Asia-Pacific

What Masayoshi Son can teach us about investing

11 Oct 2024

The Japanese tech tycoon backed future giants like China’s Alibaba as well as spectacular flops like office-sharing startup WeWork. A new biography likens him to a high-stakes gambler. But Son’s chequered career also reveals some of the skills of a successful venture capitalist.

Weak 7-Eleven defense might embolden Couche-Tard

10 Oct 2024

Japan’s top convenience store owner will spin off its superstores and trim stakes in non-core assets to fend off a $47 bln takeover approach. It’s a disappointing strategy update. The Canadian suitor can consider taking its offer directly to the target’s long-suffering investors.

HSBC cost cuts expose new CEO’s bigger problem

10 Oct 2024

Georges Elhedery may slash $300 mln of expenses in a plan to combine investment and commercial banking, the FT says. Yet the savings are modest and a new super-division may have downsides. Investors will be more interested in how Elhedery keeps the top line growing as rates fall.

China’s stock market bazooka is yet to fire

10 Oct 2024

The People’s Republic recently unveiled a raft of measures to solve a housing bust and support the market, producing a pop of post-vacation enthusiasm. That’s now waning as investors await a bigger move. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss what comes next.

China M&A leaves offshore investors in the lurch

10 Oct 2024

The merger of brokerage firms Guotai and Haitong will massively dilute the former's Hong Kong shareholders. Blame the stubborn discount the city's stocks trade at to onshore equivalents. Beijing's consolidation push will leave more global backers in a similar spot.

Ratan Tata leaves more to India than its tycoons

10 Oct 2024

The former Tata chair, who has died aged 86, put a kind face on capitalism, though his bold cross-border M&A and lingering influence hurt the salt-to-steel conglomerate. The new era of industrialists in the country are financially shrewder but less universally admired.

Rio’s $6.7 bln lithium bet is a pricey slow burn

9 Oct 2024

The $112 bln miner is paying a 90% premium to buy Arcadium in cash. That’s probably not justified by the synergies – and Rio Tinto has yet to reveal them. Boss Jakob Stausholm can point to forecasts of a lithium demand surge, but right now investors have to take his word for it.

Couche-Tard clears price hurdle to Seven & i deal

9 Oct 2024

The Canadian suitor can cut enough costs to justify its revised 53% indicative premium, valuing its rival's enterprise at $55 bln. Though antitrust concerns in the US remain, it seriously raises the bar for the Japanese target's strategic update on its plans to unlock value.

Hey team: Weaker hiring means back to the office

8 Oct 2024

About 100 mln people in North America and Europe now work remotely at least some days. More CEOs, like Amazon’s Andy Jassy, want to end the practice altogether. The tension is upsetting staff and spurring defections, but a rise in joblessness would shift power back to employers.

China’s EU reply cuts odds of damaging tit-for-tat

8 Oct 2024

Days after Brussels voted for electric-vehicle tariffs, Beijing penalised European brandy. Pork, dairy and pricey cars may be next. Yet the moves are well-flagged. And more damaging retorts, like hitting luxury or $9 bln of aircraft-linked imports, seem unlikely for now.

Decoding the puzzle of SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son

8 Oct 2024

The Japanese tycoon shaped global technology while building and losing vast fortunes. How does he keep going? In the first episode of Breakingviews’ new podcast, The Big View, former FT editor Lionel Barber discusses what he uncovered in his biography of Son, ‘Gambling Man’.

China’s stock euphoria is primed to disappoint

8 Oct 2024

Mainland bourses staged a weaker-than-expected rally after a week-long holiday and shares in Hong Kong plunged. Valuations are cheap and funds remain underweight. But China is vulnerable to more boom-and-busts until Beijing girds its economic pledges with fiscal stimulus.

Hong Kong bourse can go harder on tycoons

8 Oct 2024

Proposed rules aim to make companies listed on the $5 trln market more accountable to independent shareholders. But the changes don’t fully ensure investors’ ability to scrutinise deals or increase their say in board appointments, leaving moguls’ influence unnecessarily intact.

Rio boss may be about to eat his M&A words

7 Oct 2024

Jakob Stausholm is in talks to buy Arcadium Lithium, soon after saying deals only make sense if cost cuts cover the premium. On that score, he can perhaps offer a 40% bump, valuing his prey at $4.2 bln. With one investor wanting double that, Stausholm faces an unpalatable choice.

China’s consumers regain some lost lustre

7 Oct 2024

Daily cross-border travel is forecast to rise 19% for this year's Golden Week holiday, above pre-Covid volumes. Gamblers have also returned to Macau. Consumption bright spots are scarce, but more middle-class spending will stir hopes that Beijing's stimulus might gain traction.

Tokyo Metro IPO is a big deal with big caveats

7 Oct 2024

Japan’s largest listing in half a decade comes to market with rising passenger traffic and solid earnings to back its $2 bln share sale. The subway operator also carries a sizable debt load and a massive stock overhang that raises questions about the government's ownership.

EV tariffs are only the first step in EU-China war

4 Oct 2024

Despite internal squabbles, member states voted for levies on imported Chinese battery cars. That may help onshore production, but doesn’t tackle China’s clout in hybrid vehicles and batteries. New trade battles are likely: autos and their supply chains are in the firing line.

Hong Kong economic pain is marginal gain for LME

4 Oct 2024

Port activity and land prices have fallen so far that the London Metal Exchange is eyeing warehouses in the financial hub. That may spur more Chinese buyers to use the bourse. But despite more than a decade of Hong Kong ownership, storage in mainland China remains out of reach.

China and India reveal emerging market mistakes

3 Oct 2024

Investors often assume stocks in developing countries track economic growth, while valuations are a guide to future returns. The diverging path of Chinese and Indian equities over the past decade shows the flaws in this approach. Better to pay attention to capital efficiency.

Hybrids snag precarious pole position at BYD

3 Oct 2024

The $122 bln automaker is on track to sell more models powered by both a battery and gasoline than pure electric vehicles this year. Accelerating exports help drive sales of hybrids. But competition, climate goals and protectionism all complicate an overseas push.