EMEA

Schroders can stop slide by getting grip on costs

5 Nov 2024

The $6.6 bln asset manager’s shares fell over 10% as it warned of clients withdrawing funds. Once first among UK equals, Schroders now suffers from a humdrum valuation, and a lack of scale. New Chief Executive Richard Oldfield can at least tackle its bloated expenses.

UK fiscal splurge limits BoE’s rate-cutting space

5 Nov 2024

The Bank of England is likely to lower borrowing costs to 4.75% this week. Next year, though, government spending will give Britain’s economy a sugar rush of growth and inflation. That will prevent Governor Andrew Bailey from easing policy as fast as peers in Europe and the US.

Saudi megafund’s success rests on fuzzy local bets

5 Nov 2024

The kingdom’s $950 bln Public Investment Fund is best known for outlandish construction schemes and flashy foreign forays. But its biggest and fastest-growing division houses young domestic firms. While some may thrive, it’s less clear they can guarantee the vital pivot from oil.

Schneider fails first test of CEO succession plan

4 Nov 2024

The French electric equipment maker ousted Chief Executive Peter Herweck after finding him slow in the execution of his strategy. The $150 bln group needs to be fast in hot markets like data centres. But firing its boss after 18 months shows its decision-making is also wanting.

German M&A flurry is powered by lasting tailwinds

4 Nov 2024

Teutonic deal volumes are below their 2021 peak, like everywhere else. Yet a burst of activity, including the $15 bln privatisation of DB Schenker and $16 bln Covestro sale, show signs of life. Radical changes to the country’s industrial model imply an enduring rebound.

Vivendi activist’s critique falls on deaf ears

1 Nov 2024

Pushy fund CIAM reckons a planned carveup of the 10-bln-euro media empire favours the controlling Bolloré clan. That’s true. Yet the split at least eases a conglomerate discount. And since voting it down would be a leap into the unknown, investors will probably just stay in line.

Saudi’s Davos is no longer such a desert

1 Nov 2024

Around 8,000 CEOs and financiers flocked to the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh, twice the number at its inception in 2017. Western bosses were keener to talk about artificial intelligence than investing in the kingdom. But Saudi’s progress suggests that may yet change.

Gold surge adds glitter to tarnished miners

31 Oct 2024

The yellow metal is up 35% this year as investors fret about inflation. Gold miners like Newmont and Barrick have repeatedly failed to capitalise on the ore’s rising value. But new-found financial discipline and modest valuations present investors with a rare opportunity.

Siemens AI deal is baby step to higher share price

31 Oct 2024

The German trains-to-robot maker is buying simulation group Altair for $10 bln. The rich transaction will take years to pay off. But Siemens’ fast-growing software unit gains scale. Shareholders may give Siemens a higher valuation if CEO Roland Busch opts for a bigger breakup.

French banks’ ups and downs obscure value problem

31 Oct 2024

Société Générale shares rose 7% after its results showed faster growth, while BNP Paribas fell 6% after sluggish earnings. The bigger issue is that both lenders now trade at a discount to euro zone peers. A tough Gallic market and volatile trading units make that hard to change.

Global banks are nearing peak regulation

31 Oct 2024

Sixteen years after the financial crisis that triggered bailouts and new rules, CEOs like JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon are pushing back. Sympathetic politicians and competition from shadow banks help their case. The best hope for watchdogs is to stop the system from fragmenting.

Robust banks impair pleas for lighter regulation

31 Oct 2024

Lenders on both sides of the Atlantic are doing relatively well, despite concerns over the effect of shifting rates. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate what is driving growth, and why CEOs are simultaneously bemoaning increased scrutiny from watchdogs.

Companies bear brunt of Britain’s fiscal trade-off

30 Oct 2024

New finance minister Rachel Reeves raised 40 bln pounds through higher levies, mostly on employers, to fund public services like health. She also changed debt rules to borrow more. It’s a bet that fiscal rectitude will help revive growth. But the ailing UK has few other options.

UBS can share more M&A savings with investors

30 Oct 2024

CEO Sergio Ermotti keeps upping the pace of cost cuts from buying Credit Suisse, with his 2024 target now $7.5 bln. Yet expenses elsewhere in the bank seem to be offsetting those gains. To please shareholders, UBS may have to let more of the bounty drop down to the bottom line.

Grim VW numbers give CEO a mandate for shake-up

30 Oct 2024

The 46 bln euro carmaker reported a 21% year-on-year operating profit slump in the first nine months of 2024. That may help boss Oliver Blume push through a restructuring of its ailing core brand. It’s a necessary but risky move, and other problems, like China, are getting worse.

BP may have to become even less investor friendly

29 Oct 2024

The $83 bln UK major is facing a strained balance sheet, low oil prices and trouble in its renewables unit. CEO Murray Auchincloss’s plan to return cash will hinge on tricky asset sales. Cutting buybacks would be better but would make the stock even less appealing than its peers.

Voters and markets put left-wing leaders in a bind

29 Oct 2024

The world must reduce debt by 3.8% of GDP by 2029 – four times more than planned – the IMF says. That’s bad news for social democratic governments, which lose elections when they are fiscally tough. But if they keep running chunky budget deficits, investors will make them pay.

Philips’ China misery renews case for bold surgery

28 Oct 2024

The $25 bln Dutch medical group’s shares fell up to 17% after it said it would barely grow this year. Weak demand in its key Chinese market means any recovery is far off. The weak outlook makes it harder to justify keeping its sprawling consumer and healthcare divisions together.

Many roadblocks delay journey to zero carbon world

28 Oct 2024

While solar power and battery supply have grown massively, the same is not true of electricity grids, green hydrogen and carbon removal. Money is more expensive. This means demand for oil, gas and coal has not yet peaked. The setback will cost the planet dearly.

Axel Springer boss is media’s key consolidator

28 Oct 2024

Mathias Döpfner will soon have up to 4 bln euros to spend on M&A. If the long-term Axel Springer boss is just after storied brands, Murdoch assets like Dow Jones may be in play. But with the obvious targets tricky to pull off, he may equally train his sights on AI or data.