Sahara’s $5 bln savings spat is India’s loss 28 Oct 2011 The Indian savings house has been ordered to return a whopping $4.9 bln raised from nearly 30 million mostly rural investors. The episode is unlikely to help confidence among small savers. Yet accessing their capital is vital to help India’s development.
Pitching in on Europe is in China’s best interest 27 Oct 2011 China has suggested a contribution to Europe’s bailout would come with strings. But as a beneficiary of global trade, the world’s number two economy has good reason to do whatever it takes to secure a stable euro zone. That would also spare China a rapid and painful adjustment.
Chinese censorship runs on greed more than fear 27 Oct 2011 After a series of PR fumbles and web-inspired protests, the authorities are stepping up Internet controls. Rumour-mongers are even being arrested. Yet many of these curbs depend on companies and investors playing along. While growth is rapid, greed motivates more than fear.
China’s irate homebuyers foretell mess to come 26 Oct 2011 Property developer Longfor drew an angry mob after it seemed to cut prices on new Shanghai apartments by 25 percent. Though prices aren’t yet plunging across the country, it’s looking increasingly likely that they will. Angry scenes will become more common.
Boardroom rejig still leaves Olympus adrift 26 Oct 2011 The Japanese camera-maker, racked by accusations from its ousted CEO, has sidelined its 70-year-old chairman. But Kikukawa will stay on the board, along with 13 other former Olympus managers. Shareholders need to call for new blood to put the rudderless company back on course.
ArcelorMittal chickens out to hoard its cash 25 Oct 2011 The world’s largest steelmaker abruptly bailed on a joint takeover of Australia’s Macarthur Coal, selling out to partner Peabody, as investors tendered their shares with unexpected alacrity. It may be a sensible move, but it certainly makes the billionaire Mittals look a nervy bunch.
Pfizer milk bid could fortify China’s M&A hopes 25 Oct 2011 Mengniu Dairy’s bid for the U.S. pharma giant’s $10 bln nutrition unit would make strategic sense. China can gain from deals pegged on rising consumer demand rather than cheap labour. Buying foreign brands may also help address food safety problems, if bidders tread carefully.
India’s inflation fight lacks credibility 25 Oct 2011 The central bank’s latest rate hike won’t tame stubborn inflation of over 9 percent. The urgent task now is to reduce expectations of more price increases with a more explicit inflation target. It might mean GDP slows a bit, but that’s an acceptable price to pay.
Olympus scandal wakens Japan’s sleeping investors 21 Oct 2011 Nippon Life has joined foreign investors asking the company to clear up accusations by its ousted CEO. Growing outlays for Japan’s aging society are turning once passive insurers into activist shareholders. If only its banks, who are even bigger investors, would get on board.
Olympus’s M&A moves went from unorthodox to mad 21 Oct 2011 The Japanese firm’s merger misadventure started oddly and went downhill. Deals don’t always require big banks or cash fees. But Olympus seemingly ceded most of a UK target’s future profits to a mystery adviser, resulting in the biggest M&A fee in history. At best, that’s crazy.
China best to keep cool head over yuan bill 21 Oct 2011 Beijing has hit out over a mooted U.S. currency bill that could lead to tariffs. China is getting more assertive, and can no longer rely on U.S. firms to fight its corner. But starting a war of words may alienate its remaining supporters, and make the bill more likely to pass.
Delhi has home-grown options to tackle slowdown 20 Oct 2011 India’s finance minister says that economic growth will fall below 8 percent this year. He blamed global turbulence. External factors do hurt, but India can reinvigorate itself with domestic structural reform. The key is to spur business investment.
Temasek’s StanChart bond looks too clever by half 19 Oct 2011 The Singaporean fund issued a zero-yield bond exchangeable into shares of the emerging market lender. If they rise less than 27 pct, Temasek will have borrowed $512 mln for free. But the ensuing fall in the shares means the gains from this wheeze have already been wiped out.
Olympus investors need urgent answers 19 Oct 2011 Accusations by its ousted CEO have them wondering: why did the Japanese company pay two M&A advisers a 35 percent commission in 2008? The fear is that Olympus could be forced to take big writedowns, or even delist. Until the air is cleared, its shares will continue to founder.
India-Pakistan trade deal just a first step 18 Oct 2011 Likely trade liberalisation between the two traditionally hostile nations has been rightly called historic. It’s part of India’s attempt at more economic engagement with its neighbours. The whole region will benefit, but current trade is so meagre that progress will take years.
Slower Chinese GDP growth adds to financial risk 18 Oct 2011 In the past, strong growth has helped Beijing smooth over problems with bad loans. But 9.1 percent may not be fast enough to deal with excesses in non-bank lending and real estate. It sounds like U.S. subprime – the financing that supported growth now threatens to undermine it.
Shanda’s opportunistic MBO may start a trend 18 Oct 2011 Its founder looks to be exploiting the plunging share prices of China’s U.S.-listed dotcoms. Shanda’s cash pile will cut the amount he has to put in. Delisting from the United States paves the way for a relisting in China. Others frustrated by rising U.S. scrutiny may follow suit.
Myanmar unprepared for life without sanctions 18 Oct 2011 The military is lifting its boot to get curbs removed, but flinging the doors open to foreign trade and finance would be a disaster. Institutions have atrophied during nearly 50 years of isolation. A gradual phase-out of sanctions seems the best way to foster sustainable growth.
Rio Tinto takes bold step into aluminium rehab 17 Oct 2011 The miner’s $38 billion purchase of Alcan in 2007 was a financial disaster, and aluminium’s prospects still look poor. Rio is making some amends with a plan to sell off a third of the business. The strategy is sensible and now looks as good a time as ever to sell.
Olympus fiasco strengthens case for Japan reform 17 Oct 2011 Naming foreigner Michael Woodford to run the company was part of a grudging shuffle toward accountability. Firing him six months later suggests an allergic reaction. It’s a setback for Olympus, whose shares have plunged, but will only increase the heat on Japan’s conservative boards.