AIG’s $20 bln quarter can’t hide slow recovery 24 Feb 2012 Strip out the huge tax gain and annual return on equity for the core business was a meager 2.3 pct. The one-off may have nudged Treasury’s 77 pct stake into the black. But that’s like robbing Peter to pay, well, Peter. A hurting insurance sector means an AIG upturn is a ways off.
Drilling alone won’t fulfil cheap U.S. oil dreams 24 Feb 2012 By expanding offshore drilling, GOP presidential contenders claim they can bring gasoline prices back to earth. With the US pumping only 9 pct of global oil, its leverage on supply is modest. But the biggest consumer can affect demand. That requires frank talk about conservation.
Crisis fiction doesn’t measure up to strange truth 24 Feb 2012 “The Darlings,” by a former Goldman analyst and corporate lawyer, is one of the first novels set amid the upheaval of 2008. The glossy thriller delves beyond the greed engulfing a rich Wall Street family in scandal. But it fails to top the era’s many real tales of sorrow.
Too-coy India prompts Citi’s HDFC retreat 24 Feb 2012 New Delhi has long worried about hot money and fair-weather friends. But the protectionism deployed actually increases the dangers. Give foreign banks more skin in the game and they are less likely to retreat. Citi’s exit from India’s top housing lender tells that tale.
A Goldman governance fix could serve Blankfein 23 Feb 2012 The bank has resisted separating the chairman and CEO roles for years, but there may now be a convenient reason to do so. Becoming chairman only would allow Lloyd Blankfein to gracefully move on and put the onus on his presumptive successor, Gary Cohn, to carve his own path.
Twitter revolt could march next on proxy season 23 Feb 2012 Social media enabled uprisings in the Middle East, Occupy protests and even blowback against banking fees. A logical next step would be to give a stronger voice to shareholders. And lighting a fire under complacent institutional investors would be a real coup.
Feel-good laws should put practicality before hope 23 Feb 2012 California has struck the right balance making firms like Apple police labor practices at foreign suppliers. But expecting companies to starve African thugs of mining profits is a stretch. Such edicts may have good intentions but are impractical and often counterproductive.
New US finance sheriff carves out shadowy domain 23 Feb 2012 The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau under Richard Cordray is throwing a regulatory lasso around a motley crew of cash checkers, credit bureaus, money wirers and debt collectors. As our new ’Cordray Index’ shows, they’ve had a wonderful financial crisis. That may change.
Politicians’ pleading on Volcker rule looks foolish 23 Feb 2012 The finance ministers of Japan and the UK are making a big deal about new U.S. rules against proprietary trading. They want to keep American banks trading foreign sovereign debt. But if there is a problem, it’s a minor one. Politicians must have better things to worry about.
UPS could be bidding against itself for TNT 22 Feb 2012 The huge available synergies mean the $73 bln U.S. parcel giant could sweeten its takeover offer for its Dutch rival. TNT shareholders are for now expecting at least 9 pct more. But with rivals FedEx and DHL inhibited in varying ways, they may not get the bidding war they’d like.
GM’s former finance arm better suited for IPO 22 Feb 2012 The business now known as Ally is now considering a sale - and it would fit well with some banks or even its previous owner. But the ResCap unit remains troubled. And at $25 bln, it’s no easy deal in this environment. Waiting for an opening in public markets is a better option.
Troubled princeling poses test for new China 22 Feb 2012 Bo Xilai, one of China’s most colourful politicians, has fallen under a cloud, sparking an unconfirmed report he may have resigned. Outsiders should care, because what happens to Bo may give an insight into how much - or how little - Chinese politics have changed.
Christie imperils reformist mojo and state coffers 22 Feb 2012 The governor’s budget paints a rosy picture of the Garden State, but overlooks thorny issues like underfunded pensions. A politician planning ahead for an election is no surprise, yet leaves Chris Christie putting New Jersey’s future - and a tough-talking reputation - at risk.
Obama’s corporate tax plan is a good start 22 Feb 2012 The president’s proposal to reduce the rate paid by companies to 28 pct and eliminate many loopholes gets the debate moving in the right direction. But there’s plenty of room to improve the plan, too. For one thing, it would make global competition tougher for domestic firms.
AT&T board lets CEO off hook for bad call 22 Feb 2012 Randall Stephenson’s total pay fell to $22 mln last year from $27 mln in 2010. That’s a light slap given the $4 bln break fee for the badly botched bid for T-Mobile USA. Investors can show their displeasure with directors for failing to hold the boss accountable – and should.
Ethical economy: Don’t obsess about GDP measures 22 Feb 2012 The official statistics show the average American was 103 pct richer in 2011 than in 1971. Wealth has increased, but this sort of precision is spurious. It is a mistake to obsess about the numbers and, worse, for rich countries to steer economic policy according to them.
China data show slowdown that Asian markets ignore 22 Feb 2012 Investors are using newly minted euros and yen to buy shares in Asian exporters. But Chinese manufacturing has been slowing for four months, with exports especially weak. Markets look vulnerable to bad news from Europe or the U.S. – or to surprises from Asian central banks.
GM tie-up could keep Peugeot family at the wheel 22 Feb 2012 The French carmaker had to do something after burning through 1.5 bln euros of cash in six months. It needs greater scale to take on Volkswagen. Fiat was a potential partner. But a non-equity tie-up with GM is a way to let the Peugeot family to keep control.
Happy stock highs belie bonds teetering on edge 21 Feb 2012 With the Dow Jones industrial average crossing the 13,000 level for the first time since before the crisis and Britain’s FTSE 100 index headed toward 6,000, equity investors are smiling. Many may be wondering if the run can be sustained. But debt buyers may face the real danger.
Deloitte caught in Diamond Foods’ glare 21 Feb 2012 Just a few months ago, the snack food firm’s auditor was publicly shamed by its U.S. regulator for past failings. Diamond’s misstated payments to nut growers call into question other facets of the company’s books. Deloitte could be headed back into the accounting hot seat.