Capital Calls: Saudi Arabia and the BRICs 29 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The oil economy is in talks to become the ninth member of the Shanghai-based “BRICS bank”, another sign of Middle East money stepping up to fill gaps in Asia created by Western-led sanctions.
How US allies can mitigate Trump 2.0 29 May 2023 A return to the White House for the pro-Putin, protectionist and climate-sceptic former President would pose many challenges for other rich democracies. Their best insurance is to ramp up support for Ukraine, promote trade and speed up action on global warming, says Hugo Dixon.
Glencore’s Bunge redux may yield Teck benefits 26 May 2023 The Swiss commodity giant could merge the agri-trader it part-owns with its $14 bln US-listed peer. A Bunge deal would be oddly timed, and Glencore has other ways to raise cash. But the bid may offer a way to spur Glencore’s share price as it mulls a new offer for Canada’s Teck.
Capital Calls: Lufthansa/ITA 26 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The 11 bln euro German carrier pays 325 mln euros for a 41% stake in the airline born from the ashes of Alitalia.
AI speed benefits now apply to EU boycott U-turns 26 May 2023 On Wednesday Sam Altman threatened to quit Europe if it “over-regulates” his booming startup OpenAI. He’s now rapidly rowed back. As with their disruptive new technology, AI mavens may have a shrewder sense than older US peers of when to stop poking the Brussels bear.
Central bankers face a balance sheet reckoning 26 May 2023 Assets held by central banks have exploded since 2008. As interest rates rise, some of those institutions are slipping into the red. We’re told normal accounting rules do not apply. However, losses erode inflation-fighting credibility and independence, argues Edward Chancellor.
Capital Calls: Russian cash, Chinese car feud 25 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: European plans to divert Russian money to Ukraine are ill-thought-out; a feud between China’s BYD and Great Wall Motor is spooking investors.
Telco tycoons’ UK bets look stuck underwater 25 May 2023 Patrick Drahi, Xavier Niel, John Malone and Abu Dhabi’s e& have lost $2.4 bln on about $13 bln worth of investments in BT and Vodafone, Breakingviews estimates. It’s hard to see either firm recovering soon, leaving their big-money backers potentially stuck in the quicksand.
Tesco’s diversity reboot has further to go 25 May 2023 The chair of the $24 bln UK grocer quit amid allegations of inappropriate comments. But Tesco also lags on diversity in its senior ranks. With its lowest paid staff mostly women and investors likely to be watching closely, it needs to be leading, not following.
Macron’s neglect is France’s main fiscal problem 25 May 2023 National debt is above 110% of GDP and will keep rising if the government’s rosy forecasts don’t pan out. Austerity isn’t the answer now, but the president doesn’t seem interested in crafting a long-term plan to cut indebtedness. That will hit the economy and future generations.
Capital Calls: Embracer fail dents credibility 24 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: Shares in the $3 bln maker of shoot-’em-up video games fell nearly 45% after a mystery partnership agreement fell through at the eleventh hour.
Mediobanca chief’s 20-year race has one more lap 24 May 2023 For two decades, Alberto Nagel has fought market and boardroom crises while diversifying the Italian bank and booking fat returns. His new business plan lacks fireworks. But fear of destabilisation will prompt restless core investors to back the veteran banker for one more term.
‘Greedflation’ loosens its grip on food retailers 24 May 2023 Suppliers like Unilever and Kraft Heinz are easing inflation-busting price rises that hit grocers hard. That will benefit profit margins at the likes of Kroger and Carrefour. Their next challenge will be convincing cash-strapped consumers to pay, and buy, more in supermarkets.
Capital Calls: Buyout loans 23 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The termination of broadcaster Tegna’s sale to Standard General lets banks off the hook for funding some $8 bln in buyout debt, but clearing the pile of hung loans is just one part of the leveraged finance problem for big lenders.
Europe’s scramble to tame artificial intelligence 23 May 2023 Brussels is a step closer to unveiling regulation for the controversial technology. Dragoș Tudorache, a legislator in the European Parliament, helped write the law. In this Exchange podcast, he argues that the rules focus on the biggest risks while leaving room for innovation.
Supply chain scrutiny may upend EU solar ambitions 23 May 2023 Renewable groups must forgo photovoltaic components from China’s Xinjiang to comply with forced labour curbs. Yet the region produces 35% of the pure silicon needed in panels, and US firms are scooping up the non-Chinese supply. Enforcing a ban may scupper EU green targets.
Transatlantic tech-tax truce is on a knife edge 23 May 2023 EU-US spats over levies on the likes of Amazon have taken a breather while a global pact advances. But sabres are rattling, led by French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire. Washington may well be patient with the pace of promised rollbacks, but any new levies would break the truce.
EU will go easy on Indian resale of Russian fuel 23 May 2023 Fuelled by imports from Moscow, oil products sales to Europe from refiners including Reliance and Nayara have nearly doubled to $15 bln. The trend shows anti-Russian sanctions are not watertight. Yet, risks of an energy inflation revival make a European Union ban a tough call.
Capital Calls: JPMorgan’s rich pickings 22 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The giant lender’s investment day laid out benefits from buying parts of defunct bank First Republic. Boss Jamie Dimon gets more than just the fuzzy glow from stabilizing the industry. Snagging more wealthy clients should please his investors too.
Meta becomes cross-border tech mascot 22 May 2023 The EU smacked the $630 bln social media giant with a record $1.3 bln fine over data transfers to the US. Meta will fight it, but a fix requires a cross-border agreement and differing philosophies on data access make that hard. Without it, Meta’s fine is a bigger tech problem.