Asia-Pacific

China property fix aims to restock speculation

6 May 2024

Reducing unsold inventory is Beijing’s latest directive and replaces the mantra “houses are for living in, not for speculation”. It’s a prelude to removing some investment curbs. Allowing people to get rich off the sector is a necessary evil to restore overall confidence.

Inditex’s golden era is coming to an end

3 May 2024

Asian disruptor Shein is threatening the $142 bln Zara owner’s fast-fashion crown with ultra-cheap wares. Dismissing the risk may threaten its market share. To protect the Spanish giant’s business, CEO Óscar García Maceiras has plenty of cash but no obvious M&A solution.

Macquarie bets its disappointing year is a blip

3 May 2024

The $47 bln investment bank handed investors their worst return on equity in more than a decade as earnings fell by a third. Yet it kept pay and other expenses flat. Previous years' impressive results give CEO Shemara Wikramanayake some breathing room before having to cut costs.

FOMO finally returns to Chinese equities

3 May 2024

After a $5 trln crash, a bull market in Hong Kong and surging inflows to mainland bourses are prompting some investors to up their allocations. Policy support from Beijing, buying by long-only funds and attractive valuations suggest the start of a long road to recovery.

Unilever and Nestlé offer two flavours of India

2 May 2024

Weak rural demand ate into earnings at the $63 bln local unit of the Dove soap maker. By contrast, its smaller and more-richly valued Swiss rival grew profit thanks to a larger share of urban customers. The divergent fortunes point to the limits of the Indian consumer’s wallet.

Clash of the mining titans will get more bruising

2 May 2024

Australian giant BHP’s $39 bln swing for Anglo American is a contentious, complex land grab for the metals key to a renewable future. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss the political and financial hurdles, and why this M&A contest has a way to run.

Bain could be third time lucky in Japan

2 May 2024

It's pushing an IPO of Kioxia again after talks to merge the chipmaker collapsed last year. A deal would help pare a $6 bln company loan. Timing is on the sellers' side; demand for chips and Japanese stocks is robust. Rival buyout firms will cheer a successful selldown too.

Hurricanes threaten to stir perfect economic storm

1 May 2024

Warmer oceans portend an unusually fierce 2024 season in the Atlantic, with two states already propping up their home insurance systems. The nightmare scenario is $200 bln of losses. Insolvencies would be a problem, but not as big as exorbitant premiums and lower property values.

Anglo breakup costs complicate a sweeter BHP deal

1 May 2024

The miner’s Australian suitor is mulling a hike to its $39 bln proposal. But if Anglo American were to demerge its listed South African units as part of the deal, BHP or any other buyer might inherit a $2 bln tax bill. That may limit BHP boss Mike Henry’s scope for generosity.

Musk’s China jaunt keeps underwhelming status quo

30 Apr 2024

Hope that Tesla can push self-driving in the country added $82 bln to its value. China’s cheap manufacturing, ample battery supply, and potential direct sales requires the EV-maker’s boss to maintain copacetic relations. But even the best outcome cannot justify excitement.

Global retailers are headed for Shein reckoning

30 Apr 2024

Zara owner Inditex, H&M and other apparel giants are holding ground against the Asian fast-fashion upstart. However, AlixPartners’ retail expert Matt Clark argues in this Exchange podcast that Shein’s focus on garment quality could threaten the dominance of pricier rivals.

CEO departure puts HSBC at risk of strategy drift

30 Apr 2024

Noel Quinn is retiring from the $164 bln bank after less than five years in charge. If Chair Mark Tucker picks an internal replacement the new broom risks looking like a second choice. Appointing an outsider could leave HSBC without clear medium-term targets for a year or longer.

L’Occitane sets a high bar for Hong Kong exits

30 Apr 2024

Chairman Reinold Geiger’s offer to take his skincare group private values it at 6 bln euros, a decent 30% premium. Funding led by Blackstone might help keep a lid on interest expenses while the company restructures and seeks a listing in Europe. Other buyouts will be trickier.

Von der Leyen’s China plan is all bark and no bite

30 Apr 2024

To keep her job atop the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen will talk tough but wield a small stick towards Beijing. Open supply lines from the People’s Republic are key to Europe’s economic well-being. Brussels’ rhetoric will likely be harsher than sanctions and tariffs.

China can stay on sidelines in BHP-Anglo battle

30 Apr 2024

The People’s Republic may not kick up a stink about a merger like it did with the Aussie miner’s 2008 Rio tilt. Suppliers of copper are more fragmented than those of iron ore, Beijing’s M&A interventionism has matured, and friends like South Africa can lead any deal opposition.

Japan’s hottest new activist isn’t an activist

30 Apr 2024

Hiroyuki Otsuka, formerly at Carlyle, raised $1 bln from MUFG, Mizuho and other local firms for his debut engagement fund. The next phase for unlocking value in Japan will depend less on foreigners. But keeping bosses happy while pushing for change is easier said than done.

China auto show puts smart at centre of car wars

30 Apr 2024

BYD, Geely and peers touted everything from self-driving software to massage chairs at lower prices than in the past. They are extending a lead over global rivals, with help from tech juggernauts such as Huawei. But global carmakers including Tesla can follow that roadmap, too.

Yen intervention is a lost cause worth pursuing

29 Apr 2024

Tokyo may have acted to prop up the currency after it dropped below 160 to the dollar. It’s a losing bet until the US Federal Reserve cuts rates or the Bank of Japan tightens monetary policy further. But there is value in signalling to the world that this is not a one-way street.

China is better off doing nothing for TikTok

29 Apr 2024

Beijing has signalled it would rather ByteDance's video app be banned in the US than sold. Unlike Huawei, the company's technology is neither strategic nor desirable. Having a final say over TikTok's fate might be useful political leverage, but retaliation fears look overblown.

BHP investors throw CEO too short an M&A leash

26 Apr 2024

The miner’s stock fell 4.6% after the company proposed to buy Anglo American at a $39 bln valuation. It suggests shareholders fear boss Mike Henry will end up overpaying. But with his low-ball opener leaving plenty of wriggle room to justify upping the bid, that looks premature.