Asia-Pacific

ValueAct’s reputation gamble in Japan pays off

23 Apr 2024

The U.S. fund prefers to chide companies in private but publicly lost its temper last year with Seven & i. Now the $34 bln owner of the 7-Eleven convenience outlet is spinning out its superstores. It vindicates an unusual move for ValueAct, though the financial reward is muted.

China trading-data restrictions are self-defeating

23 Apr 2024

The Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses will cease real-time updates of when overseas investors buy and sell shares. It looks like a ploy to shore up market sentiment. Reversing the decade-long practice, though, will decrease market transparency and undermine shareholder confidence.

Chinese stocks have found a bottom

23 Apr 2024

After a $5 trln crash, there are early signs of healthy buying. In this Exchange podcast, Herald van der Linde, HSBC head of equity strategy, Asia Pacific, unpicks the shifting sentiment of Chinese households and implications for the rest of the region’s capital markets.

Stakes for India’s election outcome widen

22 Apr 2024

Prime Minister Modi’s BJP and rival Congress party promise to create jobs in their manifestos but differ somewhat on how to achieve the goal and on government spending. As India's bonds are added to global indices, a return to profligacy would be extra painful.

What to do about the EU’s relative decline

22 Apr 2024

The European Union will become marginalised if it continues to shrink compared with other regions. Two former Italian prime ministers, Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi, are coming up with remedies. But anxious leaders may lack the will to drink the necessary medicine.

Buyout barons salivate at Toshiba job cuts

22 Apr 2024

They extract world-beating returns from deals in Japan often without reducing staff because lifetime employment is the norm. Now the private equity-owned conglomerate may cut 5,000 roles. A tight labour market helps, but if layoffs catch on acquirors could both pay and earn more.

ESG is ghost at global retailers’ annual feast

19 Apr 2024

LVMH, Amazon and peers gathered in Paris for the industry’s yearly shindig. The growth areas in the $30 trln sector are Shein-style cheap garments and the Middle East. Both jar with retailers’ previous focus on environmental, social and governance factors.

Remaking Made in India will be a long slog

19 Apr 2024

Despite capturing iPhone production, a $24 bln scheme to become the world's factory is ripe for a reset. Officials are learning the hard way that subsidies and cheap labour aren't enough to lure investment. Lower import tariffs would help, cooperation with China is a necessity.

TSMC’s high-tech stock beset by low-tech problems

18 Apr 2024

Shares of Taiwan's $640 bln tech titan are up 36% this year thanks to its AI chip dominance. Yet they trade at a decade-high valuation discount to peers. Geopolitical risk is one factor, as are sluggish handset sales and over-expansion fears. All look out of TSMC's control.

Vietnam’s stability gets rude $24 bln shock

18 Apr 2024

At nearly 6% of GDP, a rescue of Saigon Commercial Bank is just shy of how much rich nations spent on bailouts during the financial crisis. The fallout will ripple through boardrooms around the world. The Asian country looks unstable as its importance in supply chains rises.

Guess what: Boeing can be spelled without G and E

17 Apr 2024

Instead of investing in a new model, the 737-maker embraced the gospel of Jack Welch and returned $60 bln to shareholders over a decade. McDonnell Douglas suffered a similar fate before infusing Boeing with GE’s toxic ethos. It’s not too late to excise it and build another plane.

Germany engineers sharper China-EU autos debate

17 Apr 2024

Chancellor Olaf Scholz echoed Janet Yellen in using his visit to the People's Republic to warn against industrial overcapacity. But he also has reservations about Brussels’ potential EV protectionism. That suggests the bloc may yet take a more nuanced look at BYD and peers.

Wall St Aussie charm offensive only goes so far

17 Apr 2024

Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman and execs from BlackRock and Apollo wooed the country's $2.4 trln pension fund industry at a Melbourne event. The latter's private credit pitch, though, received a lukewarm response. It's a reminder that the appeal of direct lending has its limits.

 

Microsoft’s G42 deal puts UAE in America’s AI tent

16 Apr 2024

The $3 trln software giant is paying $1.5 bln for a minority stake in Abu Dhabi-based artificial intelligence group G42. Microsoft gets years of cloud storage business. But it also implies an end to the Gulf state’s effort to be a neutral AI counterparty to China and the US.

Austerity is a bad economic answer at a worse time

16 Apr 2024

While the global economy is running hot right now, the International Monetary Fund warns that long-term growth will be below its 3.8% pre-pandemic trend. The problem is, a familiar prescribed fix of budget cuts and high rates has failed in the past and would do so again today.

Why rich nations have to keep helping poorer ones

16 Apr 2024

The world faces many onerous financial and climate challenges. Still, as Axel van Trotsenburg, the World Bank’s Senior Managing Director, explains in this Exchange podcast, governments and companies in advanced economies cannot afford to stop supporting developing ones.

China is a tale of at least two economies

16 Apr 2024

GDP growth comfortably beat expectations, with robustness in manufacturing and green shoots in others like catering. Yet near-zero inflation and sluggish lending point to broader problems, while real estate’s woes endure. It complicates Beijing’s search for suitable stimulus.

Singapore’s new leader will have no honeymoon

16 Apr 2024

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong will hand over power next month in a well-planned move. His successor Lawrence Wong needs to shore up the ruling party’s votes ahead of elections, manage Singapore’s growing pains as a finance hub, and keep China happy. There won’t be any easy wins.

MUFG and Indian credit scratch each other’s backs

15 Apr 2024

Taking a $2 bln stake in an Indian shadow lender backed by HDFC would be punchy at five times book value. Still, the South Asian country's non-banks are growing super fast. Japan's financial institutions aren’t waiting around for a payday at home from rising borrowing costs.

An activist nudge is all it takes in Japan Inc

15 Apr 2024

Shares in the country's top property group, $31 bln Mitsui Fudosan, jumped 8% after it pledged to lift returns and halve strategic shareholdings. It partly answers Elliott's call for change, but peer pressure is at work, too. Pushy foreign investors can only claim some credit.