Asia-Pacific

Nestle’s royalty rebuke is a sign of the times

20 May 2024

Shareholders rejected a proposal by the food giant’s Indian unit to hike fees paid to its $280 bln Swiss parent. Scrutiny over payments to foreign affiliates for brands and know-how will grow. Domestic owners are increasingly assertive. New Delhi will be watching closely too.

China’s new property fix is a work in progress

20 May 2024

Local governments can now borrow up to $138 bln to buy unsold homes. It's the strongest signal yet that Beijing is determined to revive the country's ailing housing market. The amount is not enough. But it lays the foundations for providing more support as needed.

Pricey stocks overlook the world’s troubles

19 May 2024

Trade tension between the US and China will dampen growth, while rising defence spending means higher taxes and lower profits. Equity markets, now at record highs on both sides of the Atlantic, aren’t cheap. Add in these headwinds and investors have more downside than upside.

Ping An wrestles with its HSBC dilemma

17 May 2024

The bank's top owner may reduce its 8% stake a year after its breakup bid failed. It's a fair move given the recent bumper returns and looming succession and growth issues. But HSBC's dividends and arguable undervaluation suggest Ping An won't trim its outsized holding too much.

China stimulus starts with a bond, not a bang

17 May 2024

Beijing will issue $138 bln-worth of special sovereign debt. It's not much by itself, but combined with planned offerings from local governments, fiscal support could top 3.2% of GDP this year. It can spur ailing credit demand and speed up investment in strategic sectors.

Private credit wonder drug works in limited dose

17 May 2024

The quantity of loans channelled directly to companies by funds has exploded to more than $2 trln. The economic benefits of diversified lending just about make up for the risks. The challenge is making sure financial innovation does not starve banks to death.

Hotpot IPO looks too mild without China spice

17 May 2024

Singapore-based Super Hi has distanced itself from its Chinese roots ahead of a $50 mln US offering. That's prudent, given scrutiny on companies like Shein and ByteDance. Yet without support from former parent Haidilao, the firm may struggle to stand apart from larger peers.

The dollar and the yuan are polar opposites

16 May 2024

The strong greenback and questions over a Chinese devaluation reflect the contrasting outlooks for the two economies. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate why Beijing is unlikely to push down its currency and why the dollar will remain elevated.

China goes on a $1 trln apartment-buying spree

16 May 2024

State-owned firms and local authorities will answer Beijing's call to purchase up to 3.6 bln square feet of unsold homes. The bold move will ease the property crisis, which has weighed on growth. But this will weaken already strained government and corporate balance sheets.

Inflation saps Inflation Reduction Act mini-me

16 May 2024

Australia is following the US with long-term support for greening the economy. But it's peanuts by comparison with just $15 bln for industry and nothing to boost sales of EVs and heat pumps. Fear of price rises and rate hikes ahead of an election has deflated ambition.

Japan’s value push will turn into a shove

16 May 2024

Shareholder meetings next month will help gauge progress in the official campaign to boost corporate performance. Toyota, SoftBank and Fast Retailing have not signed up. Given the importance of ensuring resilience in the $4.2 trln economy, Tokyo is likely to apply more pressure.

Biden’s China policy is backed into a corner

14 May 2024

The president quadrupled tariffs on electric cars from the People’s Republic as homegrown efforts stumble. China leads on tech, and the US depends on the undependable Tesla. Muddled policy on everything from steel to batteries will only up the pressure for more rearguard actions.

Anglo breakup gives investors a free option on M&A

14 May 2024

The $40 bln miner plans to offload coal, diamond, nickel and platinum assets to help fend off takeover interest from BHP. The standalone strategy may be worth more to shareholders than what its Australian suitor proposed. Yet if it flops, a future takeover might be even easier.

China tests EU resolve on export trade fight

14 May 2024

France’s Emmanuel Macron got little to show from President Xi Jinping’s European tour this month. In this Exchange podcast, MERICS expert Grzegorz Stec explains the difficulty of managing ties with Beijing and why balancing risk and business opportunity is so tricky.

Yuan devaluation isn’t worth the trouble

14 May 2024

A weaker currency would boost exports and prices, but speculation China could engineer a fall underestimates Beijing’s desire for a stable exchange rate. Aggressive US tariffs could change the calculus. For now, official signals point to a slow grind lower against the dollar.

BHP-Anglo impasse more about structure than price

13 May 2024

Anglo American spurned an improved $43 bln bid from its Australian rival. A key obstacle is that BHP wants its target’s investors to bear the risks attached to spinning off unwanted South African units. CEO Mike Henry can remove it by making an offer for the whole company.

The world can survive a strong dollar – for now

13 May 2024

The greenback has gained 17% against major currencies in three years. Other countries avoided repeating past crises through better fiscal policies and less foreign borrowing. But in the long run a mighty buck will put economies under stress, especially in emerging markets.

Geely’s $5 bln carve-out slows down to speed

13 May 2024

The automaker's electric-vehicle unit Zeekr rose 35% after pricing its IPO at less than half its 2023 valuation. That suggests group Chair Li Shufu has learned from his overpriced deals to take Lotus and Polestar public and found a way to coax investors wary of China risk.

China stock rally leaves Alibaba out in the cold

13 May 2024

The e-commerce giant’s shares are up less than 5% this year despite Tencent’s surging by a quarter. Boss Eddie Wu is promising stock buybacks and dividends. But investors are sceptical on Alibaba's growth prospects and whether it can unlock value after a botched restructuring.

Rio Tinto may be dark horse in BHP-Anglo saga

10 May 2024

The $120 bln miner may yet crash the Big Australian’s $39 bln merger. Still, if BHP does win Anglo and Glencore is busy integrating its $7 bln Teck deal, Rio’s key mining rivals will be distracted. That may give CEO Jakob Stausholm a clearer run at the likes of First Quantum.