EMEA

Soccer’s new M&A binge will mostly benefit players

17 Feb 2023

Qatari investors are planning a $6 bln Man United offer, according to Bloomberg, while billionaire Jahm Najafi may swoop on Tottenham. Clubs are losing more of their revenue to player wages and transfers. That will only get worse as more rich owners chase scarce sporting talent.

Hermès’ “MetaBirkin” win misses the big picture

17 Feb 2023

A court ruled an artist’s digital version of the $198 bln group’s iconic Birkin bag violated trademark rights. The verdict gives luxury firms more clout to commercially exploit the metaverse. Yet the jury is still out on whether such forays will be anything more than marketing.

Cost surge leaves grocers crying in the aisles

16 Feb 2023

Producers like Unilever and Nestlé are raising prices by as much as 10% to offset more expensive inputs. That is hurting supermarkets like Kroger and Tesco, which face falling margins and consumer anger. Investors can benefit by backing the suppliers and ditching the shopkeepers.

StanChart’s takeover defences are getting stronger

16 Feb 2023

For years the emerging markets lender’s shareholders would probably have welcomed a cash bid. But CEO Bill Winters is getting closer to a 10% return on tangible equity. Prospective suitors like First Abu Dhabi Bank would have to pay an extra chunky premium to clinch a deal.

Capital Calls: Schneider’s sustainable CEO

16 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: Jean-Pascal Tricoire’s departure as chief executive of the French industrial software group after nearly two decades at the helm defies the trend of short-lived or underperforming corporate bosses.

Barclays CEO faces a long road to higher valuation

15 Feb 2023

The UK lender pays a share-price penalty because investors dislike its volatile investment bank. Shrinking it is off the table, so boss C. S. Venkat’s best bet is to boost steadier bits like transaction banking and securities lending. Over time, that may earn a higher multiple.

Glencore’s coal fudge risks satisfying no one

15 Feb 2023

The dirty fuel is booming, and made up half of the $80 bln commodity giant’s 2022 EBITDA. Green investors may want CEO Gary Nagle to phase it out faster, while financially motivated ones would favour more mining. He’s doing neither, and paying the price with a middling valuation.

Telecom Italia breakup can please all its masters

15 Feb 2023

The sickly telco needs to cut its 25.4 bln euro debt pile. Selling its fixed-line grid to KKR offers a fix, provided the government gets a stake in the strategic asset. For major investor Vivendi, the upside would be a chance to sell Telecom Italia’s revamped service business.

Capital Calls: Ford and CATL

15 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: A new battery plant shows U.S. electric-car makers may struggle to cut China out of supply chains.

How central banks got the inflation crisis wrong

14 Feb 2023

Western policymakers have hiked interest rates by more than 10 percentage points since 2021. Yet prices remain high. In this Exchange podcast, Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, explains how rate-setters failed and what they should do next.

Malone’s Vodafone bet may take years to pay off

14 Feb 2023

Liberty Global bought 4.9% of the telco conglomerate, joining industry rivals Abu Dhabi’s e& and Xavier Niel. Chairman John Malone knows the $31 bln company well and may hope to influence any breakup. A 2015 investment in UK broadcaster ITV shows he’s willing to sit and wait.

Capital Calls: Rothschilds in charge

14 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: The storied banking dynasty wants to buy out minority investors on the cheap, and they’ll probably get away with it.

Syngenta jumbo IPO will sow seeds of doubt

14 Feb 2023

A Shanghai listing this year may value the pesticides and seeds maker at a chunky $66 bln. The group’s role in feeding a growing global population will please investors. But its reliance on toxic weedkillers that are losing favour in Europe poses a long-term threat.

KKR can limit the pain of Elliott’s telco blitz

13 Feb 2023

The activist is disrupting the buyout group’s bid for German phone masts firm Vantage Towers. With a 5.6% stake, Paul Singer’s fund is expected to block the delisting until it gets a big payout. But unlike previous Elliott campaigns, KKR has various ways to insulate itself.

UK bailout has energy bosses walking on eggshells

13 Feb 2023

Power suppliers like Centrica took billions of pounds of government cash to help customers pay high bills. That leaves them open to charges they pocketed gains and handed losses to taxpayers. For an industry intertwined with the state, pay restraint is vital to self-preservation.

Capital Calls: Alibaba’s Paytm exit

13 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: The e-commerce group has sold out of the Indian fintech company, though Paytm’s other Chinese backer may find it harder to follow suit.

Hydrogen is elemental to U.S.-EU green compromise

10 Feb 2023

Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act has raised fears of a transatlantic subsidy spat. The sustainably produced version of hydrogen may be a way to de-escalate tensions. Because it’s a potential jobs engine rather than a current one, both sides have scope for a face-saving deal.

IMF’s outlook on Russia is too rosy to be true

10 Feb 2023

The International Monetary Fund expects the Russian economy to avoid a recession this year after contracting by 2.2% in 2022. That is much more optimistic than Moscow’s own forecasts. Unless oil prices stage an improbable rally, investors should trust the locals’ gloomier view.

Capital Calls: Adidas kitchen sink

10 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: Shares in the sportswear maker fell 11% amid forecasts of a high-single-digit decline in sales in 2023.

Credit Suisse CEO tries to bail out a leaky ship

9 Feb 2023

Boss Ulrich Körner is cutting the Swiss lender’s costs and starting to hive off its superfluous bits. But clients have fled the core wealth business and traders seem to have stopped trading. Unless the business stabilises, he will have to pivot to a more radical breakup.