious one.