EMEA

Sergio Ermotti has a path to Wall Street-style pay

28 Mar 2024

UBS handed its CEO $16 mln for nine months’ work last year. That’s more than his European rivals, but less than the bosses of US lenders like Morgan Stanley, whose valuation the $100 bln Swiss bank aspires to. Tweaked terms next year give Ermotti a chance to narrow the gap.

UK’s leaky coffers are Thames Water’s lifeboat

28 Mar 2024

The utility is drowning in $19 bln of debt and may collapse in 2025 if its regulator doesn’t approve higher bills. A nationalisation could be the best solution but the government isn’t flush with cash. Unless PM Rishi Sunak breaks his fiscal rules, consumers will have to pay up.

Eni’s green shoots are taking time to blossom

28 Mar 2024

Italy’s $53 bln energy major trades at a discount to rivals. An overhang from Rome’s potential stake sale and falling gas prices are drags. But CEO Claudio Descalzi’s plan to raise cash by spinning off energy transition-focused business units is also yet to fully shape up.

Europe’s IPO window opens slowly for buyout barons

28 Mar 2024

CVC floated beauty retailer Douglas, whose shares fell, while EQT received a warmer welcome for skincare group Galderma. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how to interpret the mixed message for private equity groups sitting on $3 trln of unsold assets.

Packaging deal’s US interloper may end up as pulp

27 Mar 2024

New York-listed International Paper proposed merging with $7 bln DS Smith as an alternative to the target’s union with UK peer Mondi. But the intruder’s premium offer crumpled in value as its own share price fell. It now faces the tough choice of either retreating or overpaying.

LNG angst seeps from consumers to producers

27 Mar 2024

A few years ago, supplies of liquefied natural gas were scarce and prices sky-high. Extra capacity arriving this decade means there could soon be a price-sapping glut. Big suppliers like Qatar and Shell have long-term contracts that can ease the pain, but only up to a point.

Capital Calls: Shell and Russia

26 Mar 2024

Concise views on global finance: Russian state giant Gazprom will buy the British energy major’s 27.5% stake in a major Siberian liquefied gas field for the equivalent of $1 bln. Shell is however unlikely to be able to get hold of the cash any time soon.

Big banks’ shock absorbers are still far too slim

26 Mar 2024

Credit Suisse and a string of US regional banks failed last year. In this Exchange podcast, Stanford Professor Anat Admati argues that lenders’ equity buffers are punier than they seem – and that fixing the problem needn’t cause a credit crunch.

Lower taxes would cripple Europe’s growth

26 Mar 2024

The bloc needs new public investment of about 3% of GDP for the green transition, defence, infrastructure, education and health. High debt loads limit borrowing and spending cuts hurt the economy. Instead of pledging lower levies, governments have to raise them.

British M&A refuseniks are playing a risky game

25 Mar 2024

Insurer Direct Line and retailer Currys both rebuffed offers that came with 40% premiums. One possible rationalisation is that a huge UK stock-market discount invites cheeky bids that require knocking back. But certain British stocks may also not merit greater generosity.

Ukraine loan is matter of politics and accounting

25 Mar 2024

Lending the country $300 bln backed by its claim for war damages against Russia has several benefits compared to rival ideas for unlocking support. Kyiv’s allies would still need to find the cash, though. Here is how they could navigate the political and financial obstacles.

Capital Calls: Wegovy gets a booster

22 Mar 2024

Concise views on global finance: The US government’s decision to pay for weight-loss drugs for some older patients is a big step for makers Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk. Not because it will boost their share prices, but because it makes current valuations less far-fetched.

European private equity IPO door is only half open

22 Mar 2024

Buyout firms tested the market with cautious pricing for two beauty companies’ listings. Although Galderma performed, Douglas’s debt pile spooked investors. For sellers sitting on $3 trln of unsold assets the message is clear: discounts work, but only for healthy businesses.

Middle East AI dream depends on luring brainpower

22 Mar 2024

An abundance of cheap energy to power data centres gives artificial intelligence startups reason to consider the Gulf. But to become a force in AI, Saudi Arabia and the UAE will have to design their own advanced chips. Attracting talent to the region will require more than money.

Europe’s green giant is focusing on safer bets

21 Mar 2024

Iberdrola is upping investment on ageing power grids. The $79 bln Spanish utility is also buying out US unit Avangrid and allocating its biggest chunk of capex to the States. Both bets look likelier to pay off than renewable power and geographies with less generous subsidies.

Macron’s fiscal chickens come home to roost

21 Mar 2024

The French president is scrambling to deal with an official report likely to show dismal public finances and a deficit near 6% of GDP. He ignored warnings as debt topped 110% of economic output. Bond investors are relaxed but spending cuts will be the price of his insouciance.

Bank crises proved a mixed blessing for rivals

21 Mar 2024

It’s 12 months since Silicon Valley Bank failed and Credit Suisse collapsed into the arms of UBS. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how bigger banks gorged on these lenders’ carcasses – and how the system’s underlying weaknesses have not gone away.

‘Twin peaks’ can keep EU capital market push alive

21 Mar 2024

A two-pronged approach can aid Europe’s drive for a single financial market. By splitting oversight of the system’s safety from the policing of daily operations, Brussels can avoid a David Lynch-style mystery on who killed its plan to boost investments and savings across borders.

US nudges EU banks toward clean break with Russia

20 Mar 2024

Austrian lender Raiffeisen dreamt up a $1.6 bln plan to salvage value from its Moscow-based unit. But Washington dislikes it, Reuters has reported. For European banks, upsetting the US could ultimately be more damaging than the write-offs from a speedy Russian exit.

Deeper Gucci woes test new CEO’s luxury touch

20 Mar 2024

Sales at Kering’s top brand are falling fast. An unproven designer, China weakness and a volatile client base are behind the group’s discount valuation. With M&A limiting hopes of buybacks, Gucci boss Jean-François Palus has a harder task convincing investors to stay the course.