Americas

Kamala Harris’ economic plan bows to realities

27 Sep 2024

Unlike Biden's crisis-sized agenda, Harris faces fiscal headwinds and divided government - if she manages to win. Promises of tax credits for small businesses and families, along with a deal on taxes with Republicans, are the most she's promising, and most she can deliver.

OpenAI pushes limits of tech pivoting

26 Sep 2024

As part of a fundraising at a $150 bln valuation, ChatGPT’s maker may weaken its humanity-protecting nonprofit board and instead focus on profit. Boss Sam Altman also would get a big stake, in a rare case of equity misaligning incentives. Unless, that is, AI doomsayers are wrong.

Franco-US food M&A is $10 bln recipe for heartburn

26 Sep 2024

Sodexo, the $13 bln caterer, is eyeing US rival Aramark according to Bloomberg. The returns look low, absent huge cost savings, and a cash deal would leave a debt headache. Recent iffy takeovers in the business-services sector show that scale isn’t always worth the risk.

Arcane signal flags an ill-starred economic shift

26 Sep 2024

Borrowing costs are falling in major economies. But a pointy-headed academic concept which indicates the equilibrium level of interest rates – “R-star” – suggests they are unlikely to revert to pre-pandemic lows. Investors should brace for a future where money is more expensive.

AI is a black hole of bits, chips and power

26 Sep 2024

OpenAI’s ChatGPT kicked off a race to develop ever-more-sophisticated artificial intelligence. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingvews columnists dissect the vast amount of data-crunching bots and power required to feed it, investments that could cost trillions of dollars.

China’s march to strong yuan is long and perilous

26 Sep 2024

President Xi Jinping wants a more powerful currency. This means increased usage of the renminbi in global payments and central bank reserves, rather than replacing the dollar. But Beijing’s desires for bigger forex heft clash with its need to keep a tight grip on the economy.

Trump lays out gluttonous tax-break smorgasbord

25 Sep 2024

The US presidential candidate has floated an array of handouts for all. His latest giveaway: unwinding the same cap on state and local deductions that he himself enacted. Add exemptions on worker tips, overtime and Social Security, and the sum exceeds $7 trln of fiscal ruin.

Skimpy financial disclosures leave plenty exposed

25 Sep 2024

Few rules require detailed reporting from public companies, leading to variations that frustrate investors. Consider Temu owner PDD’s scant info versus $390 bln Home Depot’s extra granularity. Corporate bosses may fear accountability from openness, but opacity often stings worse.

Copycat drugmakers will be low-key obesity winners

25 Sep 2024

Sandoz and other generic drugmakers are preparing to make cheap versions of Novo Nordisk’s weight-loss drugs. They could grab a large chunk of a potentially $150 bln market. Unlike the Danish group and peer Eli Lilly, their valuations do not yet reflect the potential opportunity.

John Malone wrangles runaway US cable mess

24 Sep 2024

The media mogul’s wheeling and dealing has left Liberty Broadband trading at a big discount to its assets. A mooted $14 bln share swap with internet provider Charter should unwind the fiendish complexity. Even better for him, the strategic quandary will be someone else’s problem.

Ammo maker’s deal tactics carry trigger warning

24 Sep 2024

Vista Outdoor keeps maneuvering to split bullets from camping gear to avoid selling the whole company for $3 bln. It has now further clouded the process by eliciting a minority investment in the retail rump at a curious valuation. The lesson here is on overdoing takeover defense.

New consumer CEOs start life in the slow lane

24 Sep 2024

Nike joined Campari, Nestlé and Starbucks in abruptly ditching its boss. There’s plenty of scope for the new CEOs to remedy their predecessors’ missteps. But a common thread at the four groups is slowing sales amid consumer weakness, making the turnaround jobs much tougher.

EU deforestation ban creates a hazy trade future

23 Sep 2024

The European Union wants to ban agricultural imports from deforested land. The rules have laudable aims but will impact $400 bln worth of goods. Developing nations are already exporting elsewhere. To avoid losing vital supplies, Brussels can compensate farmers or lower standards.

Intel’s tempting discount is less-than-solid state

23 Sep 2024

The languishing chipmaker’s $95 bln market value might seem far below the worth of its pieces. That’s drawn interest from Qualcomm and Apollo. Thing is, Intel’s woes mean it may not be as cheap as it appears, while regulators could nix a sale of the US chip policy cornerstone.

Murdoch’s UK property bid may yet get even sweeter

23 Sep 2024

Rightmove is mulling an improved $8.1 bln offer from Australia’s REA Group, owned by the media tycoon. A chunky premium and other UK refuseniks’ share price slumps are reasons for the listing portal’s board to say yes. But the buyer’s latest bid implies an ability to pay more.

Seven & i defence calls for radical strategy

23 Sep 2024

A 20% jump in the company's stock price after it rejected Couche-Tard's $39 bln takeover puts the 7-Eleven operator under pressure to lay out a plan to improve shareholder returns. So far CEO Ryuichi Isaka has only tinkered at the edges. A drastic overhaul may be necessary.

Chip halt flags EU’s also-ran status – and Intel’s

20 Sep 2024

The troubled US chipmaker has paused a 30 bln euros semiconductor factory in Germany. Weak demand is hampering Europe’s hopes to close the semiconductor gap between itself and the US. But another leg of the problem is that Intel itself lags rivals like Nvidia and TSMC.

KKR outmanoeuvres Bain in $4 bln Japan showdown

20 Sep 2024

The two buyout giants are tussling over IT specialist Fuji Soft after Bain dangled a potentially higher offer. But KKR has found a clever way to put itself ahead without raising its price. Future buyers should take note: in a hot market like Japan, creative tactics will be needed.

Jay Powell gives next US president an early boost

19 Sep 2024

The Federal Reserve chair and his colleagues brushed off political pressure and slashed rates to protect the labor market. Policy lags mean most benefits will be felt after November’s election. Though unemployment could still get worse, markets will welcome a soft landing.

Larry Fink’s private index dream may be holy grail

19 Sep 2024

The boss of $137 bln BlackRock wants to create benchmarks and passive investment products for alternative assets like buyouts and direct lending. Packaging up illiquid funds will be tricky, and data quality is patchy. A repeat of Fink’s success with public markets seems unlikely.