Asia-Pacific

India’s options trade faces a less lucrative reset

25 Jun 2024

Officials are planning tighter margin and disclosure rules in the booming equity derivatives market, where contracts clock $135 bln a month. That will help protect retail traders and pre-empt a wider bust. Losers may include upstart discount brokers and firms like Jane Street.

Red Sea gives shipping an Uber-style price surge

24 Jun 2024

Container rates have spiked well above their level when Houthi attacks first shut the Suez Canal. Surging demand as exporters seek to get ahead of looming trade tariffs is one reason why. But that in turn would be easier to manage if traffic didn’t have to go round Africa.

China’s bureaucrats can repopulate unicorn herd

24 Jun 2024

President Xi Jinping wants to know why the number of new $1 bln startups has dwindled. His crackdown on the tech sector and a sluggish economy have discouraged venture capitalists and entrepreneurs. Deploying state funds and reopening IPO markets can help revive animal spirits.

Vodafone India bulls get ahead of themselves

21 Jun 2024

Two big share deals show New Delhi’s decision to prop up the country’s third-largest telecom operator is starting to work. But the tripling in $13 bln Vodafone Idea’s stock looks overdone. It’s still losing customers and battling debt, all with a messy ownership structure.

Tiny Singapore’s chip hub retains a big punch

21 Jun 2024

NXP and Vanguard's new $8 bln factory in the country follows recent investments from GlobalFoundries and others. Singapore has an impressive edge in the semiconductor industry despite high costs and a shortage of space. Its neighbour Malaysia will soon test that advantage.

China central bank’s reform push is shrewd gambit

20 Jun 2024

Governor Pan Gongsheng hinted at a substantial revamp, including trading government bonds and simplifying interest rates. The changes will be a gradual process, but after having its wings clipped, they should help the central bank reassert its power in setting monetary policy.

Mining M&A stokes coal race against cleaner power

20 Jun 2024

Anglo American will soon offload dirty deposits used to make steel as part of CEO Duncan Wanblad’s overhaul. Rival sales suggest there should be plenty of suitors. Coking deals can pay off for buyers if prices stay high and green options develop slowly, but neither is assured.

Toyota’s chair is driving with ‘L’ plates back on

19 Jun 2024

The tally of votes against reelecting Akio Toyoda almost doubled this year to 27% following months of governance scandals. It’s a strong rebuke for any board leader but especially so in traditionally consensus-driven Japan. Toyoda now has to show he can learn from past mistakes.

Didi IPO would give Hong Kong its dream comeback

19 Jun 2024

Hong Kong listings have raised a paltry $1.5 bln this year. To restore animal spirits, the city needs a big offering from a well-known Chinese firm to showcase Beijing's support for offshore share sales and the end of tech crackdowns. Few tick as many boxes as the ride-hailer.

Pork glut gives China an edge in EU tariff fight

18 Jun 2024

Domestic overcapacity means the world’s top consumer of the white meat can afford to slap duties on EU imports in response to levies on EVs. European farmers may also find it harder to work around the tariffs than Chinese automakers. It's a savvy move by Beijing.

China’s EV makers can ride the tariffs backlash

18 Jun 2024

The US and the EU have imposed hefty import duties on electric vehicles BYD, Tesla and others make in the People’s Republic. In this Exchange podcast, consultant and former Chrysler executive Bill Russo explains why Europe’s levies are more a speeding fine than a stop sign.

China’s risky answer to wall of debt is more debt

18 Jun 2024

The central government is issuing special ultra-long bonds to steer the $18 trln economy towards ‘high quality growth’. In piling risk onto the country’s last decent balance sheet, President Xi Jinping is betting the People’s Republic can continue to defy a debt crisis.

The Group of Seven is bruised but much needed

17 Jun 2024

The club of large, rich nations has struggled with wars in Gaza and Ukraine. Most of its leaders are lame ducks. If Donald Trump becomes US president and Marine Le Pen leads France, they could paralyse it. Co-ordinating advanced democracies is more necessary and harder than ever.

Hyundai’s India IPO will have imitators

17 Jun 2024

Its business in the world's third-largest car market will fetch an eye-watering premium to the South Korean parent. If the $3 bln deal flies, other foreign companies eager to capture growth may follow. Possible candidates to tap India's asset arbitrage include Honda and Sumitomo.

PAG’s downsized Asia fund could pay off handsomely

17 Jun 2024

China dealmaker Weijian Shan raised $4 bln for his firm's buyout fund, less than half the target, after refusing to cap exposure to the world's second-largest economy. He'll have more freedom than rivals to chase returns from discounted Chinese assets. That could be lucrative.

Net zero arbitrage is large, but no one-way bet

14 Jun 2024

There’s a big gap between the rich world’s ambitions to reduce carbon emissions and the ability of governments to achieve that goal. Investors can try to exploit that disconnect. However, economic, technological and geopolitical constraints can quickly change in unexpected ways.

Japan’s value push is starting to lose momentum

14 Jun 2024

Notwithstanding big activist campaigns, tallies of shareholder proposals tabled for company annual meetings this month look underwhelming. The stock rally is fast fading too. Japan has a long history of disappointing investors. The stakes for how fund managers vote are rising.

China banks walk narrow path past property crisis

14 Jun 2024

The country's lenders have $22 trln, or 38% of their assets, in real estate-linked loans. But bad debt disposals and low exposure to developers have protected balance sheets. The bigger headache now may be falling net interest margins. Beijing's latest property fix won't help.

EU tariffs solidify China’s EV hierarchy

13 Jun 2024

Investors brushed off less-than-feared levies on Chinese electric cars, with BYD stock up 3% from two days ago and SAIC down just 2%. For the former, a vertically integrated model and lesser reliance on subsidies mean it can now pull ahead of compatriots at home and abroad.

China can divide-and-trade a less welcoming Europe

13 Jun 2024

EU tariffs on cars are a setback for Beijing. Yet President Xi Jinping will test the bloc’s ability to form a coherent policy against the world’s second largest economy. Hungary is benefiting from rising Chinese investments and trade and will become a key battleground.